Kevin Druff Posted December 16, 2012 Share Posted December 16, 2012 Definitely a strong signal Shown Midlo, have you made any snow yet? Planning to make any for Christmas? If we don't get any, I might bug you for some directions so I can bring my son over to see some. In his "Santa Claus is Coming to Town" book there's a girl getting pasted by a snowball and he LOVES to point it out when we get to it! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted December 16, 2012 Share Posted December 16, 2012 0z gfs is the most important run since 18z Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted December 16, 2012 Share Posted December 16, 2012 0z gfs is the most important run since 18z well, if it doesn't show snow for us, we can always enjoy this fond memory to keep us in a "Mid Atlantic" holiday spirit Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IWC Posted December 16, 2012 Share Posted December 16, 2012 I'm sorta ready for it snow soon...just sayin Can we hear an AMEN to that ! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
I-83 BLIZZARD Posted December 16, 2012 Share Posted December 16, 2012 It has been a brutal snowless stretch. Even up here the last time I used a shovel was October 2011. Not one time since. Climo dictates that we will see a regionwide event soon. The law of averages is on our side. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattie g Posted December 16, 2012 Share Posted December 16, 2012 0z GFS... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted December 16, 2012 Author Share Posted December 16, 2012 0z GFS... I shoulda went to bed. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted December 16, 2012 Share Posted December 16, 2012 I shoulda went to bed. GFS just shiat in its bed Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nj2va Posted December 16, 2012 Share Posted December 16, 2012 well, if it doesn't show snow for us, we can always enjoy this fond memory to keep us in a "Mid Atlantic" holiday spirit I had to drive back down at about 4a from central NJ to beat the storm so I wouldn't get stuck in NJ. Thinking I was coming home to a foot+ of snow from this storm. I missed out on 30" that my parents got in Central NJ. Just brutal. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted December 16, 2012 Share Posted December 16, 2012 It still has a storm at that time (after Christmas), that's all that matters. Even has that Christmas eve thing the 18z did. Ignore details for now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted December 16, 2012 Share Posted December 16, 2012 It still has a storm at that time (after Christmas), that's all that matters. Even has that Christmas eve thing the 18z did. Ignore details for now. sounds like a first date Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted December 16, 2012 Share Posted December 16, 2012 GFS just shiat in its bed Shyte the bed? Disagree. Both systems still there and h5 vort still passes south with both systems. Yea, fine details not as nice but it is far from a crap on the pillow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted December 16, 2012 Share Posted December 16, 2012 It has plenty of time to trend worse. No snow for you Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted December 16, 2012 Share Posted December 16, 2012 Shyte the bed? Disagree. Both systems still there and h5 vort still passes south with both systems. Yea, fine details not as nice but it is far from a crap on the pillow. although I know it will never happen, after the last 2+ years I feel like if a snow storm isn't on every run, it won't happen 18z was likely a blip and 0z is back to reality it's OK, there comes a point when it stops hurting and I'm past that point so all is good Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted December 16, 2012 Share Posted December 16, 2012 It has plenty of time to trend worse. No snow for you The only lock for no snow is in fl. Enjoy your cocktail in a coconut. I'll be shoveling and giggling. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted December 16, 2012 Share Posted December 16, 2012 although I know it will never happen, after the last 2+ years I feel like if a snow storm isn't on every run, it won't happen 18z was likely a blip and 0z is back to reality it's OK, there comes a point when it stops hurting and I'm past that point so all is good The window remains open...for now.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted December 16, 2012 Share Posted December 16, 2012 The only lock for no snow is in fl. Enjoy your cocktail in a coconut. I'll be shoveling and giggling. I'll have the last laugh when Orlando gets a blizzard and it's just cold and dry here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted December 16, 2012 Share Posted December 16, 2012 I'll have the last laugh when Orlando gets a blizzard and it's just cold and dry here. And the weird thing is that I wouldn't even be surprised anymore. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted December 16, 2012 Share Posted December 16, 2012 And the weird thing is that I wouldn't even be surprised anymore. You better hope for the best. I might start trolling the LR guys pretty hard if nothing happens during that period. If nothing else it's a shame those thoughts make people irrationally hope for a 18z GFS solution 10 days out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fozz Posted December 16, 2012 Share Posted December 16, 2012 I'll have the last laugh when Orlando gets a blizzard and it's just cold and dry here. I'll be there Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CranberryWX Posted December 16, 2012 Share Posted December 16, 2012 Feels like a spring morning when I went outside to dump the gauge. Cloudy, 54. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattie g Posted December 16, 2012 Share Posted December 16, 2012 6z likes the post-Christmas storm. Awash in warm air. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
usedtobe Posted December 16, 2012 Share Posted December 16, 2012 You better hope for the best. I might start trolling the LR guys pretty hard if nothing happens during that period. If nothing else it's a shame those thoughts make people irrationally hope for a 18z GFS solution 10 days out. LOL, well you better not troll me as I've been pretty negative throughout for this dec, same with Matt. I'll be writing a medium range article tomorrow or I might have responded to those wearing rosey glasses. To me the 240 GEFS is still a bad one if you like snow. Of course, I've been noted to be wrong. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted December 16, 2012 Author Share Posted December 16, 2012 What can you say at this point? Seems virtually impossible to know what 10 days in the future might bring. Oh well, we all learned this weekend that there are much more important things than snow. I guess we just need to find other ways to enjoy the weather. I know running today will be much nicer because it's warm. Sometimes I wonder if always trying to see beyond about 3 days doesn't ruin the whole experience of winter. I guess I can't blame anybody but myself for that one. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted December 16, 2012 Share Posted December 16, 2012 I've only been saying all along that there is a window post Xmas. That there is a good chance for a significant storm (of some sort). And there is some colder air than we've seen all season in our neighborhood. I've never said that it's like a classic setup or some sort of lock for snow. I believe I've done an "ok" job at identifying it and I would appreciate a token crumb of recognition even if we shovel an inch or 2 of water. Lol 6z gfs has a less than optimal vort track so its a rainer. However there's a 1036hp in a decent spot north of ME I would think (regardless of what the model shows) that there is support for a period of snow at the beginning. If we get any front end snow or the unusual wrap around stuff then I'm going to feel pretty good. If we get all snow then I retire. If nothing happens at all? Hey, I'm just a weenie. Go troll DT. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Disc Posted December 16, 2012 Share Posted December 16, 2012 Picked up 0.12" of rain last night. Just enough to get the ground wet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastCoast NPZ Posted December 16, 2012 Share Posted December 16, 2012 My God, this weather is BORING. 55 and party sunny or 55 and mostly cloudy. Wash, rinse, repeat. Hard to believe that we approach late December and there hasn't even been one noteable FROPA. Obviously, no big shock to not have a snowstorm yet, but not even a stray LES flake? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted December 16, 2012 Share Posted December 16, 2012 I'll be there storms? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Disc Posted December 16, 2012 Share Posted December 16, 2012 storms? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted December 16, 2012 Share Posted December 16, 2012 Need a favor from one of the short range guys. I'm trying to go up to Codorus st park and play disc golf before the rain tomorrow. The park is just over the PA line north of Westminster. Zones and discussions talk about rain not really hitting till 1. That's still kinda early because I won't get playing until 10:30. Really hoping for a 4 hour window or the drive may not be worth it. Can anyone provide thoughts irt when the more disruptive type of rain is gonna start up that way? I can handle some light rain but even then it's a pain in the ass with wet discs every throw. Any insight would be appreciated. Not sure whether I should chance it or not. It's a 75 minute drive for me. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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