wxhstn74 Posted November 29, 2012 Share Posted November 29, 2012 What do the analogues say for December? http://weatherhistorian.blogspot.com/2012/11/so-what-do-analogues-say-for-december.html Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstormcanuck Posted November 29, 2012 Share Posted November 29, 2012 Those anomaly maps duel with the pattern the EURO/GFS show setting up for the first 10-15 days of December. It's going to have to be quite the frigid second half to see that verify. I have my doubts. Can I ask how you selected your analogs? I see 2000-01 and 1956-57 used. At least according to this spreadsheet I keep (which could be off I concede) those are La Nina winters. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxhstn74 Posted November 29, 2012 Author Share Posted November 29, 2012 1956-57 was a neutral winter after a slowly dieing La Nina. Granted it died slower than this year but the premise from La Nina to neutral was there like this year. 2000-2001 also had a La Nina the winter before into the summer and wavered near neutral/weak La Nina. Granted it was the weakest analogue but included because of simlar patterns to some other winters. Strictly speaking; though I could have left it out. see http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/analysis_monitoring/ensostuff/ensoyears.shtml Yes; I see that and I too will believe it when it happens...It was surprising how well it mimicked the analogue trends and you could see how it would verify. That kinda of cold is "up there" it's just getting it here and staying- lol. Takes time with a little help from snowcover and major help from NAO-! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxhstn74 Posted December 1, 2012 Author Share Posted December 1, 2012 Take a look at this interesting article on Judah Cohen's Winter Outlook based on Siberian Snow Cover. http://weatherhistorian.blogspot.com/2012/11/support-for-cold-winter-in-east-grows.html Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
michsnowfreak Posted December 1, 2012 Share Posted December 1, 2012 Take a look at this interesting article on Judah Cohen's Winter Outlook based on Siberian Snow Cover. http://weatherhistor...east-grows.html Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtrackertf Posted December 2, 2012 Share Posted December 2, 2012 Excellent and very informative writeup as always. Hoping for a quality winter around these parts this year! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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