snowgeek Posted December 8, 2012 Share Posted December 8, 2012 Just wanted to say Mazel Tov!!! My son (16) is my ultimate weather weenie buddy for life. We track storms together, go snow chasing and hike ADK peaks in the winter. Enjoy every moment. I love the picture! I'm in Albany, NY and find myself mostly reading the NE forums. You guys are a wealth of knowledge and entertainment! I really enjoy your posts and wish you and your family the best! I won't go OT but just this. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 8, 2012 Share Posted December 8, 2012 lol dude, it's weather. LOL it's weather and it's only December. Sure you will. Your family is ok, you have a fine home, a steady income, enough to eat and you're healthy and strong. Things could be worse. I need snow..especially for the holidays. If this promised pattern doesn't deliver..I 'll have to take a break. Seriously. I know I'm not alone on this Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
N. OF PIKE Posted December 8, 2012 Share Posted December 8, 2012 "Approaching xmas eve, will weenies be white, wet, or hanging from trees" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eduggs Posted December 8, 2012 Share Posted December 8, 2012 I just don't understand where all the angst came from overnight. Nothing changed pattern wise. It was one off Euro run. Relax. Stay the course There is nothing in the recent modeling to suggest that snow is on the horizon. Since it's December, it's going to get cold at some point. And surprise snow is always a possibility. But there is little to get excited about on the guidance. Day 10+ is fantasy land. Patterns don't often get locked in at our latitude and longitude... they are usually transient. The medium range is where we spot our wintry threats 90% of the time. I see a slight overrunning threat with a little CAD on Sunday night, minor anafrontal snow potential esp higher elevations of NNE, and the Euro wave potential on Tue or thereabouts (which is unlikely but I think our best bet). A few GFS ensemble members have developed that wave a bit more robustly over the past 24 hours... but still doubtful. Thereafter there's just not much to get excited about if you like snow. We just have to wait for something to show up that's worth watching. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MaineJayhawk Posted December 8, 2012 Share Posted December 8, 2012 bumpity bump bump Hurtful post. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted December 8, 2012 Share Posted December 8, 2012 Hurtful post. met pig pile beginning Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChrisM Posted December 8, 2012 Author Share Posted December 8, 2012 Just wanted to say Mazel Tov!!! My son (16) is my ultimate weather weenie buddy for life. We track storms together, go snow chasing and hike ADK peaks in the winter. Enjoy every moment. I love the picture! I'm in Albany, NY and find myself mostly reading the NE forums. You guys are a wealth of knowledge and entertainment! I really enjoy your posts and wish you and your family the best! post here more! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 8, 2012 Share Posted December 8, 2012 met pig pile beginning I'm not close to melt down now..so even though I know what you're trying to do..it will take much much more..Like not getting snow soon Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cary Posted December 8, 2012 Share Posted December 8, 2012 Congrats, Scott. Great name, too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MaineJayhawk Posted December 8, 2012 Share Posted December 8, 2012 post here more! Yes! Litchfieldlibations isn't part of our region and we let him post here too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
#NoPoles Posted December 8, 2012 Share Posted December 8, 2012 Forgive the intrusion, but just wanted to wish Scott a congrats on the little one! hang in there, mapgirl! final stretch may seem like an eternity but your little one will be here very soon! glad to hear everything has been healthy and uncomplicated so far Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted December 8, 2012 Share Posted December 8, 2012 Hey, Kevin - I don't want acknowledgement for that. I wasn't predicting an icestorm. I merely pointed out that there was some suggestion in the synoptic evolution that icing scenario could take place. I was also clear - I thought anyway - in followup post that this was the case. In fact, I am if anything leaning away from that idea - I haven't had a tremendous amount of time to sneak looks, or even stay on top of things, and contribute this last week as we have deadlines due up at the office. But... I was noticing this last air mass conversion from 25/19 type air mass got eradicated and replaced by 37/34 with almost no advection at the climo sites. The wind was calm at BED for example, and they obliterated the polar air mass. Every situation is different, and this one up coming does at least initially have some polar high parked to our N offering some resistance to that sort of easy temp/dp rebounding, but the high its self has lost that affect in the charts of eroding in place and is now moving as modeled. Some front end concern with mix action cannot be precluded, but I don't see a protracted icing that goes on and on for hours. There is not a whole heck of a lot of CAA on the backside of today's wave, either - you can actually see that in the FRH grid as the T1 level stay virtually static through 48 hours, and the T3 level is the one that cools, but only by a little. Will have a better say on things by the end of tomorrow as we'll have a sensible/measured taste of the character of cold insert into the backside of today's wave, and if it's overperformed, then perhaps 3-5 hours of action might ensue. It's impossible to formulate a forecast for the public based on that internal thinking though - goood luck. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eduggs Posted December 8, 2012 Share Posted December 8, 2012 Speaking of being buried in threads .... Meanwhile, the 0z GGEM stem wound a 30" by 55mph chocking blizzard Didn't see that. Sadly it's day 9 and therefore offers minimal correlation to eventual reality. But it's the first good looking chart I've seen in a while. And it's got to start somewhere. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FEFD17 Posted December 8, 2012 Share Posted December 8, 2012 I won't go OT but just this. Long time lurker( mostly) congrats to you and your wife on the new addition!! May the very best of your past be the worst of your future!! A lot of work follows up dad, but it is soooo worth it!!! I live about 40 miles north of Alb right where Saratoga Warren and Washington counties meet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted December 8, 2012 Share Posted December 8, 2012 I don't think all that much has changed overnight and today. Gradient pattern. There are indications that we could be on the sweet side at times between 12/15-31. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OSUmetstud Posted December 8, 2012 Share Posted December 8, 2012 Didn't see that. Sadly it's day 9 and therefore offers minimal correlation to eventual reality. But it's the first good looking chart I've seen in a while. And it's got to start somewhere. Do you actually have to see a storm for it to be favorable? This was just yesterday, btw. http://raleighwx.americanwx.com/models/ecmwfens/12zECMWFENS6-10day500mbHeightAnomalyNH.gif Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowgeek Posted December 8, 2012 Share Posted December 8, 2012 I should. I actually went to school for meteorology (SUNY Albany 85-89). Actually did some grad work in meteorology and then decided to devote my career to teaching today's youth earth science. I am constantly humbled by the level of knowledge on this board. After enough beers I could probably piss over the border into New England, so I guess I can consider myself a NE poster. post here more! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted December 8, 2012 Share Posted December 8, 2012 I don't think all that much has changed overnight and today. Gradient pattern. There are indications that we could be on the sweet side at times between 12/15-31. Agree. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 8, 2012 Share Posted December 8, 2012 Officially, I have a week to go... but I'm doing everything I can to make it happen sooner! It happened so quick yesterday. Who knows we were a week early, anytime for you now! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted December 8, 2012 Share Posted December 8, 2012 I don't think all that much has changed overnight and today. Gradient pattern. There are indications that we could be on the sweet side at times between 12/15-31. In the words of the great Lewis Kiniski a kiss is just the sweet end of 30 feet of small intestines. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Torchey Posted December 8, 2012 Share Posted December 8, 2012 Great Pic Scott, enjoy these days they go by way too fast! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 8, 2012 Share Posted December 8, 2012 Thanks again guys. It means a lot. Hopefully we can grab a nice pic in the a snow this winter. Like the one of baby Will where it looks like he was abandoned in a snowbank. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Torchey Posted December 8, 2012 Share Posted December 8, 2012 Just installed two new spotlights in the back yard and put in a green and red light for maximum dendritical viewing, big 12z runs today baby! 48/47 mist Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 8, 2012 Share Posted December 8, 2012 I don't think all that much has changed overnight and today. Gradient pattern. There are indications that we could be on the sweet side at times between 12/15-31. Agreed. A few weenies went overboard earlier. Glad we have a few level heads on here. Socks post last nite may have been top 5 worst in board history Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted December 8, 2012 Share Posted December 8, 2012 no second wave.. cutter next weekend... not so great pattern in the mid/long range hahahaha Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OSUmetstud Posted December 8, 2012 Share Posted December 8, 2012 Agreed. A few weenies went overboard earlier. Glad we have a few level heads on here. Socks post last nite may have been top 5 worst in board history to his credit, you may have the other 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snow_Miser Posted December 8, 2012 Share Posted December 8, 2012 Congrats Scott! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MainePhotog Posted December 8, 2012 Share Posted December 8, 2012 Scott, Congrats to you and your wife on your new bundle of joy!! Can't wait to see Bryce's take on the weather in a few years. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorEastermass128 Posted December 8, 2012 Share Posted December 8, 2012 no second wave.. cutter next weekend... not so great pattern in the mid/long range hahahaha Never call people out, but your constant trolling (of ctblizz) is beyond annoying and getting old. I have no problem with the first part of your post, but the 'hahahaha' is excessive. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted December 8, 2012 Share Posted December 8, 2012 It happened so quick yesterday. Who knows we were a week early, anytime for you now! He now shares a b'day with my niece. We're off to her b'day party now. The big 7. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Archived
This topic is now archived and is closed to further replies.