CoastalWx Posted November 30, 2012 Author Share Posted November 30, 2012 NAM 2 M temps still look too warm to me in the interior. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 30, 2012 Author Share Posted November 30, 2012 Model performance sucks in the extended. The changes are funny. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted November 30, 2012 Share Posted November 30, 2012 Will where is the 32 contour wrt 128 /boston tommorrow on nam "event". If u have it Its over Jerry's head (west side of BOS or Newton/Brookline) at 15z tomorrow morning but then it moves west into the ORH hills by afternoon. Its colder than the 12z run though. I won't be shocked if the interior hills...esp east facing up by WaWa and such are stuck in the 20s with that tough CAD setting up in the interior with cloud cover and light snow falling. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 30, 2012 Author Share Posted November 30, 2012 Its over Jerry's head (west side of BOS or Newton/Brookline) at 15z tomorrow morning but then it moves west into the ORH hills by afternoon. Its colder than the 12z run though. I won't be shocked if the interior hills...esp east facing up by WaWa and such are stuck in the 20s with that tough CAD setting up in the interior with cloud cover and light snow falling. Yeah I agree. I find it hard to believe it warms like that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted November 30, 2012 Share Posted November 30, 2012 1-3 today then ice tomorrow FTW Looks like they put a star on Mt. Tolland for emphasis. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted November 30, 2012 Share Posted November 30, 2012 it's only a horror show if you're a snow monger. i like it Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted November 30, 2012 Share Posted November 30, 2012 That first batch of snow in CT is getting eaten up pretty good by the dry dewpoints draining in....the better stuff should be pre-dawn into tomorrow morning. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted November 30, 2012 Share Posted November 30, 2012 tahoe · Snow. High near 31. Strong and damaging winds, with a southwest wind 65 to 75 mph decreasing to 45 to 55 mph in the morning. Winds could gust as high as 105 mph. Chance of precipitation is 100%. Total daytime snow accumulation of 19 to 25 inches possible. · Tonight Snow showers. Low around 27. Strong and damaging winds, with a southwest wind 55 to 60 mph increasing to 65 to 70 mph in the evening. Winds could gust as high as 105 mph. Chance of precipitation is 100%. New snow accumulation of 4 to 8 inches possible. · Saturday Snow. High near 32. Strong and damaging winds, with a south wind 70 to 80 mph, with gusts as high as 125 mph. Chance of precipitation is 100%. New snow accumulation of 6 to 10 inches possible. · Saturday Night Snow. The snow could be heavy at times. Low around 32. Strong and damaging winds, with a southwest wind around 65 mph, with gusts as high as 95 mph. Chance of precipitation is 100%. New snow accumulation of 6 to 10 inches possible. · Sunday Snow. The snow could be heavy at times. High near 33. Strong and damaging winds, with a southwest wind around 80 mph, with gusts as high as 115 mph. Chance of precipitation is 100%. New snow accumulation of 20 to 26 inches possible. · Sunday Night A 40 percent chance of snow showers. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 21. Very windy. Little or no snow accumulation expected. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted November 30, 2012 Share Posted November 30, 2012 18z NAM is pretty weenie-ish for the interior tomorrow..esp in MA. It would be an inch or two there. The sfc temps have come in colder too as that ageostrophic flow is nasty in not allowing the cold to erode. I can only pray for the NAM to give me a solid coating. 25/1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted November 30, 2012 Share Posted November 30, 2012 yeah, this is a pretty frigid lower boundary layer - wow, the wet bulbs gotta be about 21 FIT: 301952 OVC037 10 33 -6 VR03 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted November 30, 2012 Share Posted November 30, 2012 Poor dog is outside covered in a little -SN. Coming down at a fair clip for flurries right now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted November 30, 2012 Share Posted November 30, 2012 I can only pray for the NAM to give me a solid coating. 25/1 qpf is kind of skimpy where you are...............lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted November 30, 2012 Share Posted November 30, 2012 tahoe · Snow. High near 31. Strong and damaging winds, with a southwest wind 65 to 75 mph decreasing to 45 to 55 mph in the morning. Winds could gust as high as 105 mph. Chance of precipitation is 100%. Total daytime snow accumulation of 19 to 25 inches possible. · Tonight Snow showers. Low around 27. Strong and damaging winds, with a southwest wind 55 to 60 mph increasing to 65 to 70 mph in the evening. Winds could gust as high as 105 mph. Chance of precipitation is 100%. New snow accumulation of 4 to 8 inches possible. · Saturday Snow. High near 32. Strong and damaging winds, with a south wind 70 to 80 mph, with gusts as high as 125 mph. Chance of precipitation is 100%. New snow accumulation of 6 to 10 inches possible. · Saturday Night Snow. The snow could be heavy at times. Low around 32. Strong and damaging winds, with a southwest wind around 65 mph, with gusts as high as 95 mph. Chance of precipitation is 100%. New snow accumulation of 6 to 10 inches possible. · Sunday Snow. The snow could be heavy at times. High near 33. Strong and damaging winds, with a southwest wind around 80 mph, with gusts as high as 115 mph. Chance of precipitation is 100%. New snow accumulation of 20 to 26 inches possible. · Sunday Night A 40 percent chance of snow showers. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 21. Very windy. Little or no snow accumulation expected. That's a thing of beauty, John. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 30, 2012 Author Share Posted November 30, 2012 Model performance sucks in the extended. The changes are funny. Pretty big changes just off the west coast. Much less of a -PNA. End result actually wasn't all that different. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted November 30, 2012 Share Posted November 30, 2012 qpf is kind of skimpy where you are...............lol Ya think? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted November 30, 2012 Share Posted November 30, 2012 Euro Ens look pretty good D11-D15. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted November 30, 2012 Share Posted November 30, 2012 yeah, this is a pretty frigid lower boundary layer - wow, the wet bulbs gotta be about 21 FIT: 301952 OVC037 10 33 -6 VR03 In fact, looking around the area - I wonder how much QPF can really make it to the ground with that kind of pan-Mass dry air. Especially up along Rt poop; wouldn't surprise me if it's a hygroscopic event over the next 24 hours. who knows Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 30, 2012 Author Share Posted November 30, 2012 Kevin's new favorite model has ORH north staying below 30 tomorrow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted November 30, 2012 Share Posted November 30, 2012 In fact, looking around the area - I wonder how much QPF can really make it to the ground with that kind of pan-Mass dry air. Especially up along Rt poop; wouldn't surprise me if it's a hygroscopic event over the next 24 hours. who knows Yeah, it has really dried out since this morning 29/6 attm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted November 30, 2012 Share Posted November 30, 2012 Kevin's new favorite model has ORH north staying below 30 tomorrow. That would not shock me. We got to 31.7F here on my Walmart special thermo Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted November 30, 2012 Share Posted November 30, 2012 Kevin's new favorite model has ORH north staying below 30 tomorrow. And you have 21000+ more posts than I do Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sugarloaf1989 Posted November 30, 2012 Share Posted November 30, 2012 Snowing pretty good here with the ground turning white, CTBlizz will probably need chains to summit weenie hill. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 30, 2012 Author Share Posted November 30, 2012 And you have 21000+ more posts than I do Well 8000 of yours are webcam shots of WaWa. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Torchey Posted November 30, 2012 Share Posted November 30, 2012 43/32 impressive boundary to the north. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted November 30, 2012 Share Posted November 30, 2012 Snowing pretty good here with the ground turning white, CTBlizz will probably need chains to summit weenie hill. Nice little weenie band n southern half of Tolland county right now...though its going to shut off in the next 30 minutes probably or just taper to a few flakes. Hopefully the stuff in NY State can give us a bit of fun tomorrow morning. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sugarloaf1989 Posted November 30, 2012 Share Posted November 30, 2012 Nice little weenie band n southern half of Tolland county right now...though its going to shut off in the next 30 minutes probably or just taper to a few flakes. Hopefully the stuff in NY State can give us a bit of fun tomorrow morning. Yeah the upstream area looks fairly dry on radar. I dont see 1-3" being possible. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sfenn1117 Posted November 30, 2012 Share Posted November 30, 2012 Snowing pretty good here with the ground turning white, CTBlizz will probably need chains to summit weenie hill. Nice little flizzard in Manchester at the moment Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 30, 2012 Author Share Posted November 30, 2012 Not often you see temps on ACK fall with a NE wind in late November. Very impressive. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted November 30, 2012 Share Posted November 30, 2012 Yeah the upstream area looks fairly dry on radar. I dont see 1-3" being possible. It wouldn't shock me if some areas weenied an inch or so tomorrow. Sometimes models can be a bit light in these setups...I'd prefer to see temps a bit colder in the 800mb region for better snow growth, but we'll see how it plays out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherMA Posted November 30, 2012 Share Posted November 30, 2012 3 accumulating snowfalls in Nov. that is pure gold. Priceless One will be December, unless you pull off .2" in the next few hours by some weenie miracle. Nope. No, that's correct. Parts of NE Mass, and southern NH up to about Dendrite got an 1"+. Western NE didn't fare as well, hence why I said MOST of sne. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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