aldie 22 Posted December 20, 2012 Share Posted December 20, 2012 Is that what DT is saying? No...he is detailing what the euro is showing...rain here but a big Eastern Ky/Oh snow..... I take it you're buying this run of the euro Wes? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
usedtobe Posted December 20, 2012 Share Posted December 20, 2012 I have no idea Wes. I only know what he says when someone posts it here. I seriously doubt that what he says will determine what happens. I know you feel the same. I thought you looked at his facepage occasionally, my mistake. I don't pay much attention to him but as Ian noted, it might jump to a snowstorm this time as much as the GFS has been jumping around. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2O Posted December 20, 2012 Share Posted December 20, 2012 I thought you looked at his facepage occasionally, my mistake. I don't pay much attention to him but as Ian noted, it might jump to a snowstorm this time as much as the GFS has been jumping around. I look and there was no WOOF after this run of the Euro. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted December 20, 2012 Share Posted December 20, 2012 I love seeing Ian fill yoda's shoes. don't make me pull out the smoke METAR again Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
usedtobe Posted December 20, 2012 Share Posted December 20, 2012 No...he is detailing what the euro is showing...rain here but a big Eastern Ky/Oh snow..... I take it you're buying this run of the euro Wes? Who knows, i think a run with the low west of us still makes the most sense but much depends on what happens to the clipper and what impact it has on the trough/vortex near the maritimes. It has had a bigger impact on the GFS than the euro. While I think a inland track makes more sense right now, the mean pattrn shown on the D+8 super ens mean is a pretty good one so it is not a clear as I thought yesterday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattie g Posted December 20, 2012 Share Posted December 20, 2012 I'm hosting my family for an early Christmas on Saturday - eight adults and seven six-and-unders. I'm still planning to grill, but I might need to shield it with an umbrella to keep the flame from going out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted December 20, 2012 Share Posted December 20, 2012 Who knows, i think a run with the low west of us still makes the most sense but much depends on what happens to the clipper and what impact it has on the trough/vortex near the maritimes. It has had a bigger impact on the GFS than the euro. While I think a inland track makes more sense right now, the mean pattrn shown on the D+8 super ens mean is a pretty good one so it is not a clear as I thought yesterday. It has to be tough when these things start showing so far in advance like this one did....glad I'm just a weenie and not a forecaster. Hope the shopping was fruitful Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TL97 Posted December 20, 2012 Share Posted December 20, 2012 The 12Z GFS doesn't get above freezing for the final 192 hours Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
arlwx Posted December 20, 2012 Share Posted December 20, 2012 URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BALTIMORE MD/WASHINGTON DC 212 PM EST THU DEC 20 2012 MDZ501-VAZ503-WVZ501-503-505-210315- /O.CAN.KLWX.WS.W.0008.121221T0600Z-121222T2300Z/ /O.NEW.KLWX.BZ.W.0002.121221T0600Z-121222T2300Z/ EXTREME WESTERN ALLEGANY-WESTERN HIGHLAND-WESTERN GRANT- WESTERN MINERAL-WESTERN PENDLETON- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...FROSTBURG...HIGHTOWN...BAYARD... MOUNT STORM...ELK GARDEN...CIRCLEVILLE 212 PM EST THU DEC 20 2012 ...BLIZZARD WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 1 AM FRIDAY TO 6 PM EST SATURDAY... ...WINTER STORM WARNING IS CANCELLED... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BALTIMORE MD/WASHINGTON HAS ISSUED A BLIZZARD WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 1 AM FRIDAY TO 6 PM EST SATURDAY. THE WINTER STORM WARNING HAS BEEN CANCELLED. * PRECIPITATION TYPE...SNOW...HEAVY AND BLOWING AT TIMES. * ACCUMULATIONS...8 TO 14 INCHES. HIGHEST AMOUNTS ARE EXPECTED ALONG THE HIGHEST TERRAIN...ESPECIALLY ABOVE 2500 FT. * TIMING...LATE THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY. THE ONSET OF SNOW IS EXPECTED THURSDAY NIGHT...WITH THE WORST CONDITIONS LIKELY FRIDAY AFTERNOON AND FRIDAY NIGHT...THEN TAPERING OFF SATURDAY. * TEMPERATURES...HIGHS IN THE UPPER 20S. LOWS IN THE UPPER TEENS TO LOWER 20S. * WINDS...WEST 20 TO 30 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 45 MPH OVERNIGHT TONIGHT AND FOR MUCH OF FRIDAY. WINDS WILL INCREASE ON SATURDAY BETWEEN 30 TO 40 MPH...WITH PEAK GUSTS NEAR 60 MPH. * IMPACTS...STRONG WINDS WILL CAUSE BLOWING AND DRIFTING OF SNOW WITH BLIZZARD CONDITIONS EXPECTED AT TIMES...WITH VISIBILITIES OF ONE QUARTER MILE OR LESS IN BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW. WIND CHILL TEMPERATURES IN THE SINGLE DIGITS ARE ALSO POSSIBLE. DOWNED TREES AND POWERLINES COULD RESULT FROM THE STRONGEST GUSTS ON SATURDAY. THE SNOW IS EXPECTED TO TAPER OFF BY LATE SATURDAY. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A BLIZZARD WARNING MEANS SEVERE WINTER WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. FALLING AND BLOWING SNOW WITH STRONG WINDS AND POOR VISIBILITIES ARE LIKELY. THIS WILL LEAD TO WHITEOUT CONDITIONS...MAKING TRAVEL EXTREMELY DANGEROUS. DO NOT TRAVEL. IF YOU MUST TRAVEL...HAVE A WINTER SURVIVAL KIT WITH YOU. IF YOU GET STRANDED...STAY WITH YOUR VEHICLE. && $$ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted December 20, 2012 Share Posted December 20, 2012 looks like it's actually going to rain Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MN Transplant Posted December 20, 2012 Share Posted December 20, 2012 I want a storm partly just to see the dual-pol in action. It is pretty cool to see the R/S line south of Madison, WI today. I swear, everyone with RadarScope or other dual-pol access should go check out the tilt 1 loop of correlation coefficient out of Milwaukee/Sullivan's radar. Sexy as hell. Worth the billion dollar upgrades right there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowfan Posted December 20, 2012 Share Posted December 20, 2012 URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BALTIMORE MD/WASHINGTON DC 212 PM EST THU DEC 20 2012 MDZ501-VAZ503-WVZ501-503-505-210315- /O.CAN.KLWX.WS.W.0008.121221T0600Z-121222T2300Z/ /O.NEW.KLWX.BZ.W.0002.121221T0600Z-121222T2300Z/ EXTREME WESTERN ALLEGANY-WESTERN HIGHLAND-WESTERN GRANT- WESTERN MINERAL-WESTERN PENDLETON- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...FROSTBURG...HIGHTOWN...BAYARD... MOUNT STORM...ELK GARDEN...CIRCLEVILLE 212 PM EST THU DEC 20 2012 ...BLIZZARD WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 1 AM FRIDAY TO 6 PM EST SATURDAY... ...WINTER STORM WARNING IS CANCELLED... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BALTIMORE MD/WASHINGTON HAS ISSUED A BLIZZARD WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 1 AM FRIDAY TO 6 PM EST SATURDAY. THE WINTER STORM WARNING HAS BEEN CANCELLED. * PRECIPITATION TYPE...SNOW...HEAVY AND BLOWING AT TIMES. * ACCUMULATIONS...8 TO 14 INCHES. HIGHEST AMOUNTS ARE EXPECTED ALONG THE HIGHEST TERRAIN...ESPECIALLY ABOVE 2500 FT. * TIMING...LATE THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY. THE ONSET OF SNOW IS EXPECTED THURSDAY NIGHT...WITH THE WORST CONDITIONS LIKELY FRIDAY AFTERNOON AND FRIDAY NIGHT...THEN TAPERING OFF SATURDAY. * TEMPERATURES...HIGHS IN THE UPPER 20S. LOWS IN THE UPPER TEENS TO LOWER 20S. * WINDS...WEST 20 TO 30 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 45 MPH OVERNIGHT TONIGHT AND FOR MUCH OF FRIDAY. WINDS WILL INCREASE ON SATURDAY BETWEEN 30 TO 40 MPH...WITH PEAK GUSTS NEAR 60 MPH. * IMPACTS...STRONG WINDS WILL CAUSE BLOWING AND DRIFTING OF SNOW WITH BLIZZARD CONDITIONS EXPECTED AT TIMES...WITH VISIBILITIES OF ONE QUARTER MILE OR LESS IN BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW. WIND CHILL TEMPERATURES IN THE SINGLE DIGITS ARE ALSO POSSIBLE. DOWNED TREES AND POWERLINES COULD RESULT FROM THE STRONGEST GUSTS ON SATURDAY. THE SNOW IS EXPECTED TO TAPER OFF BY LATE SATURDAY. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A BLIZZARD WARNING MEANS SEVERE WINTER WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. FALLING AND BLOWING SNOW WITH STRONG WINDS AND POOR VISIBILITIES ARE LIKELY. THIS WILL LEAD TO WHITEOUT CONDITIONS...MAKING TRAVEL EXTREMELY DANGEROUS. DO NOT TRAVEL. IF YOU MUST TRAVEL...HAVE A WINTER SURVIVAL KIT WITH YOU. IF YOU GET STRANDED...STAY WITH YOUR VEHICLE. && $$ snowfall amounts are tough to pin down with these types of events. Wouldn't be surprised at all to see some locations eclipse 20 inches. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MillzPirate Posted December 20, 2012 Share Posted December 20, 2012 1/1- 1/3 2012......... 6-12+" widespread N.Va-MD Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CranberryWX Posted December 20, 2012 Share Posted December 20, 2012 It's been raining lightly just about all day here, 0.23" so far...pretty crappy day. On radar appears to be a dry gap ahead of the front coming across mid KY now. Wrap around and LE comes later tonight. Bracing for the wind gusts with the front...better tie down the Christmas decorations. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WVclimo Posted December 20, 2012 Share Posted December 20, 2012 I'm supposed to be driving to Morgantown early in the a.m. and returning tomorrow in the late afternoon. Looks like some tough sledding across the plateau. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted December 20, 2012 Author Share Posted December 20, 2012 1/1- 1/3 2012......... 6-12+" widespread N.Va-MD I don't remember that one at all. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxdude64 Posted December 20, 2012 Share Posted December 20, 2012 I swear, everyone with RadarScope or other dual-pol access should go check out the tilt 1 loop of correlation coefficient out of Milwaukee/Sullivan's radar. Sexy as hell. Worth the billion dollar upgrades right there. All you have to do is look at Blacksburg's new dual-pole for Alleghany, Bath and Highland. Working fine as it is picking up the sleet and snow and rain pretty well from my ground truth observations over the past hour. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mrs.J Posted December 20, 2012 Share Posted December 20, 2012 looks like it's actually going to rain Started raining up here about 3:00. Coming down steady now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CranberryWX Posted December 20, 2012 Share Posted December 20, 2012 I'm supposed to be driving to Morgantown early in the a.m. and returning tomorrow in the late afternoon. Looks like some tough sledding across the plateau. I don't envy you..that will be tough crossing the tops along I-68. I'm home until the 5th and then back to Houston for two weeks. I hope I get to see the potential storm before I leave. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted December 20, 2012 Author Share Posted December 20, 2012 Been raining here for a while now. Temps already in the 30's, probably will warm or stay steady for a good portion of the night. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WVclimo Posted December 20, 2012 Share Posted December 20, 2012 I don't envy you..that will be tough crossing the tops along I-68. I'm home until the 5th and then back to Houston for two weeks. I hope I get to see the potential storm before I leave. I'm trying to talk the wife out of it. Our daughter is under the care of a cardio-pulmonary specialist at Ruby Memorial, and the doctor wants to examine her before the doctor leaves for a holiday vacation. We're gonna discuss it this evening. I have 4-wheel drive, but the weather sure will make a long ride that much longer. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CranberryWX Posted December 20, 2012 Share Posted December 20, 2012 I'm trying to talk the wife out of it. Our daughter is under the care of a cardio-pulmonary specialist at Ruby Memorial, and the doctor wants to examine her before the doctor leaves for a holiday vacation. We're gonna discuss it this evening. I have 4-wheel drive, but the weather sure will make a long ride that much longer. We took our middle daughter there too when she was young...excellent place. I hope everything turns out alright. Be careful driving. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted December 20, 2012 Share Posted December 20, 2012 yay 18z gfs time Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted December 20, 2012 Share Posted December 20, 2012 The only reason I don't want the GFS to happen is that DT will be beating his chest for weeks.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted December 20, 2012 Share Posted December 20, 2012 I hat bashing the GFS but it really sucks sometimes. At least the Euro doesn't show a totally new solution every run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted December 20, 2012 Author Share Posted December 20, 2012 I hat bashing the GFS but it really sucks sometimes. At least the Euro doesn't show a totally new solution every run. Didn't the Euro have this low in southern Wisconsin 2 days ago? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted December 20, 2012 Share Posted December 20, 2012 I hat bashing the GFS but it really sucks sometimes. At least the Euro doesn't show a totally new solution every run. Well to be fair, the Euro isn't run 4 times per day either. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted December 20, 2012 Share Posted December 20, 2012 Anyone heard anything from Katie? Mapbaby here? Hi - not yet. Maybe this weekend Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted December 20, 2012 Share Posted December 20, 2012 Well to be fair, the Euro isn't run 4 times per day either. Youre awful at responding to text messages. Even Ian responded. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted December 20, 2012 Share Posted December 20, 2012 Youre awful at responding to text messages. Even Ian responded. Oops... just saw your response Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Archived
This topic is now archived and is closed to further replies.