Damage In Tolland Posted December 4, 2012 Share Posted December 4, 2012 I can see the fact that the morphology of the boundary and its attending cylogen packages, and the placement/axis being almost 400mi E, between the 00z and 12z runs ... escaped the irrecoverably cynical in all this. Also, to those same persons - it probably doesn't matter that the GGEM had an ending as snow event D8+, and the NOGAPs has an ice to snow event, but when you add those colder depiction to the fact that the 12z Euro came out with marked discontinuity should raise all kinds of concerns that colder solutions on a continental scale are still on the table. Everyone is too focused on the beautiful wx outside today Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 4, 2012 Share Posted December 4, 2012 Everyone is too focused on the beautiful wx outside today Good thing we stayed cool to protect all that snow you forecasted....oh but wait.... Get out and enjoy the winter months. Run around like a little kid giggling and let them stick to your tongue. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 4, 2012 Share Posted December 4, 2012 Good thing we stayed cool to protect all that snow you forecasted....oh but wait.... Get out and enjoy the winter months. Run around like a little kid giggling and let them stick to your tongue. Couldnt believe all the top down convertibles today.would have thought it was May or June. Wow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted December 4, 2012 Share Posted December 4, 2012 I really wish they would get rid of CISCO - his clear and non-ambiguous bias in favor of the Ecm is not just ad nauseam but he has been wrong at time because of it - does this guy ever get evaluated. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted December 4, 2012 Share Posted December 4, 2012 Couldnt believe all the top down convertibles today.would have thought it was May or June. Wow not a day at or above normal from 11/25 to 12/15. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bostonseminole Posted December 4, 2012 Share Posted December 4, 2012 76 here yuck. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted December 4, 2012 Share Posted December 4, 2012 This tells me we wait until probably 12/22 or later for consistently wintry wx. 1993 hopefully Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted December 4, 2012 Share Posted December 4, 2012 I really wish they would get rid of CISCO - his clear and non-ambiguous bias in favor of the Ecm is not just ad nauseam but he has been wrong at time because of it - does this guy ever get evaluated. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted December 4, 2012 Share Posted December 4, 2012 Loverly.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 4, 2012 Share Posted December 4, 2012 Jerry close to panic attack meltdown lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted December 4, 2012 Share Posted December 4, 2012 GEFS same d10 period: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted December 4, 2012 Share Posted December 4, 2012 Shut it down until the solstice. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted December 4, 2012 Share Posted December 4, 2012 No panic. I'll find a way to enjoy it if its warm. We have places to walk to in this part of SNE....lol... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwinter23 Posted December 4, 2012 Share Posted December 4, 2012 I'll take December 2004, but wouldn't want January of 2005. Deep South Texas got an amazing snowstorm by our standards on Christmas Eve into Christimas Day 2004 (e.g., areas northwest of Corpus Christi got on average 6-8" of snow, and I was there). However, January was lackluster for my area. http://www.google.co...APb6SMR16I4kz_A ...You, live in south Texas Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted December 4, 2012 Share Posted December 4, 2012 lol....This doesn't look all that much better.....a little but it may take awhile to flush this hostile crap. The 12Z suite from UK and USA says December torches. End of story. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorEastermass128 Posted December 4, 2012 Share Posted December 4, 2012 GEFS same d10 period: I hope you booked that AK trip for this winter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
danstorm Posted December 4, 2012 Share Posted December 4, 2012 Shut it down until the solstice. That's an eternity for this board. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
radarman Posted December 4, 2012 Share Posted December 4, 2012 I hope you booked that AK trip for this winter. Moved the SNE weenie GTG from Valdez to Bristol Bay for some late season crabbing in the Bering Sea next week. Be like One Flew Over the Cuckoos Nest except with heavy freezing spray and 35 footers. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SlantStickers Anonymous Posted December 4, 2012 Share Posted December 4, 2012 Well, my policy is pessimism pays off. The deeper the spiral into madness we achieve the better winter will feel when it gets going lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorEaster27 Posted December 4, 2012 Share Posted December 4, 2012 lol....This doesn't look all that much better.....a little but it may take awhile to flush this hostile crap. The 12Z suite from UK and USA says December torches. End of story. yes this was known 3 weeks ago. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 4, 2012 Share Posted December 4, 2012 This thread is horrible. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthCoastMA Posted December 4, 2012 Share Posted December 4, 2012 lol....This doesn't look all that much better.....a little but it may take awhile to flush this hostile crap. The 12Z suite from UK and USA says December torches. End of story. Isn't that a -PNA and weak -NAO combo? I've heard we can do well in those, but I could be reading that map incorrectly. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SlantStickers Anonymous Posted December 4, 2012 Share Posted December 4, 2012 This thread is horrible. Lmao, just imagine how it will look if we have a brown Christmas. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 4, 2012 Share Posted December 4, 2012 Unreadable is more like it Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 4, 2012 Share Posted December 4, 2012 This thread is horrible. Agreed. Folks are posting nonsense. Some of it from good posters. Nothing at all has changed Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 4, 2012 Share Posted December 4, 2012 This thread is horrible. Well it will only take a 00z suite of ensemble runs looking more promising to change the tune. Kevin had a famous meltdown right around the ice storm in 2008 because model guidance looked like a torch...even though we were kind of riding on a knife's edge. The 12/19/08 event was modeled to be a huge cutter....he lost it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 4, 2012 Share Posted December 4, 2012 Or an 18z run of the GFS.....lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted December 4, 2012 Share Posted December 4, 2012 It's not like me to melt down but the prospects are not great. It will do what it does. The 12Z ensemble guidance is not promising. And the 51 member Euro ensemble team doesn't seem to be feeling it but maybe it's better beyond d10... I'm fine with waiting till late December...that is more normal. Just stating what the data is saying today. Nothing more. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted December 4, 2012 Share Posted December 4, 2012 I really wish they would get rid of CISCO - his clear and non-ambiguous bias in favor of the Ecm is not just ad nauseam but he has been wrong at time because of it - does this guy ever get evaluated. LOL...this entire board humps the ECM. Everyone is wrong sometimes but those that follow the ECM are wrong less of the time lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 4, 2012 Share Posted December 4, 2012 Well it will only take a 00z suite of ensemble runs looking more promising to change the tune. Kevin had a famous meltdown right around the ice storm in 2008 because model guidance looked like a torch...even though we were kind of riding on a knife's edge. The 12/19/08 event was modeled to be a huge cutter....he lost it. I don't have to tell you how on the edge we are for something avg to above avg for snowfall vs below. Of course there is the chance we happen to be 100 miles too far south, but there is no way to figure that out. We've had much better patterns perform worse and vice-versa. I think folks are jumping the gun a bit early with the cancelling December, If we have 10" of snow here in BOS and it is +1.5...is that bad? I guess it is for those that have been use to 30" Decembers. I still don't think the month is that bad here. If I have 3" of snow to show for it and +5 temps...feel free to bump this post. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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