ORH_wxman Posted December 7, 2012 Share Posted December 7, 2012 Why did ORH record a 27 for the 6th as its low temp? 06 06:54 N 8 G 16 10.00 Fair CLR 24 14 28 24 Its an error it looks like. They had a temp of 25F too at 13z right after the low of 24F at 12z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChrisM Posted December 7, 2012 Author Share Posted December 7, 2012 i think he's talking about the warning for southern FFLD county--it's 39 here now...northern FFLD county is warranted. no, it's that S CT is the new winter capital of New England. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 7, 2012 Share Posted December 7, 2012 Well he is hoping for 45 instead of 55 to protect all that snow. I don't even think 45 is possible Monday inland Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 7, 2012 Share Posted December 7, 2012 I don't even think 45 is possible Monday inland Maybe, either way it's kind of ugly. I could see some interior areas like ORH north still socked in. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 7, 2012 Share Posted December 7, 2012 Interesting SWFE event up this way Sun night into Mon. Classic -5 to -6 at 850 here in Maine but turning +1 to +2 between 800 and 750. Should be fun. eckster tossing them out up here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted December 7, 2012 Share Posted December 7, 2012 Its an error it looks like. They had a temp of 25F too at 13z right after the low of 24F at 12z. They had some bad obs yest afternoon. Maybe they did something that cleared the max/mins and instead the late 5z 26F got recorded as the min? Someone should FYI Turtle in case BOX misses it like that one other time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 7, 2012 Share Posted December 7, 2012 What is this torch talk Xmas on? Ens and weeklies lock in winter Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 7, 2012 Share Posted December 7, 2012 Pretty nice run in the long range too. Lots of ridging up north after PV breaks apart. Pretty nice -nao.. The only thing that could hurt us is the -PNA but im not too worried about it. I like the bit of RNA....ensures there will be no 2010 antics. Sorry, DC...Baltimore. Not your year. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HM Posted December 7, 2012 Share Posted December 7, 2012 What is this torch talk Xmas on? Ens and weeklies lock in winter No they don't. The torch talk isn't new either. It was 1 of 2 scenarios laid out for over a month now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ravensrule Posted December 7, 2012 Share Posted December 7, 2012 I like the bit of RNA....ensures there will be no 2010 antics. Sorry, DC...Baltimore. Not your year. Except for one year it never is, tell us some new news. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 7, 2012 Share Posted December 7, 2012 No they don't. The torch talk isn't new either. It was 1 of 2 scenarios laid out for over a month now. Well I'm speaking for our area only which I think they do overall. You have been mentioning the torch for the holidays yes as a possibility. Most mets up here aren't leaning that way . Hopefully all of the east can cash in Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 7, 2012 Share Posted December 7, 2012 Except for one year it never is, tell us some new news. You got your money's worth that year though....I will never see any period that anomalous, snowfallwise. Epically frustrating here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted December 7, 2012 Share Posted December 7, 2012 Except for one year it never is, tell us some new news. But what a year it was...epic meltdowns up here especially after the 2/10 Bust and the 2/25 rainstorm while NYC south snowed... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HM Posted December 7, 2012 Share Posted December 7, 2012 Well I'm speaking for our area only which I think they do overall. You have been mentioning the torch for the holidays yes as a possibility. Most mets up here aren't leaning that way . Hopefully all of the east can cash in I'm hoping the gradient pattern can persist. I'm pretty sure the weeklies break everything down and grow pretty warm weeks 3-4, based on general circulation. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted December 7, 2012 Share Posted December 7, 2012 O my Eric awesome. Scooters new moon baby AWT!!!! Yes Jerry hope to make it to the 15th, question is will we all make it to the 22nd? Would be nice to go out with a KU. A szygy baby! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 7, 2012 Share Posted December 7, 2012 I was just looking at the winter of '70-'71 because we had brought up Dec '70 in the pattern analogs....what a ridiculous winter that was here. The total snow (80") was not epic...it was solidly above average. But the snow cover definitely was epic. It never torched that winter. 108 consecutive days with 1" or more on the ground from Dec 12th to March 29th. 72 consecutive days with 12" or more on the ground from Dec 17th to Feb 26th. Now that is a winter. That beats 2000-2001 for sure. Though the depth never reached the epic '01 levels. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Isotherm Posted December 7, 2012 Share Posted December 7, 2012 I'm hoping the gradient pattern can persist. I'm pretty sure the weeklies break everything down and grow pretty warm weeks 3-4, based on general circulation. I've been thinking we'll know a lot more by early next week once the east based NAO begins to develop. Once a certain synoptic feature is in place, it's a bit easier for models to project what that block might do. Main question in my mind is how far west can the block propagate if at all? I think the NAO east is essentially a lock at this point, but the placement will make a huge difference in east coast gradient, anywhere from N/C New England down to our neck of the woods. If we can get the block to propagate wwd as GFS based guidance seems to be hammering post D 8, then everyone from PHL northward could get some fun late Dec. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 7, 2012 Share Posted December 7, 2012 I've been thinking we'll know a lot more by early next week once the east based NAO begins to develop. Once a certain synoptic feature is in place, it's a bit easier for models to project what that block might do. Main question in my mind is how far west can the block propagate if at all? I think the NAO east is essentially a lock at this point, but the placement will make a huge difference in east coast gradient, anywhere from N/C New England down to our neck of the woods. If we can get the block to propagate wwd as GFS based guidance seems to be hammering post D 8, then everyone from PHL northward could get some fun late Dec. I'd be shocked if the SNE region n of the pike got shafted...I'm confident. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 7, 2012 Share Posted December 7, 2012 I'd be shocked if the SNE region n of the pike got shafted...I'm confident. As well Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted December 7, 2012 Share Posted December 7, 2012 every model brings the warm sector through at least CT monday Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HM Posted December 7, 2012 Share Posted December 7, 2012 I've been thinking we'll know a lot more by early next week once the east based NAO begins to develop. Once a certain synoptic feature is in place, it's a bit easier for models to project what that block might do. Main question in my mind is how far west can the block propagate if at all? I think the NAO east is essentially a lock at this point, but the placement will make a huge difference in east coast gradient, anywhere from N/C New England down to our neck of the woods. If we can get the block to propagate wwd as GFS based guidance seems to be hammering post D 8, then everyone from PHL northward could get some fun late Dec. Good post. I'm still against the west-based solutions but admit my confidence is low (60/40). If the PV rotates from Greenland to Siberia, imagine the 3-D tornado in your head in the stratosphere. Now anomalous NW momentum will be transferred across the west-based regions while anomalous southerly momentum occurs over Europe. This seems to jive well with the ECMWF ensembles and how they keep the NAO more east based. You can picture how the heights might contort to what they show if you picture the vortex above it doing its thing. http://www.ecmwf.int/products/forecasts/d/charts/medium/eps/ensm/essential!Geopotential%20at%20500hPa!Northern%20Hemisphere!240!pop!od!enfo!plot_ensm_essential!2012120700!!/ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
#NoPoles Posted December 7, 2012 Share Posted December 7, 2012 Hey Eric, you gotta find that picture of pickles shirtless with an umbrella in the snow from last October. That should be used or later. I'm sure Diane has a 24x30 frame of that above her bed. oh jeezus...i do not...i don't even have that pic anymore...the sole keeper is Eric Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
#NoPoles Posted December 7, 2012 Share Posted December 7, 2012 LOL..she loves Pickles. Do we have a SNE dating game? pickles won't ski with me, he's out...on the prowl for my next obsession... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
heavy_wx Posted December 7, 2012 Share Posted December 7, 2012 I was just looking at the winter of '70-'71 because we had brought up Dec '70 in the pattern analogs....what a ridiculous winter that was here. The total snow (80") was not epic...it was solidly above average. But the snow cover definitely was epic. It never torched that winter. 108 consecutive days with 1" or more on the ground from Dec 12th to March 29th. 72 consecutive days with 12" or more on the ground from Dec 17th to Feb 26th. Now that is a winter. That beats 2000-2001 for sure. Though the depth never reached the epic '01 levels. That was a great year for ALB with a record 112.5". Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 7, 2012 Share Posted December 7, 2012 Well I'm speaking for our area only which I think they do overall. You have been mentioning the torch for the holidays yes as a possibility. Most mets up here aren't leaning that way . Hopefully all of the east can cash in Well lets not confuse conversations from 2 weeks ago and think everything that was said still applies. Things will always change. The weeklies do become more unfavorable, but it's also more of a SWFE pattern in which the gradient will be nearby. Verbatim it wasn't that warm, but how do you know where the gradient is on a weekly smoothed out mean? We don't right now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 7, 2012 Share Posted December 7, 2012 pickles won't ski with me, he's out...on the prowl for my next obsession... He has a gf Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 7, 2012 Share Posted December 7, 2012 pickles won't ski with me, he's out...on the prowl for my next obsession... I'd target Ray before another guy does. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
toronto blizzard Posted December 7, 2012 Share Posted December 7, 2012 Well lets not confuse conversations from 2 weeks ago and think everything that was said still applies. Things will always change. The weeklies do become more unfavorable, but it's also more of a SWFE pattern in which the gradient will be nearby. Verbatim it wasn't that warm, but how do you know where the gradient is on a weekly smoothed out mean? We don't right now. For weeks 3&4 it has the gradient? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 7, 2012 Share Posted December 7, 2012 I'd target Ray before another guy does. I wouldn't wanna make you and Allison jealous. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 7, 2012 Share Posted December 7, 2012 I was just looking at the winter of '70-'71 because we had brought up Dec '70 in the pattern analogs....what a ridiculous winter that was here. The total snow (80") was not epic...it was solidly above average. But the snow cover definitely was epic. It never torched that winter. 108 consecutive days with 1" or more on the ground from Dec 12th to March 29th. 72 consecutive days with 12" or more on the ground from Dec 17th to Feb 26th. Now that is a winter. That beats 2000-2001 for sure. Though the depth never reached the epic '01 levels. Violently agree. Most folks on here don't care about snowpack. But to me that is a perfect winter with snow OTG at all times with refreshers. ✨Absolute heaven Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Archived
This topic is now archived and is closed to further replies.