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Moving Through December - Changing Patterns and Changing Diapers


ChrisM

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LOL, I knew what you meant and agree. Who knows, the 00z run may even come back a bit in both AK and the NAO region.

Weenies tend to get excited when we say potential and wintry chances, but those words should be taken verbatim. Perhaps many are having visions of 2007 and 2008 dancing in their heads. This pattern has produced before, but of course..there are always exceptions that can occur. Likewise for crappy patterns somehow giving us 150% of snow climo. I do feel reasonable well about getting some chances to get SWFE or even perhaps a coastal low if we can get something ejecting out of the plains combined with a -NAO.

How can it go wrong? Well, the -NAO as planned completely fails, but I don't really see this falling apart 100%. It is probably a good idea to question the west based -NAO as you and many others have said. The Aleutian ridge fails to build and the pattern becomes -PNA dominiated and lows end up coming to close to us or cutting west. I think this also will be amped up enough to at least keep the cold source nearby.

But, I do feel like we can try to grab some opportunities here. QPF will be there with the gradient nearby and so will colder air.

BTW, it's good to have you posting your thoughts as well. A nice addition to this forum and thread. :thumbsup:

I appreciate that, just trying to add a little something to an already excellent discussion..I'm also in sw CT now so I'm technically geographically relevant to the forum too (though I know ctblizz would argue otherwise)

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I appreciate that, just trying to add a little something to an already excellent discussion..I'm also in sw CT now so I'm technically geographically relevant to the forum too (though I know ctblizz would argue otherwise)

Yeah, thanks for ditching Monmouth, loser. JK. You'll be sorry for that move when we jackpot the big dog this year, as we have been every event.

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