WeSuck Posted February 15, 2013 Share Posted February 15, 2013 These trends are definitely nice. It's not too often that you see every member of the ensembles with at least 2-3" for us. Although, I am not sure if the ensembles carry any weight now that we are this close to the event and will benefit more from the higher res operational. I agree with you but damn, the trends are so nice. I am going to be a nervous wreck all day today lol Posted in the SE Thread... http://raleighwx.americanwx.com/models/nam4km/06zNAM4kmreflectivity_SE.html Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SeVa Posted February 15, 2013 Share Posted February 15, 2013 I agree with you but damn, the trends are so nice. I am going to be a nervous wreck all day today lol Posted in the SE Thread... http://raleighwx.americanwx.com/models/nam4km/06zNAM4kmreflectivity_SE.html Damn, we are really close to some nice action at 48hr. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeSuck Posted February 15, 2013 Share Posted February 15, 2013 Toss the 12z NAM. Doesn't handle the sw energy correctly it looks like Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
VABILLUPS1 Posted February 15, 2013 Share Posted February 15, 2013 12z NAM looks weird. It has a stripe of decent precip from maybe New Bern NC northwestward to south-central VA (Emporia or South Hill maybe?) that somehow never really makes it to make to SE VA. Strange looking precip field. It will be interesting to see how this shakes out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SoCoWx Posted February 15, 2013 Share Posted February 15, 2013 TWC going 1-3" for SE Va. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Midlo Snow Maker Posted February 15, 2013 Share Posted February 15, 2013 gfs is looking good for se va, Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JMU2004 Posted February 15, 2013 Share Posted February 15, 2013 just a bit...3-6 SE Va 1-3 CVA http://raleighwx.americanwx.com/models/gfs/12zgfssnowdepth042.gif Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeSuck Posted February 15, 2013 Share Posted February 15, 2013 Gfs is sick nasty. Simply sick..... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SEVAsNOwSTORM Posted February 15, 2013 Share Posted February 15, 2013 Looking good SE VA!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SeVa Posted February 15, 2013 Share Posted February 15, 2013 I am really interested to see what the Euro makes of this. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
VABILLUPS1 Posted February 15, 2013 Share Posted February 15, 2013 GFS is looking great but much, much different than the NAM which would be hard-pressed to put an inch down in most of SE VA. I'd love for the GFS to come through here but just because it looks like what you want doesn't mean it's right. Going to be an interesting next 24-36 hours around here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SEVAsNOwSTORM Posted February 15, 2013 Share Posted February 15, 2013 I am really interested to see what the Euro makes of this. Doesn't matter this close to the event. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SEVAsNOwSTORM Posted February 15, 2013 Share Posted February 15, 2013 GFS is looking great but much, much different than the NAM which would be hard-pressed to put an inch down in most of SE VA. I'd love for the GFS to come through here but just because it looks like what you want doesn't mean it's right. Going to be an interesting next 24-36 hours around here. Word is there is something wrong with the NAM this run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
VABILLUPS1 Posted February 15, 2013 Share Posted February 15, 2013 12z Canadian in line with the GFS. That makes me feel better. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Inudaw Posted February 15, 2013 Share Posted February 15, 2013 I wish this was not 240 hours away... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SEVAsNOwSTORM Posted February 15, 2013 Share Posted February 15, 2013 I'm thinking we get a winter weather advisory tonight and possible upgrade to storm tomorrow morning is everything works out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Midlo Snow Maker Posted February 15, 2013 Share Posted February 15, 2013 euro comes in a hair more juicy for eastern nc va Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JMU2004 Posted February 15, 2013 Share Posted February 15, 2013 euro comes in a hair more juicy for eastern nc va qpf RIC? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Midlo Snow Maker Posted February 15, 2013 Share Posted February 15, 2013 qpf RIC? 0.25" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeSuck Posted February 15, 2013 Share Posted February 15, 2013 I am actually getting excited. This is great as far as trends have been going. 3-6 is looking like a possibility. Can't wait to see AKQ's call of things. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
VBsurf Posted February 15, 2013 Share Posted February 15, 2013 Im in!!! Been lurking since the Euro showed the bomb awhile back. Great setup but no more west trends please! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeSuck Posted February 15, 2013 Share Posted February 15, 2013 http://raleighwx.americanwx.com/models/gfsensemble/members/12zsnowf042.html And http://www.examiner.com/article/snow-possible-across-southeast-this-weekend Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
VBsurf Posted February 15, 2013 Share Posted February 15, 2013 18Z NAM looks ridiculously good.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeSuck Posted February 15, 2013 Share Posted February 15, 2013 NAM is finally on board guys! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
crainjd Posted February 15, 2013 Share Posted February 15, 2013 am I missing something or is the NAM showing all rain for HR? edit: or at least no accumulating snow... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeSuck Posted February 15, 2013 Share Posted February 15, 2013 am I missing something or is the NAM showing all rain for HR? edit: or at least no accumulating snow... Don't pay attention to that. Runs warm. Point is, storm and qpf is back Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geoff Posted February 15, 2013 Share Posted February 15, 2013 DT's 1st Call Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SeVa Posted February 15, 2013 Share Posted February 15, 2013 I would love for that map to verify, but it is kind of hard to believe considering the Euro and NAM are torching us. For example, ORF does not go below freezing at the surface until Monday AM... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeSuck Posted February 15, 2013 Share Posted February 15, 2013 I would love for that map to verify, but it is kind of hard to believe considering the Euro and NAM are torching us. For example, ORF does not go below freezing at the surface until Monday AM... I wouldn't worry too much about temps. they are going to crash hard and we should be saved by timing of precip too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeSuck Posted February 15, 2013 Share Posted February 15, 2013 I would love for that map to verify, but it is kind of hard to believe considering the Euro and NAM are torching us. For example, ORF does not go below freezing at the surface until Monday AM... NWS has ORF low of 27 tomorrow night Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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