H2O Posted December 21, 2012 Share Posted December 21, 2012 You have a better shot than you've had at least. Fun to see everyone's biases come out to play. The storm is still a good ways off as you note.. If the solutions we see right now are completely correct I'd be pretty surprised. I'll mark you down as being in the shift east and we get snow camp. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted December 21, 2012 Share Posted December 21, 2012 Got 1" of rain out of last night. Not bad. I'll take the entire 00z GFS run and roll with it. Love it's version of the Christmas eve storm. I'd happily trade 2-3" on Christmas eve for whatever is behind Curtain #2 for the Chill storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted December 21, 2012 Share Posted December 21, 2012 Yay So far so good! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MN Transplant Posted December 21, 2012 Share Posted December 21, 2012 near midnight high day. temp is up 7 since 6 pm at dca now. 59 overnight! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fozz Posted December 21, 2012 Share Posted December 21, 2012 windy and a little chilly Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted December 21, 2012 Share Posted December 21, 2012 Flurry! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattie g Posted December 21, 2012 Share Posted December 21, 2012 We ain't gonna get sh** on Christmas, and Bob's storm is going to be a cold, cold rain. But I'll take solace in the fact that the Ian storm is still looking OK. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted December 21, 2012 Share Posted December 21, 2012 We ain't gonna get sh** on Christmas, and Bob's storm is going to be a cold, cold rain. But I'll take solace in the fact that the Ian storm is still looking OK. Lol....youve been practicing Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattie g Posted December 21, 2012 Share Posted December 21, 2012 Lol....youve been practicing It's only 12 days away. I'm all in. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattie g Posted December 21, 2012 Share Posted December 21, 2012 18z GFS will be telling. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
justaterp Posted December 21, 2012 Share Posted December 21, 2012 24 degrees and snowing lightly here in McHenry. Just a dusting so far. Arrived last night with an air temp of 35, but it quickly dipped below freezing after midnight. The forecast calls for better rates this afternoon and tonight. Radar suggests more moderate snow could be an hour or two away. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Disc Posted December 21, 2012 Share Posted December 21, 2012 Very windy this morning with some light flurries flying through the air. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Huffwx Posted December 21, 2012 Share Posted December 21, 2012 Had flurries here in LYH for the past 2 hours. Over achiever. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted December 21, 2012 Share Posted December 21, 2012 I can confirm there are winds. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kurtstack Posted December 21, 2012 Share Posted December 21, 2012 I'm not feeling real lucky playing this Miller B game for 12/26-27, at least in the local I-95 corridor, unless you are a fan of snow to ice to rain events. Given we are entering the range where the models are somewhat useful, I'm tossing in the towel on any solution that would be all snow for the coastal plane. Increasing confidence that this is a big storm for the Mountains though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted December 21, 2012 Share Posted December 21, 2012 SNE looks to do well which is all that really matters. This run kinda sucks.. I want to go back to yesterday when the vort was further south. #floridatornadoes Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MN Transplant Posted December 21, 2012 Share Posted December 21, 2012 Early Jan storm still on. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2O Posted December 21, 2012 Share Posted December 21, 2012 Euro will save us Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted December 21, 2012 Share Posted December 21, 2012 Early Jan storm still on. nice 4-7" thump Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted December 21, 2012 Share Posted December 21, 2012 mitchnick is probably the worst when it comes to posting in the "right" thread Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted December 21, 2012 Share Posted December 21, 2012 My view of the GFS isn't that rosy so I'm not going to comment. I'd hug the Euro if I didn't know it was too bullish and I was going to be here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted December 21, 2012 Share Posted December 21, 2012 I'm not feeling real lucky playing this Miller B game for 12/26-27, at least in the local I-95 corridor, unless you are a fan of snow to ice to rain events. Given we are entering the range where the models are somewhat useful, I'm tossing in the towel on any solution that would be all snow for the coastal plane. Increasing confidence that this is a big storm for the Mountains though. I don't think an all snow or classic storm has even been on the table so it's not like a bubble busting event. Those are the worst. Getting teased with a classic and have it fall to sh!t inside of 5 days. This one was a chicago special that has improved for us over time. I'm totally into that. There is the odd chance that a chicago special can give us front end snow and not ip/zr but I'd much prefer to in the track vs flanked. Good times! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kurtstack Posted December 21, 2012 Share Posted December 21, 2012 The Ian storm to ring in the new year! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted December 21, 2012 Share Posted December 21, 2012 The Ian storm to ring in the new year! book it Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted December 21, 2012 Share Posted December 21, 2012 mitchnick is probably the worst when it comes to posting in the "right" thread I was saying the same thing about you in the obs thread in the Hobby forum just this morning Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mrs.J Posted December 21, 2012 Share Posted December 21, 2012 Flurries in Frederick! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted December 21, 2012 Share Posted December 21, 2012 I was saying the same thing about you in the obs thread in the Hobby forum just this morning well at least you have the excuse of being old and not understanding how the internet works. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted December 21, 2012 Share Posted December 21, 2012 today's CFS2 weekly and monthly forecasts are fooking great in case you haven't looked Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted December 21, 2012 Share Posted December 21, 2012 today's CFS2 weekly and monthly forecasts are fooking great in case you haven't looked Just don't look at them the next time they come out and we're allgood. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TradeWinds Posted December 21, 2012 Share Posted December 21, 2012 Flurries in Frederick! I literally just looked out my window to take a quick break from staring at the screen all morning and saw the flurries...all 20 of them! At least I know my eyes weren't tricking me. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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