Ottawa Blizzard Posted December 18, 2012 Author Share Posted December 18, 2012 JB is becoming delusional. I think he is so obsessed with disproving AGW that he forecasts cold all the time, ignoring how mild it really is. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
michsnowfreak Posted December 18, 2012 Share Posted December 18, 2012 JB is becoming delusional. I think he is so obsessed with disproving AGW that he forecasts cold all the time, ignoring how mild it really is. JB is an idiot, we all know that. But at the same time Ive heard some people so obsessed with linking everything TO AGW such as this mild start to winter here (when other areas of the world are freezing), that its a two-way street of simply not letting the weather be the weather, but trying to hammer in your soap box. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The_Global_Warmer Posted December 18, 2012 Share Posted December 18, 2012 JB is an idiot, we all know that. But at the same time Ive heard some people so obsessed with linking everything TO AGW such as this mild start to winter here (when other areas of the world are freezing), that its a two-way street of simply not letting the weather be the weather, but trying to hammer in your soap box. 1. I read through a couple pages of Brett Anderson's Canadian Weather Blog and didn't find anything of Global Warming. 2. Brett Anderson has a climate change blog. Again I couldn't find anything about him hammering home anything. Rather articles using and linking to study's or data done by other scientists. There appears to be a huge lack of anything tying Brett Anderson as the opposite of JB. If I have missed Anderson being the opposite of JB please link me to it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEOH Posted December 18, 2012 Share Posted December 18, 2012 1. I read through a couple pages of Brett Anderson's Canadian Weather Blog and didn't find anything of Global Warming. 2. Brett Anderson has a climate change blog. Again I couldn't find anything about him hammering home anything. Rather articles using and linking to study's or data done by other scientists. There appears to be a huge lack of anything tying Brett Anderson as the opposite of JB. If I have missed Anderson being the opposite of JB please link me to it. Like a moth to a flame. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The_Global_Warmer Posted December 18, 2012 Share Posted December 18, 2012 Like a moth to a flame. So essentially Brett Anderson runs accuweathers climate blog which is essentially almost completely devoid of his own opinion and mostly the same arcticles or papers that make the mainstream Science rounds. And his actual Weather blog is just about Weather? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ottawa Blizzard Posted December 19, 2012 Author Share Posted December 19, 2012 For the December 20-22 storm, DT is going with 3-6" for Chicago and Toronto, over a foot in Ottawa. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stebo Posted December 19, 2012 Share Posted December 19, 2012 For the December 20-22 storm, DT is going with 3-6" for Chicago and Toronto, over a foot in Ottawa. For Toronto? I don't know bout that one. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ottawa Blizzard Posted December 19, 2012 Author Share Posted December 19, 2012 For Toronto? I don't know bout that one. He says it includes lake effect. have to love your skepticism though. What? Toronto get 3-6"? This city is probably one of the worst for snow lovers anywhere in Canada east of the Rockies. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ottawa Blizzard Posted December 19, 2012 Author Share Posted December 19, 2012 Did anyone see the argument JB and Henry Margusity got into on twitter today? JB calling Margusity out for supposedly presuming to know what his thoughts were! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Quixotic1 Posted December 19, 2012 Share Posted December 19, 2012 Did anyone see the argument JB and Henry Margusity got into on twitter today? JB calling Margusity out for supposedly presuming to know what his thoughts were! must be awkward when jb goes to the accuwx christmas party Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AppsRunner Posted December 20, 2012 Share Posted December 20, 2012 DT offers his thoughts on the models for the Dec. 26-27 storm: DT "*** COMMENT ON 0Z ECMWF*** about dec 26-27... this run of the euro takes the LOW rigjt the spine of the appalachian moutains... From western NC into central PA? taking THIS run of THIS model... That would be ICE over much of inlsnd VA MD PA NJ NYC that goes over to rain... And lots of it. And snow to rain for all of central and eastern PA NY and new england. BUT... the PREVIOUS run of the euro had the low over CHICAGO!! ... Thus one could argue that this is BIG shift in the european model... And its ensembles are also likely to show atrack more to the east. SUMMARY... If you want to forecast heavy rain forvthe east coast for dec 26-27... Feel free but the track IS shifting east" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeye Posted December 20, 2012 Share Posted December 20, 2012 DT offers his thoughts on the models for the Dec. 26-27 storm: interesting, so the model runs prior to this sudden east shift, had gone back west and yet DT believes the big shift east is only the beginning of a trend. A day ago every met was discounting any possiblility that the pattern could support a coastal low.....now suddenly it's possible? So what's changed? The pattern in 24 hours ???? lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEOH Posted December 20, 2012 Share Posted December 20, 2012 interesting, so the model runs prior to this sudden east shift, had gone back west and yet DT believes the big shift east is only the beginning of a trend. A day ago every met was discounting any possiblility that the pattern could support a coastal low.....now suddenly it's possible? So what's changed? The pattern in 24 hours ???? lol. If I follow DT last few posts correctly (which is almost impossible)... I don't think he's calling for a coastal. Rather an inland runner... mix bag turning to rain on the coast. Haven't checked out JB latetly but I'm sure he'll be calling this the app's monster of the century. . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ottawa Blizzard Posted December 30, 2012 Author Share Posted December 30, 2012 DT posted on his Facebook page this morning that he no longer believes that a cold January as consistently predicted by the CFS is possible. As for JB, I seem to recall that he and Joe D'Aleo were seeing January 2004 as one of their analogues. That is looking highly doubtful. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jdrenken Posted January 1, 2013 Share Posted January 1, 2013 Even JBs own son challenges him openly on Fbook. His son Garret knows his ****. ROFL GB knows his ****??? That is classic! He's no different than his father. 1sthandweather is nothing but the bartender for the JB blue-raspberry kool-aid. EDIT: The sad part is how quite a few blogs/fb/twitter accounts in SE MI/N OH worship JB/GB. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chargers09 Posted January 1, 2013 Share Posted January 1, 2013 ROFL GB knows his ****??? That is classic! He's no different than his father. 1sthandweather is nothing but the bartender for the JB blue-raspberry kool-aid. EDIT: The sad part is how quite a few blogs/fb/twitter accounts in SE MI/N OH worship JB/GB. This. Times a billion. Neoweather and etc are a joke. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The_Global_Warmer Posted January 1, 2013 Share Posted January 1, 2013 Look's like JB did a great job on December. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The_Global_Warmer Posted January 1, 2013 Share Posted January 1, 2013 This. Times a billion. Neoweather and etc are a joke. It's a nice presented site ran by a bunch of kids who have an extreme bias for cold and snow. Yeah, and they wonder why their long range forecasts bust far to cold. This is typical all over weather, even in the professional ranks. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SpartyOn Posted January 1, 2013 Share Posted January 1, 2013 It's a nice presented site ran by a bunch of kids who have an extreme bias for cold and snow. Yeah, and they wonder why their long range forecasts bust far to cold. This is typical all over weather, even in the professional ranks. They get help from a good met for the toledo region and mark johnson from CLE is basically a shareholder in spirit. Most def a cold bias. With age that should wane. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chargers09 Posted January 1, 2013 Share Posted January 1, 2013 They get help from a good met for the toledo region and mark johnson from CLE is basically a shareholder in spirit. Most def a cold bias. With age that should wane. Kippen is good. Thats about it Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SpartyOn Posted January 1, 2013 Share Posted January 1, 2013 Kippen is good. Thats about it Kip is the ****. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jdrenken Posted January 2, 2013 Share Posted January 2, 2013 They get help from a good met for the toledo region and mark johnson from CLE is basically a shareholder in spirit. Most def a cold bias. With age that should wane. I doubt it. I'll never forget the day they used wunderground's estimated hail size of 4" as gospel. In Northern OH no less! Their excuse was "If a tree falls in the empty forest does it happen?" when I told them if it wasn't verified it doesn't happen. Along with bringing up to them that estimated hail size is easily 25% larger at the least than what's observed. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stebo Posted January 2, 2013 Share Posted January 2, 2013 Aren't most of them kids with limited meteorological knowledge? I'd like to think going to college would correct some of their lacking of knowledge and their bias. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SpartyOn Posted January 2, 2013 Share Posted January 2, 2013 <blockquote class='ipsBlockquote'data-author="Stebo" data-cid="1976516" data-time="1357085966"><p> Aren't most of them kids with limited meteorological knowledge? I'd like to think going to college would correct some of their lacking of knowledge and their bias.</p></blockquote> Yes. The domain owner and "cheif forecaster" is 16 or 17 yrs old. Brian Ivey is the oldest and I thought I read once that he is in Met school. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OHweather Posted January 2, 2013 Share Posted January 2, 2013 Heh, JD will hate me for this but I'll respond here. I started forecasting for the Neoweather Cleveland "office" at the beginning of December because the domain name owner Jeremy (who is yes, young) went to forecast for another "office" in an effort to expand the site to cover all of Ohio. I don't necessarily disagree with everything said here, I'm not an egotistical moron. I am going to school for met and as far as I know Brian is as well. As far as I know the other Cleveland forecasters aren't. And Mark is older than Brian by a few years, believe it or not. I don't know much about the "Toledo forecasters" other than that Kip is a met which I think is great. I know at least one of those forecasters also posts here from time to time but I won't name him just in case he doesn't want to be named here. When I first started chatting with the Cleveland forecasters about a year and a half ago I would certainly agree that their forecast skills were not really well refined, although they have certainly improved since that time, and believe it or not we have a warm biased forecaster on the Cleveland crew. I hope that things continue to improve, with the biggest area needing improvement being long range forecasting, as our day to day forecasts are generally fairly good. With the Cleveland crew knowing Mark Johnson well, all of us interacting with Tom Kippen behind the scenes and two of us going to college for met hopefully that goal is attainable. The Cleveland page has a good following (and a lot of time has been put into that by Jeremy and the other three long(er) standing forecasters) with almost 2k likes on the Facebook page and heavy traffic during big events...our Facebook page saw almost 15k views last week due to the Boxing Day snowstorm.Anyways just wanted to clear things up or at least explain things from another point of view with regards to websites like Neoweather. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ottawa Blizzard Posted January 5, 2013 Author Share Posted January 5, 2013 DT posted a video today saying he thought the earlier GFS runs calling for deep cold were bogus given the Euro didn't agree and neither did the MJO. Judging from the latest GFS run, he may be right. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
michsnowfreak Posted January 5, 2013 Share Posted January 5, 2013 DT posted a video today saying he thought the earlier GFS runs calling for deep cold were bogus given the Euro didn't agree and neither did the MJO. Judging from the latest GFS run, he may be right. He said the GFS was bringing in the cold too early, not that it was flat out bogus. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted January 5, 2013 Share Posted January 5, 2013 What DT was saying was directed more towards East Coasters and SE people. So what's not good for them is better for us in the Midwest! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ottawa Blizzard Posted January 6, 2013 Author Share Posted January 6, 2013 Here is JBs Saturday summary video from the Weatherbell free site. http://www.weatherbell.com/saturday-summary-january-5-2013 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ottawa Blizzard Posted January 9, 2013 Author Share Posted January 9, 2013 If yesterday's and today's model trends hold, JB could be heading for another huge bust. His winter forecast could turn into a catastrophe for him if he hopes to keep clients. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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