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December Obs and Banter


WinterWxLuvr

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I actually went to his page, something I rarely do as I usually could care less what he says. His comments about an east coast snow storm becoming more likely is lol as even the GFS ens mean has the low up in the Great Lakes.

Millzpirate says he will be right

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What's up with mets publicly saying the storm next week still has potential? If there was large spread or uncertainty then yea but the only uncertainty I see is how cold or warm our rain is going to be.

I think most are saying it will most likely be rain but the facebook crowd seems to constantly shoot for the stars. Some of them have a history of riding their horse until it dies.

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That's going to be one BIG baby.

10 pounder on the way?

I seriously hope not

but I seriously need it to snow, I think its waiting on that. Also, tomorrow is a no go. Friday at the earliest, Sunday at the latest (unless by some miracle I go on my own before then)

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I think most are saying it will most likely be rain but the facebook crowd seems to constantly shoot for the stars. Some of them have a history of riding their horse until it dies.

Gotchya. I don't do the facebook weatherman following thing so all I know is what folks on here post irt to facebook. Seems like a few mets are posting a bit irrationally at this point. But I sure do hope they are right. LOL

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I seriously hope not

but I seriously need it to snow, I think its waiting on that. Also, tomorrow is a no go. Friday at the earliest, Sunday at the latest (unless by some miracle I go on my own before then)

My original guess was that it's a girl because of the month being born but now that it's being stubborn letting go of mom it's probably a boy. LOL

Pretty crazy time ahead of you. The first month after delivery is indescribable. Every day that goes by the bond between you and your newborn grows stronger. It's really hard explain with words.

We all have our fingers crossed for a safe and healthy delivery!

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Gotchya. I don't do the facebook weatherman following thing so all I know is what folks on here post irt to facebook. Seems like a few mets are posting a bit irrationally at this point. But I sure do hope they are right. LOL

Still don't get how some mets have such a huge following by pandering above all else. I mean, maybe they are truly as bad of forecasters as they come across but I'm sot of skeptical.

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Still don't get how some mets have such a huge following by pandering above all else. I mean, maybe they are truly as bad of forecasters as they come across but I'm sot of skeptical.

Weenies are some of the easiest folks in the world to win over. Just say "it gon snow" and watch your likes ratchet up like the national debt.

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Still don't get how some mets have such a huge following by pandering above all else. I mean, maybe they are truly as bad of forecasters as they come across but I'm sot of skeptical.

I've wondered about that also and can't see how some would keep a job if they were making actual forecasts for clients. I've even wondered whether WeatherBell might be subsidized by someone like the Heartland foundation. They probably aren't but their thoughts on GW certainly would fit. Anyway, it is interesting that the facebook crowd seem to go out on a limb more than most other mets.

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I just want to see snow this weekend up at SnowShoe wv. Damn it. I'm not asking for a lot

I'd leave Thursday, the roads will be horrible friday and saturday. You'll see plenty of snow! I live in Pocahontas County and unfortunately have to leave thurs to get back for the holidays. Can't risk leaving on Friday, the weather in the highlands is pretty unforgiving.

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you know what man? Ive had. Dec is plus 7....another ****ty winter month. the pattern change keeps getting pushed back. Even todays CFSv2 got warmer for week3and4. They are still cold but not as cold. Its not happening. Winter is fooking over

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JMA shows the most realistic solution. Would imply a winter storm/ice storm. 192 has low over 993 low in Alabama which good CAD signature and tons of precip in our area. 850 line is in northern Maryland but probably cold enough at surface for ice

Must be JB's model of choice right now. What's the Brazilian meteogram say?

When I was looking through the gfs surface wind and temp maps I noticed it at well. It's something worth mentioning and keeping an eye on. It's not a cliche to say CAD overperforms compared to the globals. I think the NAM is probably the only model that does a pretty good job with the finer details. And were a long long time away from the NAM telling us what to expect.

The finer details of the departing low ne of NE and the hp sandwiched in between won't be resolved for a long time. Could trend either way. If we get .25" of ice can I claim victory? LOL

Agreed. Overperforming CAD is not just a weenie-ism, especially with a ~1035-1040mb arctic banana high in Canada. I extrapolated the NAM and it looked SPECTACULAR.

I think if we get a little snow turning to an advisory-level icing event before some rain, I'd be quite content.

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