Clinch Leatherwood Posted December 8, 2012 Share Posted December 8, 2012 hopefully kevin will apologize to me for laughing at me over a week ago when i said "torch period" was coming. If we look back at consensus predictions we had a cool to cold early December, a torch around Christmas and a change back in early January. Fast forward we have been warm, are about to get warmer, probably aren't going to go below normal at all in December and are in jeopardy of staying warmer than normal most of the month. Warmth always performs or over performs, cold expectations underperform or are transient. If I don't see solid indications by the Monday morning model runs of if they've gone the wrong way again ill be rich camarilloing December. The pacific is dominant and unrelenting and although the deadliest catch guys are having an easier time of it this year the consistent vortex is a menace for us. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted December 8, 2012 Share Posted December 8, 2012 Must have missed it LL , please link. Thanks Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 8, 2012 Share Posted December 8, 2012 Another one of the ugliest days imaginable. 37/36 -RN heavy fog. This past week absolutely sucked weather-wise. Nonsense..it's been a torch since Dec 1..We've had September in December.Hope you've tanned, mowed, and even got to have dinner on the deck a few of the muggier nights Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Torchey Posted December 8, 2012 Share Posted December 8, 2012 Must have missed it LL , please link. Thanks LOL go back and read this thread, I am not going back and reading it for you lol, I know your old but come on Sultginxy Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 8, 2012 Share Posted December 8, 2012 I can see we;re back to a few weenies walking the plank..calling for snowless December. The board may become unreadable this morning if it hasn't yet Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattb65 Posted December 8, 2012 Share Posted December 8, 2012 Panicked weenies flopping around after one bad model suite. So much angst on here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Torchey Posted December 8, 2012 Share Posted December 8, 2012 Did the Euro lose the follow up wave? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted December 8, 2012 Share Posted December 8, 2012 Did the Euro lose the follow up wave? Ct blizz should get his own blog on this site. For the record I think anyone that wants one should be allowed to have one of they're a donating member/subscriber. There are plenty of amateurs I enjoy reading just as much. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Torchey Posted December 8, 2012 Share Posted December 8, 2012 Panicked weenies flopping around after one bad model suite. So much angst on here. Angst? Lol, this is hysterical I dont think anyone is anxious about anything, perhaps just realizing that patience is required and that the Euro took a step back along with its Ensembles along with the 6zgfs. Like Will, and countless others have said, next weeks storm (15th) could easily cut and it probably will. We will eventually get there, someday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 8, 2012 Share Posted December 8, 2012 Scooter came on ..saw the nonsense and left w/o posting. Don't blame him this morning Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted December 8, 2012 Share Posted December 8, 2012 So now actually talking about model output is considered weenie panic. Have to say things have gone downhill in this forum. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Torchey Posted December 8, 2012 Share Posted December 8, 2012 So now actually talking about model output is considered weenie panic. Have to say things have gone downhill in this forum. Quality discussion is calling for winter to lock in on November 25th, quality discussion is saying the torch is muted, quality discussion is calling for 4-8 inches, quality discussion is calling for ice storms or frozen when temps are 20 degrees above freezing, then dismissing the one model you dry hump all year when it has a horrific run along with its Ensembles. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted December 8, 2012 Share Posted December 8, 2012 So now actually talking about model output is considered weenie panic. Have to say things have gone downhill in this forum. Any discussion that isn't red tag endorsed.... After a few weeks of the change being 2 weeks away it either has to happen or we realize the warmanistas were somewhat right. aside of ct blizz and his neighbor showing us their snowsticks last week this has been an uneventful period. I'm still optimistic but it's hard to deny aside or some sandy induced mayhem we have mostly been mired in a pacific induced toaster bath. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bostonseminole Posted December 8, 2012 Share Posted December 8, 2012 Any discussion that isn't red tag endorsed.... After a few weeks of the change being 2 weeks away it either has to happen or we realize the warmanistas were somewhat right. aside of ct blizz and his neighbor showing us their snowsticks last week this has been an uneventful period. I'm still optimistic but it's hard to deny aside or some sandy induced mayhem we have mostly been mired in a pacific induced toaster bath. not a bad post, pretty boring lately. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted December 8, 2012 Share Posted December 8, 2012 Is the K~RUGER model still calling for some or mostly frozen for the interior? Sunday Night A chance of rain showers, snow showers, and sleet before 2am, then rain showers likely. Cloudy, with a low around 32. Calm wind becoming east around 5 mph after midnight. Chance of precipitation is 60%. New precipitation amounts of less than a tenth of an inch possible. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted December 8, 2012 Share Posted December 8, 2012 Hyperbole on either extreme does not help. As of now nothing indicates an extended torch nor an extended below normal period. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted December 8, 2012 Share Posted December 8, 2012 If we look back at consensus predictions we had a cool to cold early December, a torch around Christmas and a change back in early January. Fast forward we have been warm, are about to get warmer, probably aren't going to go below normal at all in December and are in jeopardy of staying warmer than normal most of the month. Warmth always performs or over performs, cold expectations underperform or are transient. If I don't see solid indications by the Monday morning model runs of if they've gone the wrong way again ill be rich camarilloing December. The pacific is dominant and unrelenting and although the deadliest catch guys are having an easier time of it this year the consistent vortex is a menace for us. Nice reference...at least you did not name Brooks Branard Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted December 8, 2012 Share Posted December 8, 2012 Nice 37F sheet drizzle Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted December 8, 2012 Share Posted December 8, 2012 how are you getting those? Bump for Kevin Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted December 8, 2012 Share Posted December 8, 2012 hopefully kevin will apologize to me for laughing at me over a week ago when i said "torch period" was coming. Bump for Kevin Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted December 8, 2012 Share Posted December 8, 2012 If we look back at consensus predictions we had a cool to cold early December, a torch around Christmas and a change back in early January. Fast forward we have been warm, are about to get warmer, probably aren't going to go below normal at all in December and are in jeopardy of staying warmer than normal most of the month. Warmth always performs or over performs, cold expectations underperform or are transient. If I don't see solid indications by the Monday morning model runs of if they've gone the wrong way again ill be rich camarilloing December. The pacific is dominant and unrelenting and although the deadliest catch guys are having an easier time of it this year the consistent vortex is a menace for us. i think the first week to 10 days were always looked at as a mild / transition period. at least going back toward turkey day. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
N. OF PIKE Posted December 8, 2012 Share Posted December 8, 2012 So now actually talking about model output is considered weenie panic. Have to say things have gone downhill in this forum. true story. Sad but true Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cycloneslurry Posted December 8, 2012 Share Posted December 8, 2012 I don't think people are panicking...there is nothing to panic about to be honest. It's not like we have been tracking some big coastal whose track is in doubt. There is simply not much going on to get excited about. Potential snow and cold keep getting pushed back much like last year. Most of the cold shots were transient and underperformed, but this is what is has been for almost two years now. We just had out first below normal month temp wise in 20 months! This has been a long and sustained warm, and mostly dry period of weather. I think we just need to be patient and although it is frustrating it will come at some point. I think we need to stop setting dates by which the "pattern will flip" cause that ain't happening anytime soon. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted December 8, 2012 Share Posted December 8, 2012 Bump for Kevin There's no way he has 11-15d access...pretty sure he just makes it up that it looks fine and then hopes Scooter comes on to ease his qualms. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted December 8, 2012 Share Posted December 8, 2012 D8-D10 op mean... Some potential there but also some electric bath potential. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted December 8, 2012 Share Posted December 8, 2012 I can see we;re back to a few weenies walking the plank..calling for snowless December. The board may become unreadable this morning if it hasn't yet welcome to the dark side. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted December 8, 2012 Share Posted December 8, 2012 There's no way he has 11-15d access...pretty sure he just makes it up that it looks fine and then hopes Scooter comes on to ease his qualms. lol pretty much Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted December 8, 2012 Share Posted December 8, 2012 Here's the super cold, snowy, and wintry D15 Euro Ens mean Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 8, 2012 Share Posted December 8, 2012 Bump for Kevin Someone sends them to me on my phone Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted December 8, 2012 Share Posted December 8, 2012 Someone sends them to me on my phone Shabbs? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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