Damage In Tolland Posted December 1, 2012 Share Posted December 1, 2012 i would not be surprised at all if thu-sat end up above, if not well above normal. yeah I don't think it's super cold but 40's for highs. Probably slightly above. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted December 1, 2012 Share Posted December 1, 2012 you didn't even update your winter total... must have gotten next to nothing Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 1, 2012 Share Posted December 1, 2012 Congrats CT @JimCantore: TOTAL PRECIPITATION FOR THE MONTH OF NOVEMBER was 0.40 INCH AT Bradley Int'l Airport making it the DRIEST NOVEMBER ON RECORD via NWS #CTwx Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 1, 2012 Author Share Posted December 1, 2012 Almost an inch now on the deck. A little snow in the garland. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted December 1, 2012 Share Posted December 1, 2012 Looks like we are done here. Final tally 1.0" I got to make a list Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 1, 2012 Share Posted December 1, 2012 The models were definitely a bit too warm in the low levels...but we thought they might be yesterday. They were fairly decent on QPF though. The lower sfc temps have allowed for probably a bit further east coverage on the minor accumulations. I don't think overall the models busted bad or anything. It was a classic setup where you take a few degrees off their projected sfc temps...which is what we often do anyway when there is a strong sfc high in N Maine or that vicinity. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 1, 2012 Share Posted December 1, 2012 Are there any other Nov when we had 3 accumulating snowfalls in November? Will would probably know this Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 1, 2012 Author Share Posted December 1, 2012 The models were definitely a bit too warm in the low levels...but we thought they might be yesterday. They were fairly decent on QPF though. The lower sfc temps have allowed for probably a bit further east coverage on the minor accumulations. I don't think overall the models busted bad or anything. It was a classic setup where you take a few degrees off their projected sfc temps...which is what we often do anyway when their a strong sfc high in N Maine or that vicinity. I think their biggest issue was the ageo flow with north winds. NAM had NE-E winds which ususally it has a good handle on. I ignore the GFS for that, but usually the NAM is good with that. I figured it was too warm, but with the winds NE-E..I thought maybe it would be a CF closer to 128 or something by this morning if you believed it...and I also took into account it would be too far west with that. Didn't think it would be down by Cohasset. When I saw the HRRR and RPM last evening, I started thinking we could do better here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted December 1, 2012 Share Posted December 1, 2012 Almost an inch now on the deck. A little snow in the garland. Congrats! How much longer until the big day? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 1, 2012 Author Share Posted December 1, 2012 Congrats! How much longer until the big day? Could be any moment. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OSUmetstud Posted December 1, 2012 Share Posted December 1, 2012 That is some SE ridge on the GFS. Classic Nina configuration. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted December 1, 2012 Share Posted December 1, 2012 monday is going to torch with that wnw downsloping flow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted December 1, 2012 Share Posted December 1, 2012 Congrats! How much longer until the big day? it happened yesterday but he said F-it and is just still here posting. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 1, 2012 Share Posted December 1, 2012 GAY said he got . 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 1, 2012 Author Share Posted December 1, 2012 it happened yesterday but he said F-it and is just still here posting. Imagine if it occurred with something like a 12/5/03 type storm? Disaster. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted December 1, 2012 Share Posted December 1, 2012 I dropped below 30* at 4:00a.m. yesterday. I wonder how long I can hold before going over. Temps climibng slowly--24.0/20 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OSUmetstud Posted December 1, 2012 Share Posted December 1, 2012 Scooter's Dec. 10th is looking like a good call for now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 1, 2012 Share Posted December 1, 2012 Are there any other Nov when we had 3 accumulating snowfalls in November? Will would probably know this Yeah 2002 did...though this one doesn't qualify since I don't think there was measurable yesterday....unless you squeezed out a tenth. But aside from that,. there was 2002, 1995, 1989, and 1985 in the past 30 years. 2002 actually had 4 measurable events in ORH....0.2" on 11/3, 0.6" on 11/18, 6.0" on 11/27, and 1.5" on 11/29. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted December 1, 2012 Share Posted December 1, 2012 Could be any moment. Awesome--good luck to all! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 1, 2012 Share Posted December 1, 2012 Imagine if it occurred with something like a 12/5/03 type storm? Disaster. Big storms and low pressure historically induce labor, lock Dec 10 as the day. My oldest daughter was born during Isabelle. Couple days early Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IntenseBlizzard2014 Posted December 1, 2012 Share Posted December 1, 2012 Looking better for Mid Month. Even the 00Z Euro made a Heavy Snowstorm out of a "meh" pattern for New England. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Torchey Posted December 1, 2012 Share Posted December 1, 2012 I feel like rum and eggnog. Having some Guinness at pj morans after going to the tree. Yum! Merry Christmas !!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OSUmetstud Posted December 1, 2012 Share Posted December 1, 2012 I would think GInx's dry worries would be diminished if the GFS/GEFS SE ridge verified in the extended...that would open up the Gulf. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted December 1, 2012 Share Posted December 1, 2012 Are there any other Nov when we had 3 accumulating snowfalls in November? Will would probably know this You had 3? Nov 9, Nov 27, and when? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 1, 2012 Share Posted December 1, 2012 Yeah 2002 did...though this one doesn't qualify since I don't think there was measurable yesterday....unless you squeezed out a tenth. But aside from that,. there was 2002, 1995, 1989, and 1985 in the past 30 years. 2002 actually had 4 measurable events in ORH....0.2" on 11/3, 0.6" on 11/18, 6.0" on 11/27, and 1.5" on 11/29. 2002 actually had 0.5" on 11/16, but it was the same event....it started as snow, then turned to ice and then as the low was exiting, it turned back to snow for that 0.6" on the 18th. So still 4 events...I thought it was 5 for a sec when I saw that 0.5" on the 16th. But same system...the big ice storm in the interior that got CT especially hard. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 1, 2012 Share Posted December 1, 2012 Yeah 2002 did...though this one doesn't qualify since I don't think there was measurable yesterday....unless you squeezed out a tenth. But aside from that,. there was 2002, 1995, 1989, and 1985 in the past 30 years. 2002 actually had 4 measurable events in ORH....0.2" on 11/3, 0.6" on 11/18, 6.0" on 11/27, and 1.5" on 11/29. We had a solid dusting last evening but not sure it was enough to qualify. I've always firmly believed Nov sets the table for the ensuing winter. I certainly hope that holds this year Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted December 1, 2012 Share Posted December 1, 2012 Imagine if it occurred with something like a 12/5/03 type storm? Disaster. Or during 12/13/07? (is that date right? Gridlock city?) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted December 1, 2012 Share Posted December 1, 2012 We had a solid dusting last evening but not sure it was enough to qualify. I've always firmly believed Nov sets the table for the ensuing winter. I certainly hope that holds this year Well, then I am screwed... little precip. Although the temps were perfect Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted December 1, 2012 Share Posted December 1, 2012 big ole bloviator blizz can't even tell us his snow total for this event... lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted December 1, 2012 Share Posted December 1, 2012 Okay---I figured the temp would cooperate for a while, but I wasn't confident that the precip would be hanging around. I guess that's what the WWA is for. Being in the far NW Zone, I allow my assessment of advisories, etc.to be influenced by what Albany does to my neighboring zones in Berkshire and Windham (VT) counties. With neither of them having anything posted, I tend to underestimate the impact. Taking a peek at the Bufkit soundings for ALB, the NAM wants to continue low level lift well into the evening. While temps are forecast to rise above freezing at ALB, I'm sure you will take quite a bit longer than the valley to scour out the cold. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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