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December Obs and Banter


WinterWxLuvr

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He is pretty much always spot on at that range too...im hoping Christmas is at least chilly...like 50 or something. Ring in the new year in shorts and a tank top

He is like the opposite of a broken clock, he is wrong like twice a decade. It's amazing you can read everyones comments on how great the upcoming pattern is looking and then Wes comes in and pisses in your cheerios and you know it is over.

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He is like the opposite of a broken clock, he is wrong like twice a decade. It's amazing you can read everyones comments on how great the upcoming pattern is looking and then Wes comes in and pisses in your cheerios and you know it is over.

Pattern will be good and cold to close out the year. You heard it here first and I have the luxury of saying things like this because if I'm wrong I'm not held accountable in any way shape or form. Being a weenie is liberating!

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He is like the opposite of a broken clock, he is wrong like twice a decade. It's amazing you can read everyones comments on how great the upcoming pattern is looking and then Wes comes in and pisses in your cheerios and you know it is over.

Even he was speculating about the very end of a model run when another major model disagrees. Doesn't sound like anything is over.

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Even he was speculating about the very end of a model run when another major model disagrees. Doesn't sound like anything is over.

It's still not a good pattern, rainy, then cold and dry and they it warms. The Pacific is still a big problem and the long range GEFS looks like it want to kill the negative AO and NAO towards the end of the run. They often are too quick to do that and the neg AO may come back later as it often does but the pattern is discouraging if you like snow and live in DC. Of course, some would argue that's always the case.

This does not sound great to me.

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He is pretty much always spot on at that range too...im hoping Christmas is at least chilly...like 50 or something. Ring in the new year in shorts and a tank top

Don't get me wrong, I think there will be 4 or 5 colder than normal days after the low goes by and ushers in cold air but then am worried that the AO and NAO will go neutral for awhile with a neg PNA and positive EPO. That would suggests another shot of warmer weather beyond our colder than normal air. The 25th probably still has a good chance. The ensemble mean is not as bad as I was originally saying though by 348 it looks like the storm track is likely to again be to our north with the negative PNA in place. However, its hard to know how much of the block will be left as the mean still shows higher than normal heights over parts of canada but appears to have a positive NAO with the lower than normal heights over iceland.

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Pattern will be good and cold to close out the year. You heard it here first and I have the luxury of saying things like this because if I'm wrong I'm not held accountable in any way shape or form. Being a weenie is liberating!

In Bob we trust. I know where you live if you are wrong i will come after you.

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