dryslot Posted December 5, 2012 Share Posted December 5, 2012 Whenever I use leery there, he "corrects" me... Wary: good Leery: good Weary: lol, The pattern is getting to some already Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MainePhotog Posted December 5, 2012 Share Posted December 5, 2012 Anyone who is getting their panties in a twist this early needs to take a deep breath and calm down. The average first measurable snow in Boston isn't usually until something like December 10. It's not at all uncommon to see a big dump at the end of December that dominates the snowfall for the month. I have a serious skiing addiction and will probably be near suicidal if we get another warm year, but I am still calm and optimstic. Welcome! Cooler heads will prevail. Great first post! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 5, 2012 Share Posted December 5, 2012 I love how before 192, it is all inland runners / La Nina / East-Based -NAO and then all of a sudden it turns into 2010 afterwards. Gee I wonder why... Because its at day 8 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 5, 2012 Share Posted December 5, 2012 GGEM looks like a more prolonged period of frozen in the interior before a flip to rain Euro hasn't been overly enthusiastic on this idea though so I would like to see it come around a bit before thinking more than just a couple hours of front end sleet/ice/mangled flakes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 5, 2012 Share Posted December 5, 2012 Pretty big changes on the GEFS as compared to 00z, but could be typical model mayhem. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
leo1000 Posted December 5, 2012 Share Posted December 5, 2012 Has any one seen the 12z GFS 11-15 day image that was released today. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted December 5, 2012 Share Posted December 5, 2012 2 days ago it was me. Yesterday it was pickles. Today's Leo's turn as WOTD Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 5, 2012 Share Posted December 5, 2012 GFS ensembles are a massive pants tent after the 16th. Boy would that be nice, but not sure if that is a stable change. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 5, 2012 Share Posted December 5, 2012 Pretty big changes on the GEFS as compared to 00z, but could be typical model mayhem. Wow...that is cold on the GEFS. It looks a lot better up by AK/Bering Sea/Kamchatka than it has for several days. Arctic express into the CONUS because of that. Its insistance on the -NAO doesn't hurt either...but I think the N PAC is what fuels the colder look...at least for the plains. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted December 5, 2012 Share Posted December 5, 2012 The name is very self-descriptive. Mountain meteorology (specifically mountain wave breaking and secondary generation) was my specialty in grad school. I have seasons passes to Jay Peak and the Granite Pass (Wildcat, Attitash, Crotched). I spend most of time ski time at my ski club in North Conway, though I'll be at Jay Peak next week. I'll be skiing slush at Bretton Woods and Attitash this weekend and early next week. I've got my fingers crossed for some upslope flow late next week at Jay. Nice man, hope your Jay peak trip is filled with feathers. enjoy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Alpha5 Posted December 5, 2012 Share Posted December 5, 2012 Seeing some improvements on the 12z GFS in the mid-long range. Looks like we're attempting to move the vortex out of the DS area and building in some better heights over greenland. Winds howling out of the NW here, light snow, 35, rebuilding the snowpack Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 5, 2012 Share Posted December 5, 2012 Wow...that is cold on the GEFS. It looks a lot better up by AK/Bering Sea/Kamchatka than it has for several days. Arctic express into the CONUS because of that. Its insistance on the -NAO doesn't hurt either...but I think the N PAC is what fuels the colder look...at least for the plains. I know. I don't know what to make of it, but that looks great. That was a big change. The GFS op and GEFS temp differences averaged out are like 15-25 cooler than 00z..lol. I'd like to see the other ensembles do this. It may have swung a little too hard here, but if it can keep a modest form of the H5 height field in AK and the Davis Straits..that would be good here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChrisM Posted December 5, 2012 Author Share Posted December 5, 2012 The name is very self-descriptive. Mountain meteorology (specifically mountain wave breaking and secondary generation) was my specialty in grad school. I have seasons passes to Jay Peak and the Granite Pass (Wildcat, Attitash, Crotched). I spend most of time ski time at my ski club in North Conway, though I'll be at Jay Peak next week. I'll be skiing slush at Bretton Woods and Attitash this weekend and early next week. I've got my fingers crossed for some upslope flow late next week at Jay. my cousin and her husband live in N. Conway, and he skis there a ton. I bet you'd know him. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 5, 2012 Share Posted December 5, 2012 I know. I don't know what to make of it, but that looks great. That was a big change. The GFS op and GEFS temp differences averaged out are like 15-25 cooler than 00z..lol. I'd like to see the other ensembles do this. It may have swung a little too hard here, but if it can keep a modest form of the H5 height field in AK and the Davis Straits..that would be good here. Yeah I doubt we end up as nuts as the GEFs indicate....it has virtually the entire CONUS in the freeze, lol. Coast to coast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 5, 2012 Share Posted December 5, 2012 my cousin and her husband live in N. Conway, and he skis there a ton. I bet you'd know him. Is it Jack Mehoff? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 5, 2012 Share Posted December 5, 2012 Is it Jack Mehoff? We can all forget about Bob Copeland joining the board now.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 5, 2012 Share Posted December 5, 2012 Amout Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorEaster27 Posted December 5, 2012 Share Posted December 5, 2012 Amout its wrong Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Torchey Posted December 5, 2012 Share Posted December 5, 2012 I never said to punt December BTW...that is all LL. Mrs Claus and I just finished Xmas shopping, at Tucker's for a burger and beer. I said punt till the 20th, not the entire month and you did say the other day you were close to punting the first half if the month, just satin'. Another gorgeous day! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted December 5, 2012 Share Posted December 5, 2012 Tuckers on Commerce drive? Never been there-any good? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted December 5, 2012 Share Posted December 5, 2012 Is it Jack Mehoff? Bruce Schwoegler is violently smashing his monitor with a candy cane... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 5, 2012 Share Posted December 5, 2012 Bruce Schwoegler is violently smashing his monitor with a candy cane... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted December 5, 2012 Share Posted December 5, 2012 Torchy out there-58 degrees right now. Most of CT well into the 50's at this hour Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 5, 2012 Share Posted December 5, 2012 Mrs Claus and I just finished Xmas shopping, at Tucker's for a burger and beer. I said punt till the 20th, not the entire month and you did say the other day you were close to punting the first half if the month, just satin'. Another gorgeous day! Well most December's have 15 days where nothing really happens. That's a lot different. Maybe a trip to the Blue Oyster Bar? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 5, 2012 Share Posted December 5, 2012 From what I heard, Schwoegler had the mouth of a mechanic. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 5, 2012 Share Posted December 5, 2012 Is it Jack Mehoff? Yeah, That's blow's bros Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Torchey Posted December 5, 2012 Share Posted December 5, 2012 Tuckers on Commerce drive? Never been there-any good? Dude....any good? The best Jerry the best! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 5, 2012 Share Posted December 5, 2012 From what I heard, Schwoegler had the mouth of a mechanic. Probably when he would throw stuff at the DIFAX charts when the 3-6" of snow squalls on the back end didn't verify. Or the thunderstorms on Cape Cod during Nor' Easters. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 5, 2012 Share Posted December 5, 2012 Euro has a better push of colder air ahead of next week's low. Still looks warm, but maybe more frozen to start. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 5, 2012 Share Posted December 5, 2012 Probably when he would throw stuff at the DIFAX charts when the 3-6" of snow squalls on the back end didn't verify. Or the thunderstorms on Cape Cod during Nor' Easters. LOL, that was me when I woke up to brown ground and the sun shining after 1-3" was forecasted. I miss the little tstm icon with lightning bolts coming out of it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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