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Moving Through December - Changing Patterns and Changing Diapers


ChrisM

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That event can easily be a cutter as we discussed yesterday. It could end up being colder too. Last night's runs preferred the cutter idea. I remember people said on Dec 12-13, 2010 that we couldn't get a cutter because we had a raging -NAO...

121221.gif

A lot of misinformed people were skydiving with no parachutes after that one.

The ensembles are trying to build part o the PV into SE Canada in the long range which would be a very nice look for us. Whether the 12/11 storm ends up wintry or not, nothing really changes about our thoughts for mid-month. A cutter might actually help build the -NAO westward the ensembles are progging to do.

Strongly agree man. I could see the system early next week trend cooler sure, we have a recent precedence for a failed cutter to go off of, but I'm not holding my breath for more than a mix onset to rain for you guys. the period following to the 20th looks real nice though. i'd even give nyc/philly a reasonable shot if we can time a wave nicely with a prime negative NAO dip.

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So playing the teleconnection game, rapid drop of AO, rapid drop of NAO, rapid PNA rise and a new moon period from the 11th to the 14th. Expect a stemwinder hopefully in the right position for a snowstorm, until then half naked coed hackey sack on the quad.

What would the possible ramifications of this be for sw RI?

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So playing the teleconnection game, rapid drop of AO, rapid drop of NAO, rapid PNA rise and a new moon period from the 11th to the 14th. Expect a stemwinder hopefully in the right position for a snowstorm, until then half naked coed hackey sack on the quad.

Despite the ensemble look on those graphs with the PNA trending positive, I'm not getting a warm feeling about it when looking at the 500 mean maps...the mean ridge is offshore in the pacificgoing forward.

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Perhaps it's my advancement toward middle age, or the fact that there's no snow cover to protect, but torches don't bother me like they used to... this morning's walk to work was pleasant. Only thing to sweat about a Dec. torch is that the sun sets before you have a chance to get outside and enjoy things.

If the pattern is crap and there's no snow on the ground, bring on 60 and sunny!

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Perhaps it's my advancement toward middle age, or the fact that there's no snow cover to protect, but torches don't bother me like they used to... this morning's walk to work was pleasant. Only thing to sweat about a Dec. torch is that the sun sets before you have a chance to get outside and enjoy things.

If the pattern is crap and there's no snow on the ground, bring on 60 and sunny!

Concur 10000%

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Perhaps it's my advancement toward middle age, or the fact that there's no snow cover to protect, but torches don't bother me like they used to... this morning's walk to work was pleasant. Only thing to sweat about a Dec. torch is that the sun sets before you have a chance to get outside and enjoy things.

If the pattern is crap and there's no snow on the ground, bring on 60 and sunny!

I don't really mind it either...esp if its early in the season and without snow cover...and if there's a decent pattern to look forward to. All of those qualify at the moment, so I'm OK with it.

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Perhaps it's my advancement toward middle age, or the fact that there's no snow cover to protect, but torches don't bother me like they used to... this morning's walk to work was pleasant. Only thing to sweat about a Dec. torch is that the sun sets before you have a chance to get outside and enjoy things.

If the pattern is crap and there's no snow on the ground, bring on 60 and sunny!

Yup....as much as this sentiment will eat at Kevin's soul...agree, wholeheartedly.

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Phil ended up doing the interview for my nephew...sorry that dumbazz waited so late.

No idea why he did that.

Oh yeah...sorry man, I had my phone on for a while but then fell asleep watching football around 5-6pm, lol. I woke up and saw your text, but by then it was like 745.

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Despite the ensemble look on those graphs with the PNA trending positive, I'm not getting a warm feeling about it when looking at the 500 mean maps...the mean ridge is offshore in the pacificgoing forward.

I am very skeptical of those maps verifying with that trifecta of teleconnections progged.

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