LakeEffectKing Posted December 27, 2012 Share Posted December 27, 2012 I'm surprised we aren't really seeing lake enhancement off of Ontario, yet. I don't know Nick....radar seems to provide evidence of some help..... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OSUmetstud Posted December 27, 2012 Share Posted December 27, 2012 I don't know Nick....radar seems to provide evidence of some help..... maybe just a touch in there...it's not very obvious. I mean we aren't dealing with very cold mid-level temps either...I think we have about 100 j/kg of li cape between the surface and 850...so not too much. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OSUmetstud Posted December 27, 2012 Share Posted December 27, 2012 there is some potential for lightning between now about 06z. There is somw slight convective instability evident on the NAM which coincides with the radar and satellite trends of WNY being on the edge of the dryslot where static stability is reduced. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
heavy_wx Posted December 27, 2012 Share Posted December 27, 2012 About 1.5" here with light snow and a mix of small and medium dendrites. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Revracer800 Posted December 27, 2012 Share Posted December 27, 2012 4" here in Hannibal, Ny... southwest corner of Oswego County. Snow is coming down pretty heavy and wind is starting to pick up. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted December 27, 2012 Share Posted December 27, 2012 there is some potential for lightning between now about 06z. There is somw slight convective instability evident on the NAM which coincides with the radar and satellite trends of WNY being on the edge of the dryslot where static stability is reduced. I don't think I've ever experienced Thunder snow in a synoptic snowstorm ever in my life. That would be a first and I hope it happens! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lakeeffectkid383 Posted December 27, 2012 Share Posted December 27, 2012 Dumping again right now just dumping. I think well be at 10" by midnight. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted December 27, 2012 Share Posted December 27, 2012 Dumping again right now just dumping. I think well be at 10" by midnight. I think all of Erie County receives 15 inches out of this. That band looks like its going to stall out right over the entire county. We are extremely lucky in this event...First time in quite awhile! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OSUmetstud Posted December 27, 2012 Share Posted December 27, 2012 I don't think I've ever experienced Thunder snow in a synoptic snowstorm ever in my life. That would be a first and I hope it happens! I believe we had it in a lake-enhanced clipper before, but I've only seen in it new england. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OSUmetstud Posted December 27, 2012 Share Posted December 27, 2012 Oh btw, this is definitely not 10:1 snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lakeeffectkid383 Posted December 27, 2012 Share Posted December 27, 2012 Oh btw, this is definitely not 10:1 snow. Def not its very fluffy which I think may be from the colder than modeled temperatures today. Think we may land up between 12-18". A beauty of a storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OSUmetstud Posted December 27, 2012 Share Posted December 27, 2012 Def not its very fluffy which I think may be from the colder than modeled temperatures today. Think we may land up between 12-18". A beauty of a storm. certainly possible...you will probably see things like the NAM qpf being considerably overdone..but the fluff factor is saving us by a lot. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
steffen Posted December 27, 2012 Share Posted December 27, 2012 I don't think I've ever experienced Thunder snow in a synoptic snowstorm ever in my life. That would be a first and I hope it happens! I actually did experience non-lake-effect thunder snow a few times in Germany where I grew up. Pretty rare there as well, but it does happen and usually comes with the heaviest snow you can get in that part of the world. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OSUmetstud Posted December 27, 2012 Share Posted December 27, 2012 I think we can hold similar rates to about 06z..then that band will being to pull north of the area and over central Lake Ontario. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lakeeffectkid383 Posted December 27, 2012 Share Posted December 27, 2012 I think we can hold similar rates to about 06z..then that band will being to pull north of the area and over central Lake Ontario. if we hold similar rates till 1am I'll have a foot by then for sure. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Logan11 Posted December 27, 2012 Share Posted December 27, 2012 I had some excellent thunder ++ thunder snow in the 1993 Superstorm below Albany where I lived then. and Re: Germany, I was just over there for a few weeks ...visiting relatives in ULM among other places. Beautiful cold and snowy pattern there the first half of December. A foot of snow in Ulm...gone now as the Atkantic air has taken over, but sweet to have during Xmas season. I actually did experience non-lake-effect thunder snow a few times in Germany where I grew up. Pretty rare there as well, but it does happen and usually comes with the heaviest snow you can get in that part of the world. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kulaginman Posted December 27, 2012 Share Posted December 27, 2012 I can't really see outside the terminal very well so I'm relying on you guys to let me know how much snow has fallen. I'm amazed that they are still planning to get us out of here tonight. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lakeeffectkid383 Posted December 27, 2012 Share Posted December 27, 2012 Justin easy 8" here. Gotta be close to that there as Im hearing about 8" in the BUF area as well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OSUmetstud Posted December 27, 2012 Share Posted December 27, 2012 I can't really see outside the terminal very well so I'm relying on you guys to let me know how much snow has fallen. I'm amazed that they are still planning to get us out of here tonight. I took off to NYC/Bermuda in the middle of an 11" snowstorm a few years ago. The BUF airport is pretty amazing about that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LakeEffectKing Posted December 27, 2012 Share Posted December 27, 2012 You guys in the western counties look good for many additional hours...Over here....4.7" and counting... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lakeeffectkid383 Posted December 27, 2012 Share Posted December 27, 2012 Channel 4 is reporting live from OP and its straight ripping like nuts. Awesome! He said at least 10" there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
steffen Posted December 27, 2012 Share Posted December 27, 2012 Just took a walk in Delaware Park in what was definitely the heaviest snow so far. Pretty amazing storm. It actually almost felt more like LES. Very small flake size here as it has been since the start. It's just "pouring" snow. Didn't measure, but probably already approaching 8". Keep it coming Well, I lied. It's now snowing even harder than earlier. This is crazy. It's almost whiteout right now, but without even any wind! I just shoveled some snow, and I'm pretty sure it snowed around half an inch in just 20 minutes!!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
steffen Posted December 27, 2012 Share Posted December 27, 2012 I had some excellent thunder ++ thunder snow in the 1993 Superstorm below Albany where I lived then. and Re: Germany, I was just over there for a few weeks ...visiting relatives in ULM among other places. Beautiful cold and snowy pattern there the first half of December. A foot of snow in Ulm...gone now as the Atkantic air has taken over, but sweet to have during Xmas season. And in the past few days they had flooding and temps in the upper 60s!! Bad timing Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LakeEffectKing Posted December 27, 2012 Share Posted December 27, 2012 Dry pocket certainly looks to provide CNY'ers a couple hour intermission....hopefully that's the extent of it! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DeltaT13 Posted December 27, 2012 Share Posted December 27, 2012 Dry pocket certainly looks to provide CNY'ers a couple hour intermission....hopefully that's the extent of it! If that isnt one of the nastiest slots I've seen in awhile. It's like a giant middle finger coming right up 81. You'll eventually get back in the def band as it pivots out of here. Tough break though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Syrmax Posted December 27, 2012 Share Posted December 27, 2012 If that isnt one of the nastiest slots I've seen in awhile. It's like a giant middle finger coming right up 81. I blame myself. Too much I-95 mojo still hanging over me. . Not impressed with dendrite size here near SYR. Middling at best. Soon, that will seem good... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lakeeffectkid383 Posted December 27, 2012 Share Posted December 27, 2012 Total whiteout in OP with no wind, 10" and counting. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lakeeffectkid383 Posted December 27, 2012 Share Posted December 27, 2012 Channel 4 RPM model has an ADDITIONAL foot for most of us. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
heavy_wx Posted December 27, 2012 Share Posted December 27, 2012 2.5" here with moderate snow at 24/22. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LakeEffectKing Posted December 27, 2012 Share Posted December 27, 2012 If that isnt one of the nastiest slots I've seen in awhile. It's like a giant middle finger coming right up 81. You'll eventually get back in the def band as it pivots out of here. Tough break though. The "glass half full" side of me says that this just takes back the unexpected fluff factor that is being realized....still a solid foot around here before it is said and done....you guys are, IMO, going to overperform a bit... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Archived
This topic is now archived and is closed to further replies.