jburns Posted December 22, 2012 Share Posted December 22, 2012 On 12/22/2012 at 10:14 PM, packbacker said: Not this argument again....Raleigh's 100+ year average is 7.5", you can pick whatever period you want, Raleigh's 1.5 year average is 0.5", its 8 year average is 2.2", its 13 year average is 7". Weather is very cyclical, the past 24 years have been on a downward trend, the previous 20+ years we were probably close to 9", its best to average over a lengthy time. Oops, I guess I did argue :-) I won't argue either, but there's a reason the NWS goes with 30 years averages. It gives the best blend of long and short term climate trends. As they say, the trend is not your friend. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
packbacker Posted December 22, 2012 Share Posted December 22, 2012 On 12/22/2012 at 10:23 PM, jburns said: I won't argue either, but there's a reason the NWS goes with 30 years averages. It gives the best blend of long and short term climate trends. As they say, the trend is not your friend. It's actually 5.9", with the brutal 90's not to bad. http://www.nws.noaa.gov/climate/local_data.php?wfo=rah Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TullyHeel Posted December 23, 2012 Share Posted December 23, 2012 Looks like we will have to worry more about storms on Christmas and the 26th instead of snow. But I still think that system is going to open the door for more to come, and we will have a couple of better shots for snow around here the end of the month and the first of January. Still lots of activity and we will hit it right soon. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
franklin NCwx Posted December 23, 2012 Share Posted December 23, 2012 On 12/23/2012 at 12:14 AM, Brick Tamland said: Looks like we will have to worry more about storms on Christmas and the 26th instead of snow. But I still think that system is going to open the door for more to come, and we will have a couple of better shots for snow around here the end of the month and the first of January. Still lots of activity and we will hit it right soon. This is great news, thanks for giving us your insight. I will back away from the ledge now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Isopycnic Posted December 23, 2012 Share Posted December 23, 2012 On 12/23/2012 at 12:40 AM, franklin NCwx said: This is great news, thanks for giving us your insight. I will back away from the ledge now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jburns Posted December 23, 2012 Share Posted December 23, 2012 On 12/23/2012 at 12:40 AM, franklin NCwx said: This is great news, thanks for giving us your insight. I will back away from the ledge now. Too deep for me. I don't have a met degree. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
franklin NCwx Posted December 23, 2012 Share Posted December 23, 2012 When brick talks weather, I listen. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BIG FROSTY Posted December 23, 2012 Share Posted December 23, 2012 What a bummer, last night we thought we had something to track but the models put the smack down on us today! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TullyHeel Posted December 23, 2012 Share Posted December 23, 2012 You gotta believe! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
packbacker Posted December 23, 2012 Share Posted December 23, 2012 On 12/23/2012 at 3:03 AM, Brick Tamland said: You gotta believe! I believe in the CFS showing cold and wet for the SE the first week of January! And I believe 2013 will be snowier than 2012! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bevo Posted December 23, 2012 Share Posted December 23, 2012 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TullyHeel Posted December 23, 2012 Share Posted December 23, 2012 On 12/23/2012 at 3:08 AM, packbacker said: I believe in the CFS showing cold and wet for the SE the first week of January! And I believe 2013 will be snowier than 2012! Yes, it is coming our way. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jburns Posted December 23, 2012 Share Posted December 23, 2012 On 12/23/2012 at 3:25 AM, Brick Tamland said: Yes, it is coming our way. We certainly will get storms no Mayan meteorologist predicted. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jrips27 Posted December 23, 2012 Share Posted December 23, 2012 January 3rd is my birthday. Would be mighty cool to get a birthday snowstorm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dsaur Posted December 23, 2012 Share Posted December 23, 2012 On 12/23/2012 at 7:02 AM, Weatherkid#27 said: January 3rd is my birthday. Would be mighty cool to get a birthday snowstorm. Way to go, Justin. Glad the world didn't end so you'd miss it, lol. T Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DaculaWeather Posted December 23, 2012 Share Posted December 23, 2012 New page that shows significant low tracks. http://www.daculaweather.com/4_hpc_sig_lows.php Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DaculaWeather Posted December 23, 2012 Share Posted December 23, 2012 Pretty windy on Mt. Washington! http://www.daculaweather.com/4_mt_washington.php Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jaguars Posted December 23, 2012 Share Posted December 23, 2012 Why am I beginning to think winter 12-13 is going to end up as one gignatic torturous tease. Hope my insticts are wrong. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
metalicwx366 Posted December 23, 2012 Share Posted December 23, 2012 On 12/23/2012 at 7:02 AM, Weatherkid#27 said: January 3rd is my birthday. Would be mighty cool to get a birthday snowstorm. You got a random dusting of snow last year somehow. lol On 12/22/2012 at 8:12 PM, franklin NCwx said: The bad news just keeps coming, we can't win. This!!!! On 12/23/2012 at 3:48 AM, jburns said: We certainly will get storms no Mayan meteorologist predicted. :lmao: :lmao: On 12/23/2012 at 11:52 AM, DaculaWeather said: New page that shows significant low tracks. http://www.daculawea...pc_sig_lows.php I like this. Very cool. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tazaroo Posted December 23, 2012 Share Posted December 23, 2012 Although things do look better this year vs last, I'm starting to get nervous that we will keep getting the storms in the med to long range only to warm as we get closer. Now we have the CFS forecast turning much warmer for January vs a few days ago. I hope its wrong but feel the -pna will probably be back in ernest. What could be worse than last year though right lol? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jrips27 Posted December 23, 2012 Share Posted December 23, 2012 On 12/23/2012 at 2:33 PM, metalicwx366 said: You got a random dusting of snow last year somehow. lol True. I'd like a few inches this time! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TullyHeel Posted December 23, 2012 Share Posted December 23, 2012 Crazy weather the next week. Threat of a tornado outbreak on Christmas and a few chances for snow. The extreme continues. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TullyHeel Posted December 23, 2012 Share Posted December 23, 2012 January doesn't look good after the first week. Really hope we get something near the first of the month. It might be the only real shot we get. Maybe we will get one big storm and that will be it. Ild take it but worried the chance will get less and less the closer we get to the first of January. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WilkesboroDude Posted December 23, 2012 Author Share Posted December 23, 2012 I am cancelling Christmas. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
metalicwx366 Posted December 23, 2012 Share Posted December 23, 2012 On 12/23/2012 at 6:33 PM, WilkesboroDude said: I am cancelling Winter. FYP Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeyefan1 Posted December 23, 2012 Share Posted December 23, 2012 On 12/23/2012 at 6:38 PM, metalicwx366 said: FYP Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TullyHeel Posted December 23, 2012 Share Posted December 23, 2012 WD must have some serious pull. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TullyHeel Posted December 23, 2012 Share Posted December 23, 2012 Where has Foothills been? I thought he would be posting a lot with the snow threat after Christmas. Would love to see more from RaleighWx and msuwx too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DaculaWeather Posted December 23, 2012 Share Posted December 23, 2012 On 12/23/2012 at 7:08 PM, Brick Tamland said: Where has Foothills been? I thought he would be posting a lot with the snow threat after Christmas. Would love to see more from RaleighWx and msuwx too. Posting on his blog! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TullyHeel Posted December 23, 2012 Share Posted December 23, 2012 Well, I was hoping the blogs would not take away from posting here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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