40/70 Benchmark Posted December 3, 2012 Share Posted December 3, 2012 I agree that the funk ends this year, Scooter....we will clean up. I'll beat Kev again...finally. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 3, 2012 Share Posted December 3, 2012 Well, it needs to start evening out because so far, it hasn't. It will eventually. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 3, 2012 Share Posted December 3, 2012 It will eventually. Yea, my funeral will be postponed by a Feb 1969 redux. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted December 3, 2012 Share Posted December 3, 2012 As much as I love the snow and cold...the moisture in the air feels nice after being sick for a week. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 3, 2012 Share Posted December 3, 2012 As much as I love the snow and cold...the moisture in the air feels nice after being sick for a week. Wow...you're off to a slow start. You are someone who is due for a bad year lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 3, 2012 Share Posted December 3, 2012 I agree that the funk ends this year, Scooter....we will clean up. I'll beat Kev again...finally. What do you have ytd? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 3, 2012 Share Posted December 3, 2012 What do you have ytd? My sig didn't tip you off? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted December 3, 2012 Share Posted December 3, 2012 55 here..overperforming torch already...sea breeze later today? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 3, 2012 Share Posted December 3, 2012 Wow...you're off to a slow start. You are someone who is due for a bad year lol I'm sure he will pull off 9" in a SWFE this month while we get 3" and a flip to pellets after being modeled to whiff him 3 days before. Then we will get a "SNE Special" redeveloper that is progged to scrape his area and he will get 10" of fluff with 25 to 1 ratios in some weenie frontogenesis band near the outer fringe of the precip shield. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 3, 2012 Share Posted December 3, 2012 My sig didn't tip you off? I have mobile version set on my iPhone so I don't see sigs Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 3, 2012 Share Posted December 3, 2012 I have mobile version set on my iPhone so I don't see sigs 2.5" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 3, 2012 Share Posted December 3, 2012 I'm sure he will pull off 9" in a SWFE this month while we get 3" and a flip to pellets after being modeled to whiff him 3 days before. Then we will get a "SNE Special" redeveloper that is progged to scrape his area and he will get 10" of fluff with 25 to 1 ratios in some weenie frontogenesis band near the outer fringe of the precip shield. Seriously...he never loses. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 3, 2012 Share Posted December 3, 2012 Seriously...he never loses. I think the last time that area got really screwed was 2005-2006...2009-2010 was pretty crappy, but not a total disaster like it was in SE NH/Maine/far NE MA. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 3, 2012 Share Posted December 3, 2012 2.5" Glad to see I talked your lips off the tailpipe the other day and you decided to enter life and wx again. Congrats on 100+ this winter Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 3, 2012 Share Posted December 3, 2012 Glad to see I talked your lips off the tailpipe the other day and you decided to enter life and wx again. Congrats on 100+ this winter Nah.....had nothing to do with you....coincidence. Finally getting over some crap a bit... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChrisM Posted December 3, 2012 Author Share Posted December 3, 2012 Hey ray Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted December 3, 2012 Share Posted December 3, 2012 Wow...you're off to a slow start. You are someone who is due for a bad year lol I haven't updated my sig...it's only early Dec so it's not slow to me. A lot of those big years in my sig had little in November. I'm at 2.8". Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 3, 2012 Share Posted December 3, 2012 Nah.....had nothing to do with you....coincidence. Finally getting over some crap a bit... Well put on your snow pants with no undies underneath, snap the shoulder straps in place and when you zip up the front , careful of your sheath Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 3, 2012 Share Posted December 3, 2012 I haven't updated my sig...it's only early Dec so it's not slow to me. A lot of those big years in my sig had little in November. I'm at 2.8". I mean relative to other areas... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 3, 2012 Share Posted December 3, 2012 Well put on your snow pants with no undies underneath, snap the shoulder straps in place and when you zip up the front , careful of your sheath :lol: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 3, 2012 Share Posted December 3, 2012 Hey ray What up, handsome.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted December 3, 2012 Share Posted December 3, 2012 CFS Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HM Posted December 3, 2012 Share Posted December 3, 2012 A North Atlantic thumb ridge is okay but the vortex is going to be rapidly reconsolidating over this area in the stratosphere. The wave 1 and poleward EP vectors are promising (ECMWF has been consistent with poleward EP vectors mid-dec) but it won't be fast enough for that period. I'm wondering if this thumb ridge is nothing more than upstream ridging from tropospheric PV and won't be much of a factor. ECMWF ensembles seem very La Niña-like with anomaly placements through the foreseeable future. Ugly pattern down my way / Mid Atlantic. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
am19psu Posted December 3, 2012 Share Posted December 3, 2012 A North Atlantic thumb ridge is okay but the vortex is going to be rapidly reconsolidating over this area in the stratosphere. The wave 1 and poleward EP vectors are promising (ECMWF has been consistent with poleward EP vectors mid-dec) but it won't be fast enough for that period. I'm wondering if this thumb ridge is nothing more than upstream ridging from tropospheric PV and won't be much of a factor. ECMWF ensembles seem very La Niña-like with anomaly placements through the foreseeable future. Ugly pattern down my way / Mid Atlantic. Yup. I know Don S is a bit more bullish on cooler weather toward the end of the month, but I'm not seeing it yet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OSUmetstud Posted December 3, 2012 Share Posted December 3, 2012 I do like that the -NAO is getting more support going forward, that's good to see. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted December 3, 2012 Share Posted December 3, 2012 I mean relative to other areas... Yeah I guess. If I'm still losing to LL come April I may have to leap off of Tuckerman's, but until then I'll remain patient. Like Will said, 05-06 was a dead ratter up here, but luckily I wasn't here then. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HM Posted December 3, 2012 Share Posted December 3, 2012 Yup. I know Don S is a bit more bullish on cooler weather toward the end of the month, but I'm not seeing it yet. Don't get me wrong, very impressive warming developing in eastern Siberia currently. But I'm thinking an ineffective NAO signal for now (I was already wrong with how the early Dec stratosphere-AO-NAO relationship would work once from a month out so you know ... lol) but becoming more effective entering the New Year. Maybe we get the real deal for New Years or just a little after. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
am19psu Posted December 3, 2012 Share Posted December 3, 2012 Don't get me wrong, very impressive warming developing in eastern Siberia currently. But I'm thinking an ineffective NAO signal for now (I was already wrong with how the early Dec stratosphere-AO-NAO relationship would work once from a month out so you know ... lol) but becoming more effective entering the New Year. Maybe we get the real deal for New Years or just a little after. Yeah, I mean, if the models are right, I don't see how we're not +NAO at least through Christmas, even with the potential for a -AO (of course, like you, given my December forecast around Nov 15, maybe I shouldn't be doing much pontificating either ) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HM Posted December 3, 2012 Share Posted December 3, 2012 I do like that the -NAO is getting more support going forward, that's good to see. Well like I told you a while back, if it is going to help anyone it is going to be you Upper Midwest-Lakes-New England folk. But that still means a lousy start to the LES season which I think we both agreed on was the most likely outcome. Although, there are some decent cold shots being modeled to change that around in the medium range. Overall the amount of warming was more than I expected but a lot of things did end up working out. I am very impressed with the models and the stratosphere along with the typical AO relationships and what they meant. It is always the interpretation that gets skewed... womp Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
am19psu Posted December 3, 2012 Share Posted December 3, 2012 Overall the amount of warming was more than I expected but a lot of things did end up working out. I am very impressed with the models and the stratosphere along with the typical AO relationships and what they meant. It is always the interpretation that gets skewed... womp lol this. Although try telling my bosses that at work... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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