mattie g Posted December 14, 2012 Share Posted December 14, 2012 I think HM is getting excited for January though, if I read his other posts correctly, so maybe we got that going for us at least. GFS ensembles supportive of the DT post-Xmas storm. He's liked January for a while. But it sounds like the weenie got the best of him on that quoted post. That, or he was mocking the negative posts. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted December 14, 2012 Share Posted December 14, 2012 He's liked January for a while. But it sounds like the weenie got the best of him on that quoted post. That, or he was mocking the negative posts. And let's not forget that if the mjo isn't doing the 8-1-2 thing we'd much prefer to have it in the cod anyway. It's not like the mjo is the exclusive driver of our weather. Only matters when it's active and it hasn't been for a while. All HM was saying is that the current modeling of phase 1 may not mean anything. That's far from saying we're gonna torch while getting soaked. But we probably will anyway. lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
easternsnowman Posted December 14, 2012 Share Posted December 14, 2012 hm also said we would have cold shots, in other words the weather will go back and forth. This might be the best we can hope for and just get lucky when we have the cold in place. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
schinz Posted December 14, 2012 Share Posted December 14, 2012 Bob's totally right about lake temps being warm, but so have surface temps on shore, and this season has sucked hard for LES so far. As a result, things have been pretty quiet in the WNY part of the Upstate forum. Last I checked, the Southtowns snow belt was already 12 inches behind normal snowfall to date. I don't think temps will be a problem for Southern Tier ski country but flow is harder to pin down. For the Chautauqua ridge, strong NW flow, preferably with a Huron/Georgian connection, is what you want. You may want to keep an eye on the comments section at WIVB (Buffalo) met Don Paul's blog. He doesn't add posts often, but he exchanges comments with readers many times a day. Since you have a trip planned, just ask him on his blog what he's seeing in the 2 week out models for ski country. He'll give you a pretty solid answer. Latest entry comments: http://blogs.wivb.co...think/#comments Hey...thanks a bunch..I will!!!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Swiscaster Posted December 14, 2012 Share Posted December 14, 2012 GFS pity flakes! radio show? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted December 14, 2012 Author Share Posted December 14, 2012 radio show? LOL, that's what they should do. A radio show about crappy weather. Reverse jinx, seems to always work with jinxing what we want to happen. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Disc Posted December 14, 2012 Share Posted December 14, 2012 Made it to 60.8 today after a low of 21.8. It was perfect for viewing the meteor shower last night with clear skies and a new moon. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Yorkpa25 Posted December 14, 2012 Share Posted December 14, 2012 These models and this pattern is down right pitiful. Not even worth model watching 2 days before an event,which was evident before previous storms this year already. Winter 2012-2013 looking to be as disgusting as last year. Carry on Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fozz Posted December 14, 2012 Share Posted December 14, 2012 These models and this pattern is down right pitiful. So are your posts. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxdude64 Posted December 14, 2012 Share Posted December 14, 2012 Made it to 60.8 today after a low of 21.8. It was perfect for viewing the meteor shower last night with clear skies and a new moon. 60.8? Wow, I'm 50-60 miles north and I topped out at 53.8 after a 20.6 low. Still a pretty big temp. spread and the show was good last night! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Yorkpa25 Posted December 15, 2012 Share Posted December 15, 2012 30.7 degrees here,clear skies. feels like rain rain rain sure to come Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fozz Posted December 15, 2012 Share Posted December 15, 2012 Hey Fozz, I'm sorry you can't take my opinion so you call my post pitiful. It's the truth so far in this short winter and the few storms that have rolled through. So deal with it, good or bad like it or not. I don't go ripping your post or anybody else's post good or bad, on topic or off topic. We all have our own opinions and shouldn't have to deal with somebody name tagging them pitiful because their not agreed with by every member. Good luck to everybody the rest of this winter and Merry Christmas. Declaring this winter "as disgusting as last year", when we're only two weeks into December, is pitiful. Period. And no, nobody owes your opinion any respect when it's backed by nothing other than whiny tantrums. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted December 15, 2012 Author Share Posted December 15, 2012 Hey Fozz, I'm sorry you can't take my opinion so you call my post pitiful. It's the truth so far in this short winter and the few storms that have rolled through. So deal with it, good or bad like it or not. I don't go ripping your post or anybody else's post good or bad, on topic or off topic. We all have our own opinions and shouldn't have to deal with somebody name tagging them pitiful because their not agreed with by every member. Good luck to everybody the rest of this winter and Merry Christmas. None of us are thrilled, but Fozz is right. It's pretty early to give up. I think if any of us had been told we could have 8 good weeks of winter, we'd choose late Dec through late Feb. That may happen. Doubtful many would gripe about it then. And I haven't figured out how any of this is the fault of the models. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clueless Posted December 15, 2012 Share Posted December 15, 2012 And Mr. York sails into the sunset... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Yorkpa25 Posted December 15, 2012 Share Posted December 15, 2012 You guys are right,my posts are being deleted. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nj2va Posted December 15, 2012 Share Posted December 15, 2012 Ready for spring! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Disc Posted December 15, 2012 Share Posted December 15, 2012 60.8? Wow, I'm 50-60 miles north and I topped out at 53.8 after a 20.6 low. Still a pretty big temp. spread and the show was good last night! Yeah, but you are a whole lot higher in elevation than we are here. Alleghany area always seems to be atleast 7-10 degrees cooler than Roanoke. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted December 15, 2012 Share Posted December 15, 2012 DT might end up right with the cutter Funny some people actually even considered that might be a snowstorm or even have a snowflake.. kinda quiet on the lr too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Yeoman Posted December 15, 2012 Share Posted December 15, 2012 3rd straight Monday in December coming up with temps likely above 60.. Maybe I can finally crank the heat up for the first time this season by xmas My gut tells me this winter's going to be just as bad as '11-'12 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted December 15, 2012 Share Posted December 15, 2012 3rd straight Monday in December coming up with temps likely above 60.. Maybe I can finally crank the heat up for the first time this season by xmas My gut tells me this winter's going to be just as bad as '11-'12 My gut tells me that it will have indigestion if your gut is right Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattie g Posted December 15, 2012 Share Posted December 15, 2012 My gut tells me that it will have indigestion if your gut is right We suck at winter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted December 15, 2012 Share Posted December 15, 2012 We suck at winter. Sometimes I think it would be easier if it simply didn't snow here at all. On the flip side, I do a lot of outdoor stuff so when we have days like this I spend them playing disc golf or hiking with the dog. And I'll be doing both today. Embrace the mild temps! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Disc Posted December 15, 2012 Share Posted December 15, 2012 I think 09-10 winter spoiled us. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clueless Posted December 15, 2012 Share Posted December 15, 2012 Beautiful day. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted December 15, 2012 Share Posted December 15, 2012 D-day! Someone pray to the baby gods for me, thanks Edit to add: no, nothing has started, happening, Etc.... But here's hoping! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fozz Posted December 15, 2012 Share Posted December 15, 2012 I think 09-10 winter spoiled us. Whatever it did to spoil us was quickly undone to most of us by 11-12. Remember, some of us haven't seen a 2" snowfall in our backyards since January 2011. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted December 15, 2012 Share Posted December 15, 2012 So we are on to the next day 12 storm? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hank Scorpio Posted December 15, 2012 Share Posted December 15, 2012 Cool sky out there earlier today Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted December 15, 2012 Share Posted December 15, 2012 Cool sky out there earlier today that's a cool shot. would you mind if i shared it on CWG FB? could credit you etc.. shoot me a pm or lemme know. lemme know where too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Disc Posted December 15, 2012 Share Posted December 15, 2012 Whatever it did to spoil us was quickly undone to most of us by 11-12. Remember, some of us haven't seen a 2" snowfall in our backyards since January 2011. Yeah, I do sometimes forget that from where the majority of the posters are in the Mid-Atlantic in comparison to where I am is like a world apart sometimes. Feb. 2012 was my last snow and got a good 8-9" out of it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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