NorEaster27 Posted December 6, 2012 Share Posted December 6, 2012 Like living at 500mb MRG? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OSUmetstud Posted December 6, 2012 Share Posted December 6, 2012 MRG? he wishes...it's an old joke about Ray complaining about it "looking great at 500mb," but then doing nothing at the surface. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 6, 2012 Share Posted December 6, 2012 Man, this wave breaking event is beautiful. Over Tolland? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 6, 2012 Share Posted December 6, 2012 Days 11-15 have been pretty epic so far. You would have been shoveling off the roof by now, I wish i had a nickel for all the KU storms the GFS has had @hr 384 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 6, 2012 Share Posted December 6, 2012 Like living at 500mb Always great at H5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted December 6, 2012 Share Posted December 6, 2012 Time to mow over one of your feet? I'm eco friendly to compensate for your carbon footprint. I have goats that keep the lawn short.When you and Coventry are snowshoeing down Mt Tolland Xmas week everyone will be in a good mood. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OSUmetstud Posted December 6, 2012 Share Posted December 6, 2012 :lol: I'm eco friendly to compensate for your carbon footprint. I have goats that keep the lawn short. When you and Coventry are snowshoeing down Mt Tolland Xmas week everyone will be in a good mood. lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 6, 2012 Share Posted December 6, 2012 Its going to be unprecedented if I make it to Dec 14th with 8.5" of snow on the season. Seriously, people need to get over the idea that models failed on the MJO PAC stuff for Dec 5-10. It was looking like a fail over a week ago. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 6, 2012 Share Posted December 6, 2012 Its going to be unprecedented if I make it to Dec 14th with 8.5" of snow on the season. Seriously, people need to get over the idea that models failed on the MJO PAC stuff for Dec 5-10. It was looking like a fail over a week ago. Why aren't you excited for the 2nd wave snow Tuesday? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OSUmetstud Posted December 6, 2012 Share Posted December 6, 2012 Its going to be unprecedented if I make it to Dec 14th with 8.5" of snow on the season. Seriously, people need to get over the idea that models failed on the MJO PAC stuff for Dec 5-10. It was looking like a fail over a week ago. can you post that BOS top 5 snow image again? **** keeps getting buried around here and I can't find it. Wasn't there more AK ridging? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Torchey Posted December 6, 2012 Share Posted December 6, 2012 depressing forecast from okx rain and 45-58 for highs over the next 5 days, just need to get to next weekend. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 6, 2012 Share Posted December 6, 2012 Its going to be unprecedented if I make it to Dec 14th with 8.5" of snow on the season. Seriously, people need to get over the idea that models failed on the MJO PAC stuff for Dec 5-10. It was looking like a fail over a week ago. Just let an orange line car hit you at downtown crossing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted December 6, 2012 Share Posted December 6, 2012 This one is for CT Blizz. If we make it through December Everythings gonna be all right I know It's the coldest time of winter And I shivver when I see the fallin snow If we make it through December we'll be fine http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Z-IJxTd8dCo Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 6, 2012 Share Posted December 6, 2012 can you post that BOS top 5 snow image again? **** keeps getting buried around here and I can't find it. Wasn't there more AK ridging? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cycloneslurry Posted December 6, 2012 Share Posted December 6, 2012 medium range look warm and boring from Matt Noyes this is his 8-14 day forecast which takes us through the 17th of December. People are so focused on the temps and forgetting that 80% of our country is still mired in a year long drought...it has been very very hard to get any measurable precip in here for quite some time now...November driest on record...so I am just as concerned about dryness as I am about temps. From Noyes... An active jet stream will continue to carry Pacific storms into the West Coast, and after a week of flooding the country with warm air, producing record warm temperatures in several cities for the month of December, this mild air will be offset by a deepening but broad trough that will allow cold air to seep southward from Canada. Near the Canadian border, this will mean cold air produces below normal temperatures in the Northern Plains and Upper Midwest. In the southern United States, the mild air will be well entrenched and too far from any Canadian push of cool, meaning above normal temperatures prevail. For a belt between, including the Northeast, near normal or perhaps very slightly above normal temperature should be the result. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OSUmetstud Posted December 6, 2012 Share Posted December 6, 2012 thanks. Obviously the degree of AK/Aleutians ridging is a concern going forward. It obviously doesn't have to be as good as the 5 best years to produce something decent...but you don't want to maintain low heights in that 60-70N region. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HM Posted December 6, 2012 Share Posted December 6, 2012 Looks like some mean retrograding on the ECMWF which could ultimately lead to a torch if the NAO doesn't help. Is it gonna be a brown Christmas in NJ? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 6, 2012 Share Posted December 6, 2012 If we do not see a raging +PNA, raging -EPO and raging -NAO it will not snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
toronto blizzard Posted December 6, 2012 Share Posted December 6, 2012 If we do not see a raging +PNA, raging -EPO and raging -NAO it will not snow. NJ winter 23 was scaring me with his description of the 12z euro ensembles. Are they that bad? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 6, 2012 Share Posted December 6, 2012 Unreadable Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted December 6, 2012 Share Posted December 6, 2012 NJ winter 23 was scaring me with his description of the 12z euro ensembles. Are they that bad? Not if your expectations were reasonable for mid to late December. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 6, 2012 Share Posted December 6, 2012 NJ winter 23 was scaring me with his description of the 12z euro ensembles. Are they that bad? Don't worry, After the 0z run you will be able to step back from the cliff Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
easternsnowman Posted December 6, 2012 Share Posted December 6, 2012 This time of year is depressing enough without the lousy weather pattern. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted December 6, 2012 Share Posted December 6, 2012 Not if your expectations were reasonable for mid to late December. Snow, heavy at times, starting November 25th.... oh wait.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted December 6, 2012 Share Posted December 6, 2012 2nd major met just punted to the end of December on twitter? Weird. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 6, 2012 Share Posted December 6, 2012 Euro ensembes do not show a KU cookbook pattern...but they never have. If you are looking for that, then I will direct you to some Eastern threads from 2009-2010. They are not quite as obsessed with the NAO block moving west...however, that should be expected as we move closer. We have been skeptical of a west based block for some time now. An east based block though looks probable, which is a good thing to have. The Aleutian ridge is going to take a beating southward between now and next week...it actually already has....but then it builds poleward again. That is key going forward in December as it keeps a supply of arctic air into Canada. If the ridge is flattened out as we get closer and we see slightly above normal heights in Kamchatka and Bering straight replaced by a deep vortex...then we would be in serious trouble. But nothing suggests that will happen right now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 6, 2012 Share Posted December 6, 2012 Euro ensembes do not show a KU cookbook pattern...but they never have. If you are looking for that, then I will direct you to some Eastern threads from 2009-2010. They are not quite as obsessed with the NAO block moving west...however, that should be expected as we move closer. We have been skeptical of a west based block for some time now. An east based block though looks probable, which is a good thing to have. The Aleutian ridge is going to take a beating southward between now and next week...it actually already has....but then it builds poleward again. That is key going forward in December as it keeps a supply of arctic air into Canada. If the ridge is flattened out as we get closer and we see slightly above normal heights in Kamchatka and Bering straight replaced by a deep vortex...then we would be in serious trouble. But nothing suggests that will happen right now. May get some to back off the ledge now, Jeezus its bad in here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
toronto blizzard Posted December 6, 2012 Share Posted December 6, 2012 Euro ensembes do not show a KU cookbook pattern...but they never have. If you are looking for that, then I will direct you to some Eastern threads from 2009-2010. They are not quite as obsessed with the NAO block moving west...however, that should be expected as we move closer. We have been skeptical of a west based block for some time now. An east based block though looks probable, which is a good thing to have. The Aleutian ridge is going to take a beating southward between now and next week...it actually already has....but then it builds poleward again. That is key going forward in December as it keeps a supply of arctic air into Canada. If the ridge is flattened out as we get closer and we see slightly above normal heights in Kamchatka and Bering straight replaced by a deep vortex...then we would be in serious trouble. But nothing suggests that will happen right now. But they still have a formidable -NAO right? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted December 6, 2012 Share Posted December 6, 2012 I don't mind near normal to slightly above... just get us some precip (Blizz..look to the left <---------) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Torchey Posted December 6, 2012 Share Posted December 6, 2012 -4 on the day here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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