Damage In Tolland Posted December 5, 2012 Share Posted December 5, 2012 I never said to punt December BTW...that is all LL. Yeah most of us can see that past Dec 10 winter hits. But Joe is really struggling to grasp things right now Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowlover76 Posted December 5, 2012 Share Posted December 5, 2012 Not looking good. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 5, 2012 Share Posted December 5, 2012 Nah....just speaking hypothetically. I prob avg about 8-10" through the end of Dec.....only 5.5" off, and we've just started the month. You do a little better than that...probably closer to a foot. Like 2" November and 10" in Dec. But a lot of the climo is toward the end of the month and for good reason, esp on the CP. You'll frequently be screwing around for the first 15-20 days of the month and then get a good event or two in the final week or 10 days. I certainly wouldn't rule out an event before the 20th though either this year. I could see something happening in the 14th-18th time range. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 5, 2012 Share Posted December 5, 2012 I'm not worried in the least about this season. I'd be shocked if it sucked. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted December 5, 2012 Share Posted December 5, 2012 We will all be sitting back and chuckling about all of this in a little while Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MountainMet Posted December 5, 2012 Share Posted December 5, 2012 You do a little better than that...probably closer to a foot. Like 2" November and 10" in Dec. But a lot of the climo is toward the end of the month and for good reason, esp on the CP. You'll frequently be screwing around for the first 15-20 days of the month and then get a good event or two in the final week or 10 days. I certainly wouldn't rule out an event before the 20th though either this year. I could see something happening in the 14th-18th time range. Anyone who is getting their panties in a twist this early needs to take a deep breath and calm down. The average first measurable snow in Boston isn't usually until something like December 10. It's not at all uncommon to see a big dump at the end of December that dominates the snowfall for the month. I have a serious skiing addiction and will probably be near suicidal if we get another warm year, but I am still calm and optimstic. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 5, 2012 Share Posted December 5, 2012 GFS with a little front end brief snow next week. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 5, 2012 Share Posted December 5, 2012 Anyone who is getting their panties in a twist this early needs to take a deep breath and calm down. The average first measurable snow in Boston isn't usually until something like December 10. It's not at all uncommon to see a big dump at the end of December that dominates the snowfall for the month. I have a serious skiing addiction and will probably be near suicidal if we get another warm year, but I am still calm and optimstic. Welcome aboard, but you will easily see how this happens when you spend more time on here..lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
radarman Posted December 5, 2012 Share Posted December 5, 2012 Anyone who is getting their panties in a twist this early needs to take a deep breath and calm down. The average first measurable snow in Boston isn't usually until something like December 10. It's not at all uncommon to see a big dump at the end of December that dominates the snowfall for the month. I have a serious skiing addiction and will probably be near suicidal if we get another warm year, but I am still calm and optimstic. Welcome. Always room for a level headed local red-tagged skier. Look forward to your contributions! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 5, 2012 Share Posted December 5, 2012 GFS with a little front end brief snow next week. Yeah, quick hour or two of SN to start? lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 5, 2012 Share Posted December 5, 2012 Where is Mountainman Met from? BOS area? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 5, 2012 Share Posted December 5, 2012 Yeah, quick hour or two of SN to start? lol. Still 50/50 on early week outcome next week? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 5, 2012 Share Posted December 5, 2012 Anyone who is getting their panties in a twist this early needs to take a deep breath and calm down. The average first measurable snow in Boston isn't usually until something like December 10. It's not at all uncommon to see a big dump at the end of December that dominates the snowfall for the month. I have a serious skiing addiction and will probably be near suicidal if we get another warm year, but I am still calm and optimstic. Welcome aboard, bro... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 5, 2012 Share Posted December 5, 2012 Yeah, quick hour or two of SN to start? lol. Yeah then maybe brief ice. Nice high position though, but an eventual SYR low. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 5, 2012 Share Posted December 5, 2012 Where is Mountainman Met from? BOS area? Couple towns nw of me Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 5, 2012 Share Posted December 5, 2012 Where is Mountainman Met from? BOS area? Chelmsford is NW of BOS by about 30NM and averages more snow than you. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 5, 2012 Share Posted December 5, 2012 Still 50/50 on early week outcome next week? for what...any frozen? Yeah I'd say so. For all frozen? It never was 50/50 for all frozen...and the chances of that right now are extremely low. We still may need to watch for a more prolonged period of icing....but we need the confluence to our northeast to improve...right now its not impressive enough to contort the pressure field for long lasting CAD. So any icing or frozen looks to be fairly brief at the onset. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OSUmetstud Posted December 5, 2012 Share Posted December 5, 2012 Not looking good. Eh? He has slightly above normal snowfall for us to New England. I'm not super knowledgable in long range...but his thoughts don't see unreasonable. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 5, 2012 Share Posted December 5, 2012 Welcome aboard, bro... Seconded. I used to spend a lot of time in Chelmsford...no longer as Megan has moved to Natick. Pretty decent snow spot in SNE though up in Chelmsford. Great spot for SWFEs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 5, 2012 Share Posted December 5, 2012 Chelmsford is NW of BOS by about 30NM and averages more snow than you. They avg around 50 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OSUmetstud Posted December 5, 2012 Share Posted December 5, 2012 Powderfreak doing snow angels in upslope on Monday and Tuesday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 5, 2012 Share Posted December 5, 2012 for what...any frozen? Yeah I'd say so. For all frozen? It never was 50/50 for all frozen...and the chances of that right now are extremely low. We still may need to watch for a more prolonged period of icing....but we need the confluence to our northeast to improve...right now its not impressive enough to contort the pressure field for long lasting CAD. So any icing or frozen looks to be fairly brief at the onset. Id still be wary of that high trending stronger as we move closer. The wound up Midwest blizzard idea seems to be gone Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherMA Posted December 5, 2012 Share Posted December 5, 2012 NNE would do okay on the GFS. Nothing crazy, but probably advisory snow before some freezing rain and rain. Walking a fine line though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 5, 2012 Share Posted December 5, 2012 Amazingly, this may be the largest QPF event since 11/7...and it's not like this will be a 2-4" rain event. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 5, 2012 Share Posted December 5, 2012 Mt Mansfield........ftw Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 5, 2012 Share Posted December 5, 2012 Seconded. I used to spend a lot of time in Chelmsford...no longer as Megan has moved to Natick. Pretty decent snow spot in SNE though up in Chelmsford. Great spot for SWFEs. They usually remain on the right side of the cf, while I'm driving into a tree on route 129 E Billerica, as I cross it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 5, 2012 Share Posted December 5, 2012 That's a great snow for Chicago as modeled. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherMA Posted December 5, 2012 Share Posted December 5, 2012 They avg around 50 LOL, good try. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 5, 2012 Share Posted December 5, 2012 Id still be wary of that high trending stronger as we move closer. The wound up Midwest blizzard idea seems to be gone Leery Why don't you ever get that right? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 5, 2012 Share Posted December 5, 2012 They usually remain on the right side of the cf, while I'm driving into a tree on route 129 E Billerica, as I cross it. Will got his taste of the CF on 11/7. I was talking to him and he went from wet snow at the beginning of the Pru tunnel, to moderate snow at the end of the tunnel. No joke..lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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