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Moving Through December - Changing Patterns and Changing Diapers


ChrisM

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Ct blizz is exceptionally evenkeeled and unbiased regarding wx and everyday I pray more on the board will follow his footsteps, I even encouraged a new poster last nite to go under his wing. The other 99% of us are constantly humbled by the rev

Thus the results of medication

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That's actually a nice -NAO the Euro is starting to build in the LR...that would bode well going forward.

Was just about to mention that... Euro also has a hugely +EPO developing with massive Arctic dump into the Northern Plains.

Biggest difference between the 12Z Euro and GFS is that the Euro is much faster building heights in the 8-10 day period vs. the GFS... but both have the big players on the field that you want to see going beyond that.

12Z GFS in the 11-15 day period vis-a-vis cold in the East is night and day vs. 00Z. It's la-la land, but it's much colder... extrapolated Euro would follow suit.

Encouraging set of model runs this afternoon.

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Another beauty today, on our early morning walk I took this pic of seawood, driftwood and other leftovers from the surge over a month ago. This is a couple blocks back from the beach, the hedge about 4.5 ft high. Most homes are empty along the beach or condemned, everything has to be gutted and replaced before people can move back in. The exceptions being the newer homes built to fema standards which are 11.5 ft off the ground without basements.

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Coldfront you had me cracking up walking down the street w that reply. And it certainly was a cool crisp walkoutside w cloudy skies and winds gusting. Still 49 f

lol, Its starting to cool down here as well post frontal, Hopefully the pattern starts to improve after next weeks cutter

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The euro ensembles became very nice through the 11-15 day with the west based nao developing. It gets progressively cooler through that window, though the extreme cold stays at bay in northern plains and western canada due to the pacific pattern. It's amazing how such a subtle kink in the 500 pattern near alaska leads to such drastic 2mT differences in the 11-15 day as seen between the gefs (very cold nationally) and euro ens (not so much) today.

Verbatim, it looks like a solid pattern for chances in new england by the ~15th-20th

i'm sure by this time tomorrow the models will have trended worse again, and they'll be hanging themselves from the snow gun hoses (or whatever sick twisted joke that is thrown around here)

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The euro ensembles became very nice through the 11-15 day with the west based nao developing. It gets progressively cooler through that window, though the extreme cold stays at bay in northern plains and western canada due to the pacific pattern. It's amazing how such a subtle kink in the 500 pattern near alaska leads to such drastic 2mT differences in the 11-15 day as seen between the gefs and euro ens today.

Verbatim, it looks like a solid pattern for chances in new england by the ~15th-20th

i'm sure by this time tomorrow the models will have trended worse again, and they'll be hanging from the snow gun hoses again (or whatever sick twisted joke that is thrown around here)

Yeah that's frontal nudity. Many thanks
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