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December 9-11, 2012 (Winter?) Storm


weathergy

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Thinly veiled shot.

Anyways, this storm has some resemblances to my last relationship...looked great in the long range, good but some questions arose in the medium range, quickly downhill in the short range. She's gone...and this storm, or at least being a mod to major storm, is gone. C'est la vie.

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Thinly veiled shot.

Anyways, this storm has some resemblances to my last relationship...looked great in the long range, good but some questions arose in the medium range, quickly downhill in the short range. She's gone...and this storm, or at least being a mod to major storm, is gone. C'est la vie.

:lol:

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Thinly veiled shot.

Anyways, this storm has some resemblances to my last relationship...looked great in the long range, good but some questions arose in the medium range, quickly downhill in the short range. She's gone...and this storm, or at least being a mod to major storm, is gone. C'est la vie.

That's how it all starts, one storm after another, and before we know it spring is here :)

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Fwiw, which I fear, isn't much, some definite changes on the GFS Ensembles. Almost all of them trended more robust with moisture on the cold side of tomorrow evening's weak low pressure/wave. Maybe a quick inch or so here if they verify, since timing is overnight. Near the lake might be some mixing though. Also, they seem less robust with the moisture associated with the northern low, not necessarily meaning it's less dominant, just less snow overall it looks like.

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even if you miss most of the system snow you have the LES crutch after. Living the winter dream, Bo :santa:

True, but I'd almost rather see the system snow down south so everyone can get in on it. You're right tho, LE is a given here pretty much. I just want to see a decent storm roll through the area to lift everyones spirits.

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True, but I'd almost rather see the system snow down south so everyone can get in on it. You're right tho, LE is a given here pretty much. I just want to see a decent storm roll through the area to lift everyones spirits.

awww :wub:

at least it sounds like things could be active and we shouldn't have to worry about precip and will just have to hope it lines up with cold which should be around later for most. Beats our situation going in to last Christmas so we can hang our spirits up on that that for now.

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True, but I'd almost rather see the system snow down south so everyone can get in on it. You're right tho, LE is a given here pretty much. I just want to see a decent storm roll through the area to lift everyones spirits.

Spread the northern Michigan sled traffic out as well. This storm is looking like a weak to moderate event for mainly northern Michigan... The track hasn't changed, just the strength.

Jon

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Probably late to the party, but after seeing the 12z Euro...there are a couple 12z GEFS members that try to pull something similar, even as far reaching as central IN. Hope and a prayer, but what else is there?

you've got some time to baby step your way into a backdoor event...longshot obv

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I think our only hope right now is for the digging wave to get far enought south and stall waiting to get picked up again by the next waving coming into the pac NW. Kind of like what the 12z Euro was showing but would need a better phase and further west.

A few of the GFS runs and that big Euro run had that idea 2-3 days ago.

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I think our only hope right now is for the digging wave to get far enought south and stall waiting to get picked up again by the next waving coming into the pac NW. Kind of like what the 12z Euro was showing but would need a better phase and further west.

A few of the GFS runs and that big Euro run had that idea 2-3 days ago.

powerball like odds for us this far west

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latest NAM quite different from 12z with the h5/vort..not sure how it will translate downstream for those holding onto snow chances.

The NAM did drop the southern wave farther west this run when compared to the 12z run at the same time.

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I think our only hope right now is for the digging wave to get far enought south and stall waiting to get picked up again by the next waving coming into the pac NW. Kind of like what the 12z Euro was showing but would need a better phase and further west.

A few of the GFS runs and that big Euro run had that idea 2-3 days ago.

Yeah, I was hoping for that type of solution to come back on the table.

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