CoastalWx Posted December 3, 2012 Share Posted December 3, 2012 Not sure why people expect the pattern to be better the 2nd half of the month just because the first half will be awful. Did no one learn the lesson from last year? Sandy will be no big deal, not sure why people are hyping it up. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 3, 2012 Share Posted December 3, 2012 Wait til tomorrow when xxx winter is back on the table I expect more model rollercoaster with every 12z and 00z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChrisM Posted December 3, 2012 Author Share Posted December 3, 2012 I expect more model rollercoaster with every 12z and 00z. Will explained it well Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 3, 2012 Share Posted December 3, 2012 Sandy will be no big deal, not sure why people are hyping it up. You should always forecast a terrible pattern in the 2nd half of December if the first half is a dud. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted December 3, 2012 Share Posted December 3, 2012 It means that on 12/3, weenies are being silly with getting all bent out of shape. Lets say this again...climo is not very favorable on 12/3. Most of us are barely supposed to have an inch of snow right now. The point is that I think we can squeeze out a few events from after next week through Christmas. It might not be all snow..it might not be epic, but I don't see why we should get shut out through the month. Whole-heartedly agree... I also think the problem is we get so obsessed with having an "epic" record-setting winter on here because of occasional hype, that we forget climo. Its usually either all or nothing. After last winter, just hitting average annual snowfall would be fantastic and I think we lose sight of that sometimes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted December 3, 2012 Share Posted December 3, 2012 You should always forecast a terrible pattern in the 2nd half of December if the first half is a dud. If August is cold, winter will be cold. Doesn't everyone know that? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 3, 2012 Share Posted December 3, 2012 You should always forecast a terrible pattern in the 2nd half of December if the first half is a dud. Then follow that up with cancelling winter because we will torch Jan/Feb Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
thunderbolt Posted December 3, 2012 Share Posted December 3, 2012 Sandy will be no big deal, not sure why people are hyping it up. nice iam suprise he is still around ( sandy out to sea) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted December 3, 2012 Share Posted December 3, 2012 Winter.2006-2007 incoming Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MainePhotog Posted December 3, 2012 Share Posted December 3, 2012 Then follow that up with cancelling winter because we will torch Jan/Feb You forgot the February rule. If February has 28 days, then the second half of winter will be toast, due to one less day of winter causing atmospheric chaos. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 3, 2012 Share Posted December 3, 2012 Whole-heartedly agree... I also think the problem is we get so obsessed with having an "epic" record-setting winter on here because of occasional hype, that we forget climo. Its usually either all or nothing. After last winter, just hitting average annual snowfall would be fantastic and I think we lose sight of that sometimes. To me, even average can be fun around here. It doesn't always have to be epic, but I think people tend to forget this. They interpret a good pattern as expecting 30" in 2 weeks, but it just doesn't always work out like that. Sometimes an almost exact pattern can produce vastly different results. You can have a very similar hemispheric pattern and have the storm track nudge not even 50 miles north, and the outcome for a city like Boston could mean 25" to less than 5" for the month. I do think that our frequency of storms will increase starting next week. You can't get snow without storms, so that will be one thing to have on our side. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
N. OF PIKE Posted December 3, 2012 Share Posted December 3, 2012 Whole-heartedly agree... I also think the problem is we get so obsessed with having an "epic" record-setting winter on here because of occasional hype, that we forget climo. Its usually either all or nothing. After last winter, just hitting average annual snowfall would be fantastic and I think we lose sight of that sometimes. says the guy who averages 300 inches Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted December 3, 2012 Share Posted December 3, 2012 You should always forecast a terrible pattern in the 2nd half of December if the first half is a dud. lol... plus on here the only grade is snowfall. We could have the same poor pattern in the second half of the month, but one short-wave timed just perfectly delivers a widespread 8-16 inches, then we get an over-running icing event or something, and all the sudden the pattern is great, haha. Or we have a "great" pattern that skunks us and it won't change how anyone grades December. I think we should just forecast that things will get more wintery as we head towards the end of December and into January/February. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted December 3, 2012 Share Posted December 3, 2012 says the guy who averages 300 inches lol I average like 120-130" not 300 inches you clown Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 3, 2012 Share Posted December 3, 2012 The sun angle starts getting higher again after December 21st...we are screwed if we can't cash in over the next 3 weeks. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted December 3, 2012 Share Posted December 3, 2012 I would be perfectly content with close to average snowfall. Even a little below is fine with me, just throw in a good storm or 2 to make it exciting to track, etc. It is only Dec 3... even if things start crankin after Dec 12-20, it could be fun. Heck, the second half of '06-07 was decent Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted December 3, 2012 Share Posted December 3, 2012 The sun angle starts getting higher again after December 21st...we are screwed if we can't cash in over the next 3 weeks. Start applying LESCO around Dec 28 or so and you will be fine Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 3, 2012 Share Posted December 3, 2012 The sun angle starts getting higher again after December 21st...we are screwed if we can't cash in over the next 3 weeks. Messenger starts posting about how the sun melts the snow off his driveway by January 7th. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted December 3, 2012 Share Posted December 3, 2012 when's the lawn thread getting started? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted December 3, 2012 Share Posted December 3, 2012 The sun angle starts getting higher again after December 21st...we are screwed if we can't cash in over the next 3 weeks. I totally forgot about that...time really is running out. Hopefully our snow events are at night after the 21st. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted December 3, 2012 Share Posted December 3, 2012 Blizz after Dec 20 Or maybe him Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 3, 2012 Share Posted December 3, 2012 Part of me wants to get shut out over the next 15-18 days just to see some of the weenie reactions...they could be epic. Then we get blasted on Christmas Eve, lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
am19psu Posted December 3, 2012 Share Posted December 3, 2012 Sandy will be no big deal, not sure why people are hyping it up. LOL. What a joke. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 3, 2012 Share Posted December 3, 2012 Part of me wants to get shut out over the next 15-18 days just to see some of the weenie reactions...they could be epic. Then we get blasted on Christmas Eve, lol. Especially since Kevin thinks December is the new January. It would be fun to watch them squirm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 3, 2012 Share Posted December 3, 2012 You forgot the February rule. If February has 28 days, then the second half of winter will be toast, due to one less day of winter causing atmospheric chaos. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 3, 2012 Share Posted December 3, 2012 Especially since Kevin thinks December is the new January. It would be fun to watch them squirm. Im fine for now. Am holding into Dec 10 onwards being good. Just hate wasting 10 days of a winter month when we only have 90. It could be argued this winter we had 120 with Nov being wintry Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 3, 2012 Share Posted December 3, 2012 The world ends on the 21st so there will be no winter anyways. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwinter23 Posted December 3, 2012 Share Posted December 3, 2012 LOL. What a joke. I missed the "sandy will be no big deal" posts from him , but I definitely remember him criticizing you for predicting sandy will develop into a hurricane in the southern caribbean...laughable Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted December 3, 2012 Share Posted December 3, 2012 ice storm this weekend? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 3, 2012 Share Posted December 3, 2012 Will gets to walk around downtown crossing on his lunch break. If anyone has ever been there during lunch, it's not hard to see why he wouldn't mind this mild weather...lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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