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Moving Through December - Changing Patterns and Changing Diapers


ChrisM

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I feel as thou the pattern has morphed into something almost awful and people are tossing around awt's because there is any pattern change. Almost like the way kevin verifys his forecasts.ie the december period is having minor subtle stepdowns in (positivity lol) but they are all mentioned under the guise of this was "on the table" so nothing really changed,(except the weather forecast for sne) I think ryan will be one to get up and say "ya the pattern pretty much sucks but we could get lucky if things break right down the road. Yes its early dec, but boy was this period prog'd to be better a few weeks ago. That's not all, not that it isn't insanely difficult to forecast and no one was expecting ku city. Just something more than hope and change and a well timed swfe, and weenies are just concerned trying to decipher the fact that is seems sustained normal or below temps are being pushd back from early dec to perpetually two weeks ahead and any way u slice it that sucks and this reality seems to get brush'd over Yes this chance was on the table, yes we knew it, but its looking more likely and the recent nao trends and euro ao trends would likely put us on the wrong side of the upcoming gradient most of the time in sne,for the forecastable future,no?unless of course we get lucky. If I was in nne I would be excited about the pattern, if I was in cne I'd be optomistic, but alas were not. A stronger -ao would change my thinking for sne but its not terribly in our favor in the ens anymore. So basically all I'm saying is we should acknowledge the pattern change is not as favorable percentage wise, as we hoped and thought even for mid december, sure we could get lucky,but we could get lucky in a crappy pattern.

Good lord man...punctuation and paragraphs!

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Pickles = weenie of the day.

Lol...he is the first one to have a meltdown over the 12/11 threat not looking like a snowstorm. Even though we said it was very possible days and days ago that we could be dealing with a cutter here.

Not to mention we haven't verified this system yet. People love to verify stuff 6-7 days out for some reason. For all we know, he can ride up to Stowe nude in his Chevy Corsica and they are getting a SWFE while we are getting cold rain or interior ZR....nothing is locked yet.

Beyond that, I can't see how much has changed. It still looks gradient-esque...it still looks volatile...it still looks like we will have our chances. Whether we actualyl cash in or not will decide whether this place turns into accuwx forums or stays readable.

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Lol, phil just saying it doesn't look as favorable for mid december as ,I'm still alive and well and "hoping" we can "get lucky and be on right side of gradient" just skeptical, that's all no meltdown, just rant. If thinks break poorly and gradient sets up north of stowe-sugarloaf for a few weeks, I will prob have serious meltdown

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Lol...he is the first one to have a meltdown over the 12/11 threat not looking like a snowstorm. Even though we said it was very possible days and days ago that we could be dealing with a cutter here.

Not to mention we haven't verified this system yet. People love to verify stuff 6-7 days out for some reason. For all we know, he can ride up to Stowe nude in his Chevy Corsica and they are getting a SWFE while we are getting cold rain or interior ZR....nothing is locked yet.

Beyond that, I can't see how much has changed. It still looks gradient-esque...it still looks volatile...it still looks like we will have our chances. Whether we actualyl cash in or not will decide whether this place turns into accuwx forums or stays readable.

is a cutter good for our prospects after?

I know you dislike me so sorry I asked. :lol:

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:lol: Pretty rough day for the torchers. it"ll warm late today but the damage is done. Not what folks envisioned for today

doesnt really matter-it's not like anyone is preserving snowpack or anything--60 and sunny or 48 and cloudy is the same difference right now-it's not cold anywhere.

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Lol...he is the first one to have a meltdown over the 12/11 threat not looking like a snowstorm. Even though we said it was very possible days and days ago that we could be dealing with a cutter here.

Not to mention we haven't verified this system yet. People love to verify stuff 6-7 days out for some reason. For all we know, he can ride up to Stowe nude in his Chevy Corsica and they are getting a SWFE while we are getting cold rain or interior ZR....nothing is locked yet.

Beyond that, I can't see how much has changed. It still looks gradient-esque...it still looks volatile...it still looks like we will have our chances. Whether we actualyl cash in or not will decide whether this place turns into accuwx forums or stays readable.

This post just made me LOL in the middle of work. I picture Pickles driving up in his Corsica with a designer tight knit sweater, Gucci scarf, and Oakley sunglasses heading up I-91.

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I feel as thou the pattern has morphed into something almost awful and people are tossing around awt's because there is any pattern change. Almost like the way kevin verifys his forecasts.ie the december period is having minor subtle stepdowns in (positivity lol) but they are all mentioned under the guise of this was "on the table" so nothing really changed,(except the weather forecast for sne) I think ryan will be one to get up and say "ya the pattern pretty much sucks but we could get lucky if things break right down the road. Yes its early dec, but boy was this period prog'd to be better a few weeks ago. That's not all, not that it isn't insanely difficult to forecast and no one was expecting ku city. Just something more than hope and change and a well timed swfe, and weenies are just concerned trying to decipher the fact that is seems sustained normal or below temps are being pushd back from early dec to perpetually two weeks ahead and any way u slice it that sucks and this reality seems to get brush'd over Yes this chance was on the table, yes we knew it, but its looking more likely and the recent nao trends and euro ao trends would likely put us on the wrong side of the upcoming gradient most of the time in sne,for the forecastable future,no?unless of course we get lucky. If I was in nne I would be excited about the pattern, if I was in cne I'd be optomistic, but alas were not. A stronger -ao would change my thinking for sne but its not terribly in our favor in the ens anymore. So basically all I'm saying is we should acknowledge the pattern change is not as favorable percentage wise, as we hoped and thought even for mid december, sure we could get lucky,but we could get lucky in a crappy pattern.

We can do without the subliminal political messages buddy. We all know what you're getting at here.

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Nothing compared to our west and northwest Massena Ny 67 degrees record high, wow.

We're going to get a decent taste of that prior to CF. There is a diffused warm boundary, to the west of which resides that air mass, and fluid mechanically we are losing any resistance to spilling that air mass east of the cordillera - probable that steadily rising temps will ensue shortly from SW to NE across SNE.

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