ORH_wxman Posted November 28, 2012 Share Posted November 28, 2012 The N PAC looks like it is in retrograde mode in the long range on the Euro...that huge ULL retrograding SW along and just south of the Aleutians. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted November 28, 2012 Share Posted November 28, 2012 Overall much less glum 12z suite vs the 2 weeks of torch talk this morning from some folks. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OSUmetstud Posted November 28, 2012 Share Posted November 28, 2012 The N PAC looks like it is in retrograde mode in the long range on the Euro...that huge ULL retrograding SW along and just south of the Aleutians. Does the developing -NAO at day 9/10 maintain or get more robust? I refuse to pay for weather models... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 28, 2012 Author Share Posted November 28, 2012 Overall much less glum 12z suite vs the 2 weeks of torch talk this morning from some folks. That's because we are waiting for the model that counts. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 28, 2012 Author Share Posted November 28, 2012 Overall much less glum 12z suite vs the 2 weeks of torch talk this morning from some folks. After the 10th has been said for a while now. Perhaps the 15th...but I hope not. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted November 28, 2012 Share Posted November 28, 2012 Does the developing -NAO at day 9/10 maintain or get more robust? I refuse to pay for weather models... What do you mean? The Euro doesn't go beyond D10. The ensembles do though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted November 28, 2012 Share Posted November 28, 2012 That's because we are waiting for the model that counts. The other 50 members. Given the trend and the movent in the GEFS I'm somewhat optimistic. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted November 28, 2012 Share Posted November 28, 2012 Overall much less glum 12z suite vs the 2 weeks of torch talk this morning from some folks. Yup. We just weren't understanding what a few folks were preaching. No thanks. Not buying Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted November 28, 2012 Share Posted November 28, 2012 After the 10th has been said for a while now. Perhaps the 15th...but I hope not. Looks like a nice cold couple of days next week too. Heckuva way to run a torch. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 28, 2012 Author Share Posted November 28, 2012 45 or 55, nothing much going on when the PAC is raging. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OSUmetstud Posted November 28, 2012 Share Posted November 28, 2012 What do you mean? The Euro doesn't go beyond D10. The ensembles do though. Oh I'm sorry...for some reason I though the op went beyond day 10 lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 28, 2012 Author Share Posted November 28, 2012 Looks like a nice cold couple of days next week too. Heckuva way to run a torch. After a fropa it will cool off, but then warm right back up. It's not going to do much with a massive vortex over Bristish Columbia..that's the whole point. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted November 28, 2012 Share Posted November 28, 2012 After a fropa it will cool off, but then warm right back up. It's not going to do much with a massive vortex over Bristish Columbia..that's the whole point. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted November 28, 2012 Share Posted November 28, 2012 If you want some perspective, go look at the F6 data for December 2011...I just did it this minute. Just absolutely horrifying. 9 days over 50F at ORH with only 4 highs below freezing the entire month, and only 5 days below average the entire month...and of course the worst part....0.3" of snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 28, 2012 Author Share Posted November 28, 2012 Wait and see my friend. I don't think anybody said torch with Jerry walking the dog in a thong...but it's not a favorable pattern for us. Gonna punt the first week and part of the second into your fanny. It doesn't mean an the interior can't get a sneaky event either...just not favorable and not worth gettinf excited about. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted November 28, 2012 Share Posted November 28, 2012 Wait and see my friend. I don't think anybody said torch with Jerry walking the dog in a thong...but it's not a favorable pattern for us. Gonna punt the first week and part of the second into your fanny. It doesn't mean an the interior can't get a sneaky event either...just not favorable and not worth gettinf excited about. Fanny says do not enter. No thanks .. Exit only. Cold breeds cold Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 28, 2012 Author Share Posted November 28, 2012 Fanny says do not enter. No thanks .. Exit only. Cold breeds cold I predict 1-2 Saab convertible days for you. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted November 28, 2012 Share Posted November 28, 2012 I predict 1-2 Saab convertible days for you. Predict this Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 28, 2012 Author Share Posted November 28, 2012 Predict this The other few days won't be as mild, but perhaps just your arm hanging out of the Dodge Ram while playing John Mayer. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted November 28, 2012 Share Posted November 28, 2012 The other few days won't be as mild, but perhaps just your arm hanging out of the Dodge Ram while playing John Mayer. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OSUmetstud Posted November 28, 2012 Share Posted November 28, 2012 The other few days won't be as mild, but perhaps just your arm hanging out of the Dodge Ram while playing John Mayer. guy gets a bad rap...super talented blues guitarist. Just happens to play some sappy songs for the ladies. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted November 28, 2012 Share Posted November 28, 2012 If you want some perspective, go look at the F6 data for December 2011...I just did it this minute. Just absolutely horrifying. 9 days over 50F at ORH with only 4 highs below freezing the entire month, and only 5 days below average the entire month...and of course the worst part....0.3" of snow. You got me curious ... I was just looking at some other notable bb pumps suffered through those months; here's a particularly painful raping: April 16, ORH MAX/MIN 88 57 wow, April 16, 1,000 feet high. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OSUmetstud Posted November 28, 2012 Share Posted November 28, 2012 anyone else notice there are 15 open nws intern positions right now? Craziness. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted November 28, 2012 Share Posted November 28, 2012 Overall much less glum 12z suite vs the 2 weeks of torch talk this morning from some folks. are we just supposed to pretend? it doesn't look very good for the time being. that's all that was being said. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mfastx Posted November 28, 2012 Share Posted November 28, 2012 Very light flurries at BOS this morning. GFS says snow on Saturday night? We'll see.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisy Posted November 28, 2012 Share Posted November 28, 2012 Lot of people don't realize this, but the plymouth weather EURO comes out like 5-10 mins later than the premium euro some users get on here.... http://vortex.plymouth.edu/grb-comp.html Under Model switch to ECMWF...It starts coming out in 24 hrs increments with SLP, 850 temps, 500mb vort, 500 sea level heights, It usually initializes around 1:00pm, each 24hrs update takes about 5-8 mins, At around 2pm sharp www.ecmwf.int free version EURO also updates out to 240 hrs. It always boggles my mind that people who generally know how to read models are still asking people about how the EURO looks while it is out publicly on plymouth. Just a FYI for anyone who didn't know. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NaoPos Posted November 28, 2012 Share Posted November 28, 2012 Overall much less glum 12z suite vs the 2 weeks of torch talk this morning from some folks. -3sd AO doin it's job? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted November 28, 2012 Share Posted November 28, 2012 Lot of people don't realize this, but the plymouth weather EURO comes out like 5-10 mins later than the premium euro some users get on here.... http://vortex.plymou...u/grb-comp.html Under Model switch to ECMWF...It starts coming out in 24 hrs increments with SLP, 850 temps, 500mb vort, 500 sea level heights, It usually initializes around 1:00pm, each 24hrs update takes about 5-8 mins, At around 2pm sharp www.ecmwf.int free version EURO also updates out to 240 hrs. It always boggles my mind that people who generally know how to read models are still asking people about how the EURO looks while it is out publicly on plymouth. Just a FYI for anyone who didn't know. Most people who ask about the Euro are looking for QPF information which the free sites do not have....wunderground has it but its about 20 minutes delayed. Also the Euro ensembles beyond 240 hours are not available publically. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted November 28, 2012 Share Posted November 28, 2012 Most people who ask about the Euro are looking for QPF information which the free sites do not have....wunderground has it but its about 20 minutes delayed. Also the Euro ensembles beyond 240 hours are not available publically. ha, they shouldn't be available to anyone actually Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OSUmetstud Posted November 28, 2012 Share Posted November 28, 2012 It's quite the anomaly for the AO to be almost down to -2.5 and the NAO to right near neutral. I believe they have a correlation of greater than 0.80. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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