SnowNiner Posted December 18, 2012 Share Posted December 18, 2012 I've seen nice blocking show up on the Euro in the 192-240 range a couple of time now...nice healthy west-based blocking. Can't recall seeing a large, sprawling 50/50 though, although I believe we've seen a couple of Eastern Canada bombs...but they have either not been so wrapped up or have moved on out pretty quickly. But you're right about the GFS. It's shown some fabulous 300+ patterns. I mean just awesome stuff man. It seems both the GFS and the EURO keep moving the goalposts on us this year. They're in cahoots. Frankly I don't believe the newest EURO run either. I've yet to see a modeled winter storm on any model posted other than something that was 240 hours out or so. I was a bit surprised to see 10 pages of speculation over the weekend. It seemed like there would be something more substantial up and coming. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rduwx Posted December 18, 2012 Share Posted December 18, 2012 It just gets old when those possibilities never materialize 10 days later. The 10 days aren't up yet...As far as I know we are still discussing a storm that is 8+ days away. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brick Tamland Posted December 18, 2012 Share Posted December 18, 2012 It seems both the GFS and the EURO keep moving the goalposts on us this year. They're in cahoots. Frankly I don't believe the newest EURO run either. I've yet to see a modeled winter storm on any model posted other than something that was 240 hours out or so. I was a bit surprised to see 10 pages of speculation over the weekend. It seemed like there would be something more substantial up and coming. It's the same old song. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Poimen Posted December 18, 2012 Share Posted December 18, 2012 LOL, who was falling for it? I don't see anybody calling for snow. Only people on a weather forum disscussing the possibilities. There have been a few posters in the other thread who have been rallying the troops the past few days. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Rain Posted December 18, 2012 Share Posted December 18, 2012 It seems both the GFS and the EURO keep moving the goalposts on us this year. They're in cahoots. Frankly I don't believe the newest EURO run either. I've yet to see a modeled winter storm on any model posted other than something that was 240 hours out or so. I was a bit surprised to see 10 pages of speculation over the weekend. It seemed like there would be something more substantial up and coming. I'll tell you what I do keep seeing...that trough just off the west coast. Yuck. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brick Tamland Posted December 18, 2012 Share Posted December 18, 2012 There have been a few posters in the other thread who have been rallying the troops the past few days. A lot of ifs, ands, and maybeys going on. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SN_Lover Posted December 18, 2012 Share Posted December 18, 2012 im sorry, but when the euro starts to fold to the GFS this far out that's shocking. First it was the gulf, then TN, and now OH. no no, trends are going in the wrong direction. i have written this storm off for winter precip for the piedmont of NC. Positives of the low: -Drought relief Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jburns Posted December 18, 2012 Share Posted December 18, 2012 It seems both the GFS and the EURO keep moving the goalposts on us this year. They're in cahoots. Frankly I don't believe the newest EURO run either. I've yet to see a modeled winter storm on any model posted other than something that was 240 hours out or so. I was a bit surprised to see 10 pages of speculation over the weekend. It seemed like there would be something more substantial up and coming. The Model Hours Mantra If the first number is 3, don't mention it to me. When it's down to 2, it still will be a screw. Only when it's 1, do we have a chance of fun. But when that digit's gone, oh baby bring it on. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
calculus1 Posted December 18, 2012 Share Posted December 18, 2012 The Model Hours Mantra If the first number is 3, don't mention it to me. When it's down to 2, it still will be a screw. Only when it's 1, do we have a chance of fun. But when that digit's gone, oh baby bring it on. Ladies and gentlemen, we have a winner! The Model Hours Mantra, an original piece by jburns, takes the blue ribbon at the First Annual Winter American Weather Board Poetry Slam! Handshakes and high fives all around... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
burgertime Posted December 18, 2012 Share Posted December 18, 2012 im sorry, but when the euro starts to fold to the GFS this far out that's shocking. First it was the gulf, then TN, and now OH. no no, trends are going in the wrong direction. i have written this storm off for winter precip for the piedmont of NC. Positives of the low: -Drought relief When exactly did the Euro cave to the GFS? If anything the GFS has been caving to the Euro the last couple of runs. This last Euro run has been the only one that has looked like the GFS run two days ago. Let's get one thing straight the Euro might be correct today but to say it has caved to the GFS is a little silly given the actual trend of the GFS lately moving towards the Euro. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
burgertime Posted December 18, 2012 Share Posted December 18, 2012 It showed some CAD last night, and of course the blocking and cold in the LR right? I don't think it's ever had a major winter storm for the SE. Of course the ensembles will lure us all back in. LOL No winter storm but major cold. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
metalicwx366 Posted December 18, 2012 Share Posted December 18, 2012 The 10 days aren't up yet...As far as I know we are still discussing a storm that is 8+ days away. LOL why? Its not like it's actually going to happen. There has been talk of a storm 8+ for like a month now. It isn't any worse than DT calling for the 1st major east coast snowstorm on Dec 26-27th. I'm ready for this too happen up in the. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
packbacker Posted December 18, 2012 Share Posted December 18, 2012 When exactly did the Euro cave to the GFS? If anything the GFS has been caving to the Euro the last couple of runs. This last Euro run has been the only one that has looked like the GFS run two days ago. Let's get one thing straight the Euro might be correct today but to say it has caved to the GFS is a little silly given the actual trend of the GFS lately moving towards the Euro. I am not going to argue who caved to who but the Euro obviously had a huge change from the previous runs to todays 12z run. So is Euro leading the way or is it being inconsistent, nobody knows that answer yet...But IMO, I think the Euro is leading the way now, probably windshield wiping for a few runs, I think it's a very small chance this doesn't cut up into the OV and reform in the NE somewhere, maybe over NY... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowNiner Posted December 18, 2012 Share Posted December 18, 2012 The Model Hours Mantra If the first number is 3, don't mention it to me. When it's down to 2, it still will be a screw. Only when it's 1, do we have a chance of fun. But when that digit's gone, oh baby bring it on. That's pretty good; not a bad rule to live by. My biggest disappointment is we can't get the pacific to change. Not torn up about the storm next week, I just want to see some hope for January but nothing is getting any closer. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WilkesboroDude Posted December 18, 2012 Author Share Posted December 18, 2012 I've just been lurking but it sure seems like BrierCreekWx is just wishcasting. Every model run just makes him/her look more and more clueless. It's not like he is calling for it...he is letting us know the possibilities...which are fair since this is a like 9 day storm. If he was overly optimistic two days out, yea he might be. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
packbacker Posted December 18, 2012 Share Posted December 18, 2012 It's not like he is calling for it...he is letting us know the possibilities...which are fair since this is a like 9 day storm. If he was overly optimistic two days out, yea he might be. Agreed, he wasn't "wishcasting".....All this is going to do is not post anymore if people try to call him out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brick Tamland Posted December 18, 2012 Share Posted December 18, 2012 I don't think BrierCreek is really wishcasting. He's doing a lot of this might happen, maybe, if this happen this will happen kind of thing, though. I saw on the forecast thread, though, that the DT dude was ripping him, which is uncalled for. That guy just seems like a jerk most of the time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rduwx Posted December 18, 2012 Share Posted December 18, 2012 LOL why? Its not like it's actually going to happen. There has been talk of a storm 8+ for like a month now. It isn't any worse than DT calling for the 1st major east coast snowstorm on Dec 26-27th. I'm ready for this too happen up in the. You're right, it probably won't happen but it's what we do on a weather board... . I haven't seen any forecasts for a storm on 12/27. All I have seen is discussions on possibilities. I think that's where a lot of people get confused when reading this forum (I'm not talking about you directly). It is a weather forum and we discuss weather. If all we did here was wait 2 days before a storm and make a forecast then that wouldn't be any fun. Half the fun is tracking and discussing possibilities imo. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowNiner Posted December 18, 2012 Share Posted December 18, 2012 I don't think BrierCreek is really wishcasting. He's doing a lot of this might happen, maybe, if this happen this will happen kind of thing, though. I saw on the forecast thread, though, that the DT dude was ripping him, which is uncalled for. That guy just seems like a jerk most of the time. I think it was more of a pattern recognition thing and I appreciated it, I enjoy the optimism. It's just the models aren't following the "general pattern" and as was mentioned lately, it seems like the southeast ridge is too strong and it's forcing the storm up to the mid-west. That answered some questions for me since I was wondering why the storm track would go that way when blocking was evident. Didn't think of the ridge to the SE. Didn't DT argue FOR a big storm too, with the whole invincible Rex block argument? Why would he try to discredit someone that was actually more or less agreeing with his forecast? I'm lost on that one. I hope BrierCreek doesn't stop posting, the more educated minds I can learn from the better.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Rain Posted December 18, 2012 Share Posted December 18, 2012 We got us another fire starter here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bevo Posted December 18, 2012 Share Posted December 18, 2012 Agreed, he wasn't "wishcasting".....All this is going to do is not post anymore if people try to call him out. Agreed. Nothing wrong with said red tagger. I am curious however, as to why a certain red tagged member seems to have engaged your "posting mode" (Snow86). It's almost as if you came in looking for a certain response (I happened across your trail in the December Discussion as well). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bevo Posted December 18, 2012 Share Posted December 18, 2012 Hmmmm - Fishiness abounds... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Rain Posted December 18, 2012 Share Posted December 18, 2012 Agreed. Nothing wrong with said red tagger. I am curious however, as to why a certain red tagged member seems to have engaged your "posting mode" (Snow86). It's almost as if you came in looking for a certain response (I happened across your trail in the December Discussion as well). I think there are bollocks afoot Mr. Bevo... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bevo Posted December 18, 2012 Share Posted December 18, 2012 I think there are bollocks afoot Mr. Bevo... I am quite certain of it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jon Posted December 18, 2012 Share Posted December 18, 2012 Apparently BrierCreek is a coward because I'm noticing he deleted all of his posts -- he must not believe in his forecasts too much after all. Frankly, I won't miss his wishcasts if he doesn't post any more. Who cares? He can have his thoughts and choose to either defend them or not, or delete all his posts. What do you care? I swear some people get way too worked up about opinions on the internet, it's silly. Maybe he was just done with the forum and decided to remove any trace of his account, some people do that with their online presence. Of course, I literally have no idea what happened or what transpired to cause all this drama...I just know it's a freakin' weather forum for heavens sake. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
valkhorn Posted December 18, 2012 Share Posted December 18, 2012 To put this back on track - 18z GFS is giving someone one heck of a snowstorm after Christmas And, for those who enjoy the thought, the 384h GFS is giving the gulf coast a little snow around New Orleans Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lilj4425 Posted December 18, 2012 Share Posted December 18, 2012 It's gonna rain on Christmas. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
franklin NCwx Posted December 18, 2012 Share Posted December 18, 2012 Did briercreekwx leave? If so, that really sucks. He was a good poster. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rduwx Posted December 18, 2012 Share Posted December 18, 2012 Did briercreekwx leave? If so, that really sucks. He was a good poster. I agree....I really enjoyed reading his posts. Hopefully he didn't leave. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WXinCanton Posted December 18, 2012 Share Posted December 18, 2012 all of his posts are gone, that sucks! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Archived
This topic is now archived and is closed to further replies.