Brewers Posted December 7, 2012 Share Posted December 7, 2012 With a NE wind of the lake and surface temps hovering around 2-3° C I would be shocked if I see any accumulating snow tonight. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
B-Rent Posted December 7, 2012 Share Posted December 7, 2012 On 12/7/2012 at 4:20 PM, Chicago WX said: Might as well. Gotta love that LAF bullseye. Wait.... Sent from my Galaxy S III on Tapatalk! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted December 7, 2012 Share Posted December 7, 2012 On 12/7/2012 at 4:43 PM, Brewers said: With a NE wind of the lake and surface temps hovering around 2-3° C I would be shocked if I see any accumulating snow tonight. Winds are supposed to be 5-10mph tops tonight, so the marine layer won't be transported too far inland. I think even you will see some snow in the wee hours tomorrow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted December 7, 2012 Share Posted December 7, 2012 On 12/7/2012 at 4:45 PM, B-Rent said: Gotta love that LAF bullseye. Wait.... Best to move onto January if you live in Indiana...and like snow. Oops, wrong thread. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brewers Posted December 7, 2012 Share Posted December 7, 2012 On 12/7/2012 at 4:53 PM, Geos said: Winds are supposed to be 5-10mph tops tonight, so the marine layer won't be transported too far inland. I think even you will see some snow in the wee hours tomorrow. I am pretty pessimistic about tonight. Theres a nice dry layer above 950mb so I suppose there could be some evaporational cooling but even then I cant picture anything more than a mix of rain and snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted December 7, 2012 Share Posted December 7, 2012 Interesting feature I've seen on the St. Louis WRF and 4km nested NAM - a lake effect plume affecting SE WI counties tonight into the morning. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gosaints Posted December 7, 2012 Share Posted December 7, 2012 18z NAM continues the sweet runs for la crosse. Chances of verification=low. About .5 inches of QPF Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeye Posted December 7, 2012 Share Posted December 7, 2012 On 12/7/2012 at 4:55 PM, Chicago WX said: Best to move onto January if you live in Indiana...and like snow. Oops, wrong thread. Piecing together some of the discussions in other threads by several mets...I'm beginning to read the slightest hints that possibly,..just possibly...a january torch isn't out of the realm. I'll just keep my blinders on and buckled in tight, full speed ahead on the Don S....express Oops, wrong thread again... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wisconsinwx Posted December 8, 2012 Share Posted December 8, 2012 0z NAM is so close to plastering Tropical. I know he is about 5 miles inland, so might be far enough from the lake to plaster him, but the 0C line from 850-surface is pretty much right on top of him most of the time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SchaumburgStormer Posted December 8, 2012 Share Posted December 8, 2012 Got a little rain/snow mix here. Not much, but enough to see slush on the car windshields. More than I was expecting. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Spwild47 Posted December 8, 2012 Share Posted December 8, 2012 Looks like a nice healthy storm for Northern WI...need something to sled on so yay Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
daddylonglegs Posted December 8, 2012 Share Posted December 8, 2012 Game over...nothing here...bank it Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstormcanuck Posted December 8, 2012 Share Posted December 8, 2012 12z NAM tries to start YYZ as a bit of snow/sleet late tomorrow afternoon before the winds turn SE and the cold air scours out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SchaumburgStormer Posted December 8, 2012 Share Posted December 8, 2012 On 12/8/2012 at 9:26 AM, SchaumburgStormer said: Got a little rain/snow mix here. Not much, but enough to see slush on the car windshields. More than I was expecting. My mistake, was meant for the general discussion tread. I suppose that after Jim Beam and I drank away our "punted storm" misery, I hit the wrong thread. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ottawa Blizzard Posted December 8, 2012 Share Posted December 8, 2012 On 12/8/2012 at 3:19 PM, snowstormcanuck said: 12z NAM tries to start YYZ as a bit of snow/sleet late tomorrow afternoon before the winds turn SE and the cold air scours out. 12z GFS has come in colder. Northern Toronto might see some snow at the outset. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Toronto4 Posted December 8, 2012 Share Posted December 8, 2012 On 12/8/2012 at 4:27 PM, Ottawa Blizzard said: 12z GFS has come in colder. Northern Toronto might see some snow at the outset. Same for the 12z RGEM. It shows a brief burst of moderate-heavy snow for the GTA, including down by the lakeshore, before changing to sleet/freezing rain then eventually rain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gosaints Posted December 8, 2012 Share Posted December 8, 2012 On 12/8/2012 at 3:02 PM, daddylonglegs said: Game over...nothing here...bank it 18z NAM and GFS saying get ready to shovel Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hawkeye_wx Posted December 8, 2012 Share Posted December 8, 2012 NWS forecasting 6-8 inches in Minneapolis and 3-4 inches in La Crosse. That ain't bad at all if it pans out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thundersnow12 Posted December 8, 2012 Share Posted December 8, 2012 18z GFS is colder here tomorrow morning and suggests a short period of even all snow possibly along/north of I-88 looking at a few soundings, thickness lines and with some nice UVV's overhead. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted December 8, 2012 Share Posted December 8, 2012 On 12/8/2012 at 10:21 PM, Thundersnow12 said: 18z GFS is colder here tomorrow morning and suggests a short period of even all snow possibly along/north of I-88 looking at a few soundings, thickness lines and with some nice UVV's overhead. NAM is hinting at it too but BL temps are fairly warm so I don't know how much sticking potential there would be. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thundersnow12 Posted December 8, 2012 Share Posted December 8, 2012 On 12/8/2012 at 10:33 PM, Hoosier said: NAM is hinting at it too but BL temps are fairly warm so I don't know how much sticking potential there would be. doesn't have to stick I just wanna see some snow lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thundersnow12 Posted December 8, 2012 Share Posted December 8, 2012 It's not much but the NAM is cooling the BL some in the morning due to the strong UVV's which is cooling the column enough in the low levels for a period of all snow. We'll see. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ajdos Posted December 8, 2012 Share Posted December 8, 2012 ola laaaa Not bad! It's a start... LOL Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hm8 Posted December 8, 2012 Share Posted December 8, 2012 ...did you just...take a picture of your screen Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted December 8, 2012 Share Posted December 8, 2012 On 12/8/2012 at 11:00 PM, hm8 said: ...did you just...take a picture of your screen Haha! I think so... I find it funny how now the NAM has backed off on accums here since the 12Z run, while the GFS has increased. Are they EVER in agreement? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ajdos Posted December 8, 2012 Share Posted December 8, 2012 On 12/8/2012 at 11:00 PM, hm8 said: ...did you just...take a picture of your screen YES lmao...I just wanted an extreme closeup LOL hahaha I was way to lazy to crop the image w/e LHAHAH Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kab2791 Posted December 8, 2012 Share Posted December 8, 2012 Yeah tough forecast here. GFS would bring 3" of snowfall here, with the 0C 850 line remaining to the south; however the NAM would bring a quick changeover to mix/rain with less QPF. On 12/8/2012 at 11:01 PM, blackrock said: Haha! I think so... I find it funny how now the NAM has backed off on accums here since the 12Z run, while the GFS has increased. Are they EVER in agreement? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted December 8, 2012 Share Posted December 8, 2012 On 12/8/2012 at 10:52 PM, Thundersnow12 said: It's not much but the NAM is cooling the BL some in the morning due to the strong UVV's which is cooling the column enough in the low levels for a period of all snow. We'll see. That would be nice! Any other models picking up on that? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted December 8, 2012 Share Posted December 8, 2012 On 12/8/2012 at 11:10 PM, kab2791 said: Yeah tough forecast here. GFS would bring 3" of snowfall here, with the 0C 850 line remaining to the south; however the NAM would bring a quick changeover to mix/rain with less QPF. The NWS is calling for 1 to 3 inches "along and north" of 96.... Pretty good call at this point, with an avg. of NAM and GFS. Temps are in the low 30s already, so that's a good start. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UW-weather Posted December 9, 2012 Share Posted December 9, 2012 Here is our forecast from midwestweather.org Thoughts? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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