Bob Chill Posted December 11, 2012 Share Posted December 11, 2012 He went warm for Dec in his LR, not sure how that is a fail......... He's right for the wrong reasons though. Look at his analogs for Dec: NH circulation is far different so far in Dec. Yea, it's warm but the whys are not the same as what he said. And honestly, I don't even read his stuff anymore. I had to actually go in and read his winter forecast today. My point isn't about the 3 month forecast though. Everybody gets those wrong more often than right when enso isn't a factor. Plenty of luck mixed in with the skill. It's the euro hugging and saying the GFS has it all wrong all the time. This makes him wrong 50% of the time. It's just a lot louder when he's right so it makes it seem more true than it actually is. He's knows his stuff. No arguing that at all. His delivery and arrogance take it all away IMO. LIke Ian said earlier. Grading lr stuff is very mushy. I consider any forecast outside of 10 days lr too. Not just the full seasonal stuff. DT thinks he's a heck of a lot better than he actually is. And you can't take credit for being right when you are right for completely different reasons than what was outlined with the forecast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted December 11, 2012 Share Posted December 11, 2012 18z conjures up some old memories. Anus. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2O Posted December 11, 2012 Share Posted December 11, 2012 I'm skeptical of what any model is saying right now....I just want it to feel like Christmas dangit!! You ran your A/C yesterday, didn't you? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted December 11, 2012 Share Posted December 11, 2012 18z conjures up some old memories. Anus. Sigh that wont happen twice will it? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted December 11, 2012 Author Share Posted December 11, 2012 Sometimes I think having no chance is easier. BTW, why does DT seem to hate any mention of DC getting snow? His latest post probably locked this up for us. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted December 11, 2012 Share Posted December 11, 2012 Sometimes I think having no chance is easier. BTW, why does DT seem to hate any mention of DC getting snow? His latest post probably locked this up for us. Easy question. He's a spiteful arrogant douchenozzle. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted December 12, 2012 Share Posted December 12, 2012 woo.. my first hobbes of the season! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted December 12, 2012 Share Posted December 12, 2012 woo.. my first hobbes of the season! LOL- it's all part of the process of getting to the promised land. Hobbes ftw! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MillzPirate Posted December 12, 2012 Share Posted December 12, 2012 DGEX snow maps or it didn't happen Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted December 12, 2012 Share Posted December 12, 2012 LOL- it's all part of the process of getting to the promised land. Hobbes ftw! i gotta remember to hobbes every "storm".. might be a good way to track the fails at the end of the season. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted December 12, 2012 Share Posted December 12, 2012 Way too much talk about the 18Z GFS at 180+ hours. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted December 12, 2012 Share Posted December 12, 2012 Nothing like the 18z DGEX at the end of it's range to spit out a Feb 5,2010 redux. But yeah, I'll take it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted December 12, 2012 Share Posted December 12, 2012 im trying to mentally root the storm on.. i figure if it doesnt work out right it might help set the stage for the period right after. so if i have to choose i gotta go with the blizzard so i can see something. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted December 12, 2012 Share Posted December 12, 2012 Way too much talk about the 18Z GFS at 180+ hours. Thanks for being here to set us straight Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted December 12, 2012 Share Posted December 12, 2012 Way too much talk about the 18Z GFS at 180+ hours. I guess we can focus on the warm rainy cutter or not talk at all. I'll stick with 180hr gfs and let others talk warm rain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted December 12, 2012 Share Posted December 12, 2012 Little weather porn for you guys on the 18z DGEX lol now you're talkin' Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted December 12, 2012 Share Posted December 12, 2012 Nothing like the 18z DGEX at the end of it's range to spit out a Feb 5,2010 redux. But yeah, I'll take it. Bottom line is we've been tortured and snow starved for almost 24 months now. I think we can go ahead and allow any and all model talk for the first one whenever it happens. After that go nuts with the green tag. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted December 12, 2012 Share Posted December 12, 2012 Bottom line is we've been tortured and snow starved for almost 24 months now. I think we can go ahead and allow any and all model talk for the first one whenever it happens. After that go nuts with the green tag. And rumor has it, the NOGAPS is on our side!! It has 4-d var! So it has to be right! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted December 12, 2012 Share Posted December 12, 2012 im trying to mentally root the storm on.. i figure if it doesnt work out right it might help set the stage for the period right after. so if i have to choose i gotta go with the blizzard so i can see something. I'm rooting for snow bc it will be my luck I'll have a baby during a storm next week Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted December 12, 2012 Share Posted December 12, 2012 And rumor has it, the NOGAPS is on our side!! It has 4-d var! So it has to be right! This is the last season of the NOGAPS, being replaced by NAVGEM... Tho I'm sure someone will still run it if they can. I guess we should hope it goes out with a bang. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted December 12, 2012 Share Posted December 12, 2012 I'm rooting for snow bc it will be my luck I'll have a baby during a storm next week That's the spirit! Plus, experiencing life changing events during memorable weather just adds to the beauty of the day. Blizzard wedding and snow baby is stuff that is talked about for a lifetime. Part of a personal legacy that brings back great memories for a lifetime. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted December 12, 2012 Share Posted December 12, 2012 If there's no baby by your due date and this storm is still coming by that point, I say we name it the "mapbaby storm". Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted December 12, 2012 Share Posted December 12, 2012 That's the spirit! Plus, experiencing life changing events during memorable weather just adds to the beauty of the day. Blizzard wedding and snow baby is stuff that is talked about for a lifetime. Part of a personal legacy that brings back great memories for a lifetime. I might as well accept it rather then wish against it If there's no baby by your due date and this storm is still coming by that point, I say we name it the "mapbaby storm". Ok! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
smokeybandit Posted December 12, 2012 Share Posted December 12, 2012 If there's no baby by your due date and this storm is still coming by that point, I say we name it the "mapbaby storm". Name the baby or the storm? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ravensrule Posted December 12, 2012 Share Posted December 12, 2012 This is the last season of the NOGAPS, being replaced by NAVGEM... Tho I'm sure someone will still run it if they can. I guess we should hope it goes out with a bang. Is that supposed to be any better than the NOGAPS?. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted December 12, 2012 Share Posted December 12, 2012 Is that supposed to be any better than the NOGAPS?. Hopefully Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ravensrule Posted December 12, 2012 Share Posted December 12, 2012 Hopefully I guess it cannot get any worse so that is a bright side. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted December 12, 2012 Author Share Posted December 12, 2012 LOL, I think I just set a record for quickest post delete. I thought it was pretty good. I'm blaming it on Ian. I hope we get snow. This place is fun. Gonna be wild when a storm does hit. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ravensrule Posted December 12, 2012 Share Posted December 12, 2012 LOL, I think I just set a record for quickest post delete. I thought it was pretty good. I'm blaming it on Ian. I hope we get snow. This place is fun. Gonna be wild when a storm does hit. Im guessing you were responding to Millz lovely post. The Mods seem to be a bit cranky after my tiff with Mapgirl. If i said what i said in the NE subforum that would be the cleanest remark in that thread. But again i guess they do not have wx tricks to complain and report my posts. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted December 12, 2012 Author Share Posted December 12, 2012 Im guessing you were responding to Millz lovely post. The Mods seem to be a bit cranky after my tiff with Mapgirl. If i said what i said in the NE subforum that would be the cleanest remark in that thread. But again i guess they do not have wx tricks to complain and report my posts. It was a perfect reply to his post, even if I do say so myself. It would have gotten some laughs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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