ORH_wxman Posted December 4, 2012 Share Posted December 4, 2012 Lol deniers of the warmth. My wife just called and asked when's it getting cold? Foggy low 40s now but it's a torch. Steve says countryside was chilly? How so with the high dews? BDL got to 29F...their average low is 28F. So the radiating spots did pretty well. Not a torch on the low temps there. But these 3 days I would definitely qualify as a torch overall. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 4, 2012 Share Posted December 4, 2012 Pushed back another 10 days? No I didn't push anything back. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 4, 2012 Share Posted December 4, 2012 Dumping rain right now in North Haven Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted December 4, 2012 Share Posted December 4, 2012 Things will get better. We've been spoiled with early onset winters. If we're colder and seeing sustained wintry weather by Xmas I'll be happy. I figured the 19th ish...hoping we get 2-5 good days of cold prior to ho ho ho. I think I average about 8 inches of snow in Dec. The soltise is usually when the winter arrives here. Further north Dec 1 is a good date. Probably average about 35% white at Christmas, expectations are kept low. Right now I hope NNE ski,snowmobiling areas get a good base building cover. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OSUmetstud Posted December 4, 2012 Share Posted December 4, 2012 And? Yeah, I don't get it either. I though we were just talking about the torch around here lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted December 4, 2012 Share Posted December 4, 2012 Lol deniers of the warmth. My wife just called and asked when's it getting cold? Foggy low 40s now but it's a torch. Steve says countryside was chilly? How so with the high dews? It was 28 this morning early, heavy frost, now a glorious 36 with steady rain, awesome. I did not see anyone deny the temps are above normal. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted December 4, 2012 Share Posted December 4, 2012 massive torch and 90's as advertised for 2-3 days just did not work out. No big deal. We move on If only we could've gotten you to say this last July. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted December 4, 2012 Share Posted December 4, 2012 Agree that mid December or even the solstice is the reasonable time to expect winter in sne outside of gc. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 4, 2012 Share Posted December 4, 2012 There are definitely some Dr Phil candidates in this thread....mostly from CT. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 4, 2012 Share Posted December 4, 2012 No I didn't push anything back. Translation: If I don't get a snowstorm, it means you busted on your pattern thoughts. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 4, 2012 Share Posted December 4, 2012 I've noticed some posters from Mass have some serious issues. Whether they are real or just online not sure. But it's odd to say the least Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted December 4, 2012 Share Posted December 4, 2012 36F -RN with the warm front moving through. We'll have to see how warm we get after this clears New England. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted December 4, 2012 Share Posted December 4, 2012 Above normal absolutely , but massive torch and 60's as advertised for 2-3 days just did not work out. No big deal. We move on who advertised 60s? i don't remember anyone saying that...though it did actually make the 60s. LOL. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwinter23 Posted December 4, 2012 Share Posted December 4, 2012 The idea of something toward the 20th that you first had last month definitely caught on and now makes the most sense. The cold will be slower to build eastward but the east-based -NAO will eventually work out. Could save someone from a brown Christmas in New England. Well I certainly did not envision the type of pattern were seeing in Dec leading into that period when first mentioned. But part of that idea was based off of some of the discussion on declining blocking, warmer pattern tendencies leading into the holidays discussion that were originally discussed a few weeks back. I guess that part of it still holds some weight, and I definitely see that nice signal for a system on the ensembles showing up too. I'd tag this one as your token mix to rain event potential in NYC/NJ as well.. sounds fun Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OSUmetstud Posted December 4, 2012 Share Posted December 4, 2012 Adam is beating the drum for the day 6/7 low as being an intense midwest/plains snowstorm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 4, 2012 Share Posted December 4, 2012 Translation: If I don't get a snowstorm, it means you busted on your pattern thoughts. Yeah, it gets to the point where I have to think like a weenie and word things in a way where I hope they understand...but I think your translation is right..lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted December 4, 2012 Share Posted December 4, 2012 Would not be surprised if the trailing cf on the cutter day 6/7 has a big punch with heavy rain squalls and anafrontal snows for CNE. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OSUmetstud Posted December 4, 2012 Share Posted December 4, 2012 the 06z gfs has nice zr/ip/sn storm around here...but we'll see about that. Cutter looks a bit more likely. You'd really like to see the PV being stretched underneath the NAO block as opposed to upstream of it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChrisM Posted December 4, 2012 Author Share Posted December 4, 2012 No I didn't push anything back. There are definitely some Dr Phil candidates in this thread....mostly from CT. Translation: If I don't get a snowstorm, it means you busted on your pattern thoughts. aww you guys Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChrisM Posted December 4, 2012 Author Share Posted December 4, 2012 Yeah, it gets to the point where I have to think like a weenie and word things in a way where I hope they understand...but I think your translation is right..lol. Dude people are just busting your balls, relax. Who would I be to make fun of anyone's LR forecast anyway? I don't expect snow here before Christmas, this has all been a bonus. I hope Mini-Scooter brings a snowstorm with him though...you've gotta be so excited at this point huh? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 4, 2012 Share Posted December 4, 2012 Adam is beating the drum for the day 6/7 low as being an intense midwest/plains snowstorm. If its wound up and intense out in the midwest, then that reduces the icing/frozen potential in New England...the GFS and GEFs have been trending flatter/colder with it...but the Euro has been pretty wound up. The Euro is going full-on phase with that system. If it fails to do that though, then I think there could be some people surprised at how wintry that system could end up. The high to the north is in a good spots and its very cold...it just depends how much cold air it can filter down in time. I think right now, you favor the Euro/ensembles because of their superior skill, though given we are a week out, a lot could change. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted December 4, 2012 Share Posted December 4, 2012 Yeah, it gets to the point where I have to think like a weenie and word things in a way where I hope they understand...but I think your translation is right..lol. I think Chris was just busting your balls but being in touch with your sensitive side is understandable these last few days. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted December 4, 2012 Share Posted December 4, 2012 the shallow inversion will slowly mix out and most of you will be in the 50s by afternoon Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted December 4, 2012 Share Posted December 4, 2012 Dude people are just busting your balls, relax. Who would I be to make fun of anyone's LR forecast anyway? I don't expect snow here before Christmas, this has all been a bonus. I hope Mini-Scooter brings a snowstorm with him though...you've gotta be so excited at this point huh? We should have done a baby pool, back when he announced it I picked the 12 th, the new moon date. We could have put money in and bought the baby something, like a Davis 2. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 4, 2012 Share Posted December 4, 2012 Dude people are just busting your balls, relax. Who would I be to make fun of anyone's LR forecast anyway? I don't expect snow here before Christmas, this has all been a bonus. I hope Mini-Scooter brings a snowstorm with him though...you've gotta be so excited at this point huh? Yep, thanks for asking though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted December 4, 2012 Share Posted December 4, 2012 the shallow inversion will slowly mix out and most of you will be in the 50s by afternoon Just wish somebody had forecasted the rain, care less about temps unless it has a chance to snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 4, 2012 Share Posted December 4, 2012 If its wound up and intense out in the midwest, then that reduces the icing/frozen potential in New England...the GFS and GEFs have been trending flatter/colder with it...but the Euro has been pretty wound up. The Euro is going full-on phase with that system. If it fails to do that though, then I think there could be some people surprised at how wintry that system could end up. The high to the north is in a good spots and its very cold...it just depends how much cold air it can filter down in time. I think right now, you favor the Euro/ensembles because of their superior skill, though given we are a week out, a lot could change. Euro famous for over amp. We'll see what happens Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
am19psu Posted December 4, 2012 Share Posted December 4, 2012 If its wound up and intense out in the midwest, then that reduces the icing/frozen potential in New England...the GFS and GEFs have been trending flatter/colder with it...but the Euro has been pretty wound up. The Euro is going full-on phase with that system. If it fails to do that though, then I think there could be some people surprised at how wintry that system could end up. The high to the north is in a good spots and its very cold...it just depends how much cold air it can filter down in time. I think right now, you favor the Euro/ensembles because of their superior skill, though given we are a week out, a lot could change. I think the stronger/more phased solution makes sense, though. You've got the ridge shifting eastward over to the GoA, which should free up the very cold air over W Canada to dive southward. Then it's just basic baroclinic instability going to town. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChrisM Posted December 4, 2012 Author Share Posted December 4, 2012 We should have done a baby pool, back when he announced it I picked the 12 th, the new moon date. We could have put money in and bought the baby something, like a Davis 2. How about if you guess the date of delivery you get to pick the name? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
#NoPoles Posted December 4, 2012 Share Posted December 4, 2012 Yep, thanks for asking though. How's mom holding up? she would be at the point now where nothing makes her comfortable...is she pleading with little scooter to come out yet? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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