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Looking towards the beginning of December


CoastalWx

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I recall posting to Jerry ..or somebody, that this appeared to be a good ice threat early winter a couple of weeks ago.

Yeah, Will ... and it's a theme continued on this 18z GFS. Not atypical for this time range, as the +PNA begins to transition in, will there be a single powerful wave that makes use of the feedback, or will it be a series? Too soon to tell.

The heights over the far eastern Pac and western N/A are gradually rising and as S/W dumps over the top and tunnels into the MV, initially there is resistance in the deep southeast in the form of residual positive height departures. This actually causes the positive tilt of the trough in the central longitudes (initially), but we see way out in time - or suspect rather, that a more standard, neutral tilt L/W axis sets up. In the meantime, that positive tilt is definitely in climo for icing - you get those waves rippling along.

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who cares? nobody said 7 day torch........its all fabricated, scooter, will, phil have been all over this, few days above, cool down to normal another few days above.

XXX style.

Guess you missed my original post. Not here bro, forecasts for above normal all week ......never said anything about those guys.

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