OceanStWx Posted November 30, 2012 Share Posted November 30, 2012 Brutal. 24/-1 down here with some BKN skies. We didn't get much snow, but at least it looks white again. You can really see the air mass tuck with the dew points. -2 at CON, 8 at ORH, and 24 at IJD. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 30, 2012 Author Share Posted November 30, 2012 I pray we have more of these with precip thrown in. Oh how I pray. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 30, 2012 Author Share Posted November 30, 2012 I wonder if there is a narrow weenie stripe of snow from CT into SE MA later today and tonight. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sugarloaf1989 Posted November 30, 2012 Share Posted November 30, 2012 34.6F here, expecting a coating of snow overnight, nothing more. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted November 30, 2012 Share Posted November 30, 2012 Radar looking more and more impressive downstream. Snowy first half of weekend before hangings with tree light cords start on Sunday Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted November 30, 2012 Share Posted November 30, 2012 I wonder if there is a narrow weenie stripe of snow from CT into SE MA later today and tonight. BTVs 30 seconds of snow? hope so Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MaineJayhawk Posted November 30, 2012 Share Posted November 30, 2012 Radar looking more and more impressive downstream. Snowy first half of weekend before hangings with tree light cords start on Sunday Upstream = New York/Pennsylvania. Downstream = Sultan and Scooter's fanny Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted November 30, 2012 Share Posted November 30, 2012 I pray we have more of these with precip thrown in. Oh how I pray. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 30, 2012 Author Share Posted November 30, 2012 Upstream = New York/Pennsylvania. Downstream = Sultan and Scooter's fanny LOL, he's still learning. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted November 30, 2012 Share Posted November 30, 2012 Radar looking more and more impressive downstream. Snowy first half of weekend before hangings with tree light cords start on Sunday Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted November 30, 2012 Share Posted November 30, 2012 Upstream = New York/Pennsylvania. Downstream = Sultan and Scooter's fanny I see a stream of swimming twds you Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted November 30, 2012 Share Posted November 30, 2012 GEFS back to looking better compared to the ugly 06z run. No surprise really. I'm guessing we will keep seeing these swings utnil we get closer. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted November 30, 2012 Share Posted November 30, 2012 Aint nobody hanging off of Gondolas, "13" past 48 hours and 21" in the last 7 days would make sense as to why J.Spin is finding 18" settled natural snow depth" ASOUT Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted November 30, 2012 Share Posted November 30, 2012 I see a stream of swimming twds you Nobody streams in me fanny Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwinter23 Posted November 30, 2012 Share Posted November 30, 2012 There are a few things to look for here... The Branstrator wave in the North Pacific, which is a 20-25 day retrogression cycle, has implications on circulation. If it were to work out as modeled, we would be looking at an Aleutian Low / Split Flow / PNA development sometime in the first half of January. There is also indications that if the Tropics continue to follow their patterns that the MJO may try to come alive as we move into the New Year. This would also fit with analog data, solar data and the North Pacific changes to some extent (feedback from retrograding N PAC low). Currently, the Tropical State is very similar to mid-October but the East Asian Jet has been very persistent along with the West Pacific stagnant forcing / Hadley Cell. These features combined with the IO forcing are basically disrupting any waves currently, but I don't think that will remain the case as we head into January. As the big Aleutian High in the stratosphere begins to stretch out the "surf zone" and the high PV anomalies become stretched, cooler air will be displaced to the equatorial regions mid to late December. This may mess with organized stagnant circulations and allow assistance for the MJO. Finally, the solar factor will also be dipping again late December. It's funny, I googled "Branstrator north pacific retrogression" to try and turn up some research, and the first results were three eastern us wx threads from the 08-09 season..one of them was this post of yours from december 20th 08, titled "the failure of the -NAO". We eventually got our -NAO block early Jan of that year of course. http://www.easternus...ure-of-the-nao/ Edit: further down in that thread there is a solid 2am bromance reply by me as well...definitely was blitzed that night Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OKpowdah Posted November 30, 2012 Share Posted November 30, 2012 12z GEFS mean out to week 2 has some strong similarities to Dec 2007 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 30, 2012 Author Share Posted November 30, 2012 Aint nobody hanging off of Gondolas, "13" past 48 hours and 21" in the last 7 days would make sense as to why J.Spin is finding 18" settled natural snow depth" ASOUT However, where most people live, in SNE below 4k..it will suck. Congrats to the Mt Mansfield snow stake. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
toronto blizzard Posted November 30, 2012 Share Posted November 30, 2012 12z GEFS mean out to week 2 has some strong similarities to Dec 2007 Bring it on Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted November 30, 2012 Share Posted November 30, 2012 However, where most people live, in SNE below 4k..it will suck. Congrats to the Mt Mansfield snow stake. huh? Talking about today, lots of folks had 4-8 up there last night. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted November 30, 2012 Share Posted November 30, 2012 Will Brian 90210 admit that Kevin will still have snow cover Sunday? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 30, 2012 Author Share Posted November 30, 2012 huh? Talking about today, lots of folks had 4-8 up there last night. I know, but I don't think anybody here really cares about what they got up there. I'm not diminishing what happened, just saying. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted November 30, 2012 Share Posted November 30, 2012 Will Brian 90210 admit that Kevin will still have snow cover Sunday? Need pics of course.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted November 30, 2012 Share Posted November 30, 2012 I know, but I don't think anybody here really cares about what they got up there. I'm not diminishing what happened, just saying. Clearly the pattern is getting to you, look to add a little to the snow cover tonight at home. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted November 30, 2012 Share Posted November 30, 2012 Clearly the pattern is getting to you, look to add a little to the snow cover tonight at home. if we get a month of this pattern, the meltdown here are going to be historic Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 30, 2012 Author Share Posted November 30, 2012 Clearly the pattern is getting to you, look to add a little to the snow cover tonight at home. My post wasn't meant to be taken that way, not sure how else to word it. If you poll people....I'm sure what's going on up there wouldn't matter to most. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted November 30, 2012 Share Posted November 30, 2012 My post wasn't meant to be taken that way, not sure how else to word it. If you poll people....I'm sure what's going on up there wouldn't matter to most. lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwinter23 Posted November 30, 2012 Share Posted November 30, 2012 Well that may be indirectly related while something else is possibly forcing it there from the other side of the NH. Then of course last year the vortex was pushed to Greenland with a SSW and it meant nothing in terms of the NAO (but the AO was in the tank). Solar forecasts say general smooth peak 12/16-12/17 so that will give a slight positive tendency to the annular modes and La Niña-like GLAAM. The exact way the sun affects things is of course in theory so I wouldn't get to bent out of shape over it. Also, forecasting techniques are in the dark ages in terms of the sun, especially when compared with our own atmosphere. Yeah honestly the cool anomaly near greenland is not the focal point of that research/correlation map he produced anyway. The whole concept of it was November/early winter having the warmer than normal 70 mb over Eurasia, likely as a result of the SAI in relevant years. The cooler anomaly over greenland on the map is likely just a byproduct of the fact that the vortex has to displace somewhere, I'd guess... I cant find the 70mb image he generated, which had a better correlation, but I did have this 20mb image saved..the anomalies are similar, and this is of coruse what you do not want to see for a -AO Jan this time of year Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted November 30, 2012 Share Posted November 30, 2012 i'm liking the unilateral height rises S of the Aleutians on this run ... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted November 30, 2012 Share Posted November 30, 2012 My post wasn't meant to be taken that way, not sure how else to word it. If you poll people....I'm sure what's going on up there wouldn't matter to most. Pretty much. That's why there's NNE thread Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 30, 2012 Author Share Posted November 30, 2012 This is where the disco begins as far as what NJwinter23 is referring to. http://www.americanw...ost__p__1777367 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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