Ian Posted December 21, 2012 Share Posted December 21, 2012 every snow map I have ever seen is garbage... verbatim probably but it's still a decent point of reference in a lot of situations. kinda like radar estimated rainfall. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted December 21, 2012 Share Posted December 21, 2012 near midnight high day. temp is up 7 since 6 pm at dca now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted December 21, 2012 Share Posted December 21, 2012 near midnight high day. temp is up 7 since 6 pm at dca now. i love when the temp rises 7 degrees at night in december Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxmeddler Posted December 21, 2012 Share Posted December 21, 2012 Starting to get power flickers with winds now gusting to the low 30's. Thomas Pt. Light out on the bay is reporting 40 kt gusts. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted December 21, 2012 Share Posted December 21, 2012 I like posting about storms when Wes isnt around....I feel like a high school kid whose parents when away for a week and left him at home. He will come back soon enough tomorrow morning to break our hearts Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted December 21, 2012 Share Posted December 21, 2012 i love when the temp rises 7 degrees at night in december we always perform when it comes to heat Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted December 21, 2012 Share Posted December 21, 2012 I like posting about storms when Wes isnt around....I feel like a high school kid whose parents when away for a week and left him at home. He will come back soon enough tomorrow morning to break our hearts more like a pre schooler who refuses to learn to tie his shoes Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Disc Posted December 21, 2012 Share Posted December 21, 2012 Winds really picking up now. "Warmest" it's been in the last 24 hours and it is continuing to rise. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted December 21, 2012 Share Posted December 21, 2012 nice MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 2200 NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 1124 PM CST THU DEC 20 2012 AREAS AFFECTED...COASTAL NC/SOUTHEAST VA/SOUTHEAST MD CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH POSSIBLE VALID 210524Z - 210730Z PROBABILITY OF WATCH ISSUANCE...40 PERCENT SUMMARY...THE POTENTIAL FOR CONVECTIVELY INDUCED DAMAGING WINDS...AND POSSIBLY EVEN A TORNADO...MAY INCREASE THROUGH 07Z-08Z ACROSS THE COASTAL PLAIN OF NC AND SOUTHEAST VA. WHILE UNCERTAINTIES EXIST REGARDING THE LIKELIHOOD/EXTENT OF THE SEVERE RISK...ORGANIZATIONAL/INTENSITY TRENDS WILL BE CLOSELY MONITORED FOR A POSSIBLE WATCH. DISCUSSION...AS AN EXTREMELY STRONG WIND FIELD OVERSPREADS THE REGION IN ASSOCIATION WITH A MIDWEST-CENTERED UPPER TROUGH...SEVERAL QUASI-LINEAR/NON-LIGHTNING PRODUCING NARROW CONVECTIVE SEGMENTS HAVE DEVELOPED ACROSS THE PIEDMONT OF NC SINCE LATE EVENING. THIS IS OCCURRING NEAR AN EASTWARD-MOVING COLD FRONT AND IN TANDEM WITH THE DEEPENING PHASE OF A SECONDARY SURFACE LOW. AS OF 05Z...THE SURFACE LOW IS AROUND 995 MB IN CENTRAL VA...WITH SUBSTANTIAL SURFACE PRESSURE FALLS NOTED /6-8 MB PER 2HR/ ACROSS EASTERN VA AND ADJACENT MD/DE. AHEAD OF THE COLD FRONT AND AFOREMENTIONED CONVECTIVE DEVELOPMENT...A MODESTLY MOIST LOW-LEVEL AIRMASS CONTINUES TO STEADILY DEVELOP NORTHWARD...WITH AROUND 60F SURFACE DEWPOINTS BECOMING INCREASINGLY PREVALENT ACROSS SOUTHEAST/EAST-CENTRAL NC AS OF 05Z. THE PRIMARY SHORT-TERM UNCERTAINTY RELATES TO MODEST NATURE OF LOW-LEVEL MOISTURE AND ASSOCIATED MEAGER NEAR-SURFACE BUOYANCY WITHIN THE WARM SECTOR...ALTHOUGH IT IS PLAUSIBLE THAT A COUPLE HUNDRED J/KG OF SBCAPE MAY QUICKLY MATERIALIZE EARLY IN THE OVERNIGHT AS CONSISTENT WITH 00Z NAM/GFS GUIDANCE. EVEN WITH THESE LIMITATIONS...IF ORGANIZED NEAR-SURFACE BASED STORM STRUCTURES CAN DEVELOP/MATURE AND REMAIN SUSTAINED...EVEN WITH LITTLE OR NO CLOUD-GROUND LIGHTNING...AT LEAST CONVECTIVELY ENHANCED WIND GUSTS WOULD BE POSSIBLE OVERNIGHT AS ACCENTUATED BY ANY SMALL-BOWING SEGMENTS/SHALLOW SUPERCELL STRUCTURES. LATE EVENING WSR-88D VWP DATA FROM WAKEFIELD VA/RALEIGH NC ARE INDICATIVE OF 65-70 KT SOUTHWESTERLY WINDS WITHIN THE LOWEST 0.5-3 KM. 00Z-BASED CONVECTION-ALLOWING GUIDANCE SUCH AS THE WRF-NMM/WRF-NSSL LEND CREDITABILITY TO THE IDEA THAT A FORCED CONVECTIVE LINE MAY EVOLVE AND QUICKLY SPREAD EAST-NORTHEASTWARD THROUGH THE OVERNIGHT. ..GUYER/CARBIN.. 12/21/2012 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FXW176 Posted December 21, 2012 Share Posted December 21, 2012 nice Gonna chase? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CranberryWX Posted December 21, 2012 Share Posted December 21, 2012 A few flurries are blowing around now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted December 21, 2012 Share Posted December 21, 2012 Gonna chase? If it includes going to bed probably Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FXW176 Posted December 21, 2012 Share Posted December 21, 2012 If it includes going to bed probably Lol, me too. Have had some decent gusts out this way in the last hour. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WEATHER53 Posted December 21, 2012 Share Posted December 21, 2012 Slashing rains lashing at my windows!! Temp up to 48. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxmeddler Posted December 21, 2012 Share Posted December 21, 2012 Barometer decreasing at 3.3 mb/hr Thermometer increasing at 3°F/hr Like a mini tropical cyclone. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kas80 Posted December 21, 2012 Share Posted December 21, 2012 In calvert county our power is flickering a ton. Still hanging in there though. The wind gusts are definitely worse then sandy- a few seriously sound like a train right outside the house. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxmeddler Posted December 21, 2012 Share Posted December 21, 2012 In calvert county our power is flickering a ton. Still hanging in there though. The wind gusts are definitely worse then sandy- a few seriously sound like a train right outside the house. There was a 58 mph gust at the Bay Bridge at 1:10AM. http://www.ndbc.noaa.gov/station_page.php?station=44063 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted December 21, 2012 Share Posted December 21, 2012 its 3am and the world hasn't ended. it may later today, but i plan on surviving it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2O Posted December 21, 2012 Share Posted December 21, 2012 I heard that Fauquier Co closed for the end of the world. Can someone confirm? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
showmethesnow Posted December 21, 2012 Share Posted December 21, 2012 Temp of 48 at 3am is now down to 42 as of 5:30. 6 degree drop in 2 1/2 hours. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
North Balti Zen Posted December 21, 2012 Share Posted December 21, 2012 Windy. Bad timing for recyclables pickup. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted December 21, 2012 Share Posted December 21, 2012 Better hope for some nice CAD...this low is heading West of us no doubt...cant wait to take pics of the glaze on my deck... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted December 21, 2012 Share Posted December 21, 2012 Better hope for some nice CAD...this low is heading West of us no doubt...cant wait to take pics of the glaze on my deck... Blizzardo!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted December 21, 2012 Share Posted December 21, 2012 its 3am and the world hasn't ended. it may later today, but i plan on surviving it. Yay Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted December 21, 2012 Share Posted December 21, 2012 Better hope for some nice CAD...this low is heading West of us no doubt...cant wait to take pics of the glaze on my deck... It's meteorologically impossible Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2O Posted December 21, 2012 Share Posted December 21, 2012 My best shot at snow for the next few days might be a stray flurry today/tonight Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted December 21, 2012 Share Posted December 21, 2012 It's meteorologically impossible No snow for you Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CranberryWX Posted December 21, 2012 Share Posted December 21, 2012 Snow squall this morning, 29F...the snow is driving sideways with the howling wind. The ground is white..about 0.1". Stepped outside to grab my rain guage and was met by a blast of wind driven snow...it's brutal out there after being used to the recent warmth. Wind chill is down to 15. The wind had our window wreaths bumping and scraping the windows all night. 0.39" of total precip with the rain yesterday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted December 21, 2012 Share Posted December 21, 2012 Im gonna admit that i have been sucked in more than i wanted to with this one...im gonna ride it out since it is still about a year away but i must admit....it has all the makings of a light drizzle storm here while 40N gets theirs...hope im wrong and we all get screwed Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted December 21, 2012 Share Posted December 21, 2012 Im gonna admit that i have been sucked in more than i wanted to with this one...im gonna ride it out since it is still about a year away but i must admit....it has all the makings of a light drizzle storm here while 40N gets theirs...hope im wrong and we all get screwed You have a better shot than you've had at least. Fun to see everyone's biases come out to play. The storm is still a good ways off as you note.. If the solutions we see right now are completely correct I'd be pretty surprised. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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