Damage In Tolland Posted December 5, 2012 Share Posted December 5, 2012 I should never deviate from KURO. Lesson learned. Stay the course my friend. I'm 40 now. Well seasoned vet. Ride the KURO like a wild stallion Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 5, 2012 Share Posted December 5, 2012 I should never deviate from KURO. Lesson learned. Other than the fact he will be potentially 3 weeks late...yeah ride it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 5, 2012 Share Posted December 5, 2012 The euro ensembles became very nice through the 11-15 day with the west based nao developing. It gets progressively cooler through that window, though the extreme cold stays at bay in northern plains and western canada due to the pacific pattern. It's amazing how such a subtle kink in the 500 pattern near alaska leads to such drastic 2mT differences in the 11-15 day as seen between the gefs (very cold nationally) and euro ens (not so much) today. Verbatim, it looks like a solid pattern for chances in new england by the ~15th-20th i'm sure by this time tomorrow the models will have trended worse again, and they'll be hanging themselves from the snow gun hoses (or whatever sick twisted joke that is thrown around here) They do look nice. That NAO block is a good thing for us here, even if the Pacific remains king. They also try to build the Aleutian ridge a bit more too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted December 5, 2012 Share Posted December 5, 2012 Stay the course my friend. I'm 40 now. Well seasoned vet. Ride the KURO like a wild stallion My wife and I will be seeing Leonard Cohen at the Wang Center 12/15. Back when it was the old Boston Music Hall, My then wife and I went to see Linda Ronstadt in her heyday 12/9/75....big snow incoming that night but I was able to push it out of my mind for a few hours and enjoy the concert.. Will we have a repeat performance 37 years later? This time I'll have an iphone....lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Torchey Posted December 5, 2012 Share Posted December 5, 2012 Great to feel the cool air coming back in, makes things much more festive, going to be a brutal stretch again fri into next week. Just have to grin and bear it and look towards the 20th and beyond and hope for some chances of white. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
danstorm Posted December 5, 2012 Share Posted December 5, 2012 My wife and I will be seeing Leonard Cohen at the Wang Center 12/15. Back when it was the old Boston Music Hall, My then wife and I went to see Linda Ronstadt in her heyday 12/9/75....big snow incoming that night but I was able to push it out of my mind for a few hours and enjoy the concert.. Will we have a repeat performance 37 years later? This time I'll have an iphone....lol. I thought they changed the name of the Wang Center to the Weenie Center!? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 5, 2012 Share Posted December 5, 2012 I still want to see this continue before getting real excited, but the prospects of a -NAO of some sort is increasing and perhaps a 1-2 week period of more winter threats heading past mid month. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted December 5, 2012 Share Posted December 5, 2012 My wife and I will be seeing Leonard Cohen at the Wang Center 12/15. Back when it was the old Boston Music Hall, My then wife and I went to see Linda Ronstadt in her heyday 12/9/75....big snow incoming that night but I was able to push it out of my mind for a few hours and enjoy the concert.. Will we have a repeat performance 37 years later? This time I'll have an iphone....lol. you should try to see Ronstadt now she's "twice" the performer she used to be Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 5, 2012 Share Posted December 5, 2012 The NAO blocking is actually starting to get closer now getting into D10 or even clsoer for the onset...I wonder if its going to happen now and not just stay a D10-15 pipedream. Both the Euro and GEFS seem to be using next week's cutter to accelerate the process. As the Aleutian ridge tries to build poleward late in the period, that will only make it that much more favorable...hopefully we have something to build off of today. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted December 5, 2012 Share Posted December 5, 2012 Other than the fact he will be potentially 3 weeks late...yeah ride it. On the 25th an epic winter will settle in...who cares if it's November 25 or December 25? Like Bastardi, the mouse will eventually find the cheese. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ravensrule Posted December 5, 2012 Share Posted December 5, 2012 On the 25th an epic winter will settle in...who cares if it's November 25 or December 25? Like Bastardi, the mouse will eventually find the cheese. The Kuro is delayed not denied. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 5, 2012 Share Posted December 5, 2012 On the 25th an epic winter will settle in...who cares if it's November 25 or December 25? Like Bastardi, the mouse will eventually find the cheese. Pattern change beginning Dec 10th....complete by Dec 25th. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bostonseminole Posted December 5, 2012 Share Posted December 5, 2012 what hotel is that? Westin Kierland?. Yes! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted December 5, 2012 Share Posted December 5, 2012 . Yes! great place. bagpipe guy still play? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ace0927 Posted December 5, 2012 Share Posted December 5, 2012 . Yes! i was there for a conference in March...gorgeous resort. Pretty good Sushi place in the little town across the street from the hotel Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dsnowx53 Posted December 5, 2012 Share Posted December 5, 2012 The euro ensembles became very nice through the 11-15 day with the west based nao developing. It gets progressively cooler through that window, though the extreme cold stays at bay in northern plains and western canada due to the pacific pattern. It's amazing how such a subtle kink in the 500 pattern near alaska leads to such drastic 2mT differences in the 11-15 day as seen between the gefs (very cold nationally) and euro ens (not so much) today. Verbatim, it looks like a solid pattern for chances in new england by the ~15th-20th i'm sure by this time tomorrow the models will have trended worse again, and they'll be hanging themselves from the snow gun hoses (or whatever sick twisted joke that is thrown around here) The ensembles might even be good for areas a bit further south as well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HM Posted December 5, 2012 Share Posted December 5, 2012 A -NAO and RNA like being modeled on the euro would possibly bring near historic snows to the Midwest for someone. That is exactly the kind of pattern those guys need, like in Chicago e.g. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Torchey Posted December 5, 2012 Share Posted December 5, 2012 The NAO blocking is actually starting to get closer now getting into D10 or even clsoer for the onset...I wonder if its going to happen now and not just stay a D10-15 pipedream. Both the Euro and GEFS seem to be using next week's cutter to accelerate the process. As the Aleutian ridge tries to build poleward late in the period, that will only make it that much more favorable...hopefully we have something to build off of today. thats good news, was hoping that would happen. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted December 5, 2012 Share Posted December 5, 2012 you should try to see Ronstadt now she's "twice" the performer she used to be I know. She was sveldt and quite pretty back then. Then again ....who wasn't! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted December 5, 2012 Share Posted December 5, 2012 Pattern change beginning Dec 10th....complete by Dec 25th. It maybe true this year but we say that every single year. Maybe it's just climo saying, "yes it will get more wintery as we get to the last week in December.". Because as usual, we don't care if the pattern actually changes or not, it's all graded on snowfall and how many winter weather events. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ravensrule Posted December 5, 2012 Share Posted December 5, 2012 A -NAO and RNA like being modeled on the euro would possibly bring near historic snows to the Midwest for someone. That is exactly the kind of pattern those guys need, like in Chicago e.g. People live in Chicago, we only care about the East Coast here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwinter23 Posted December 5, 2012 Share Posted December 5, 2012 The ensembles might even be good for areas a bit further south as well. Yeah Doug I was feeling the same way, but I'm definitely not getting excited about it yet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Yorkpa25 Posted December 5, 2012 Share Posted December 5, 2012 This weather is great, fingers are crossed it stays this way until April. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
leo1000 Posted December 5, 2012 Share Posted December 5, 2012 I still want to see this continue before getting real excited, but the prospects of a -NAO of some sort is increasing and perhaps a 1-2 week period of more winter threats heading past mid month. 1-2 weeks? we should get a lock in pattern. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted December 5, 2012 Share Posted December 5, 2012 This weather is great, fingers are crossed it stays this way until April. 34.7F and falling here Yes it should continue! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HM Posted December 5, 2012 Share Posted December 5, 2012 First we need the cold air to be driven down but that type of pattern in the extended range would build up the CONUS snow cover big time. It would be much like the polar regions in the autumn...going from well below to well above in a very short amount of time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted December 5, 2012 Share Posted December 5, 2012 I should never deviate from KURO. Lesson learned. Honestly really nothing has changed since the end of Nov when it was became clear the first week to 10 days was not going to be great. Day to day fluctuations but many have stated here things look better from the 10th or so on. seems to be true. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted December 5, 2012 Share Posted December 5, 2012 Hmm...I'm bringing my 3yo up to Sugarbush to teach her to ski 12/12-12/15, maybe I should push it back to the 16-19th Awesome name Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 5, 2012 Share Posted December 5, 2012 1-2 weeks? we should get a lock in pattern. Well patterns can break down and build up easily. Perhaps it does lock in, but realistically it could give a 1-2 week period of fun...if it were to happen like that. I still want to see some more evidence going forward, but I feel like some sort of a -NAO is possible. We really need this because the Pacific is dominating and it's tough to get cold arctic air deeply entrenched in the east with such a -PNA. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 5, 2012 Share Posted December 5, 2012 Some of the long range Roundy stuff does look like it tries to indicate a -NAO too, but it's still kind of borderline here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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