NECT Posted November 27, 2012 Share Posted November 27, 2012 Snowing for over an hour now (in Brooklyn). Barely sticking to anything. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted November 27, 2012 Share Posted November 27, 2012 SREFs actually have the highest prob of 4"+ in ORH county...because those solutions that get heaviest precip up into the cold air are the ones that bloom this system late before it exits stage right. I'm still not think more than an inch or two though. The biggest problem in this is precip rates. It can snow for 8 hours, but at 32F, its not going to add up to 3-4" of snow if it is light snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 27, 2012 Share Posted November 27, 2012 DXR area might be FTW too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChrisM Posted November 27, 2012 Share Posted November 27, 2012 SREFs actually have the highest prob of 4"+ in ORH county...because those solutions that get heaviest precip up into the cold air are the ones that bloom this system late before it exits stage right. I'm still not think more than an inch or two though. The biggest problem in this is precip rates. It can snow for 8 hours, but at 32F, its not going to add up to 3-4" of snow if it is light snow. yep...case in point here. Snowing lightly for two hours, 32F and the grass isn't even coated. It really needs to come down moderately IMO Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sfenn1117 Posted November 27, 2012 Share Posted November 27, 2012 Suddenly flipped to big dendrites in Hartford. Might see some sticking now Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted November 27, 2012 Share Posted November 27, 2012 I joked about Shelton, but you watch..lol. Sultan's SW RI fetish might work out. I still think the NE CT hills over to NW RI hills will do the best. A little elevation will help. 2-3" there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 27, 2012 Share Posted November 27, 2012 I still think the NE CT hills over to NW RI hills will do the best. A little elevation will help. 2-3" there. Elevations will see the highest amounts for sure. I think some higher folk in CT and RI could do fairly well, over 3". Maybe even 4-5 if the stuff tonight gets going there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ice Warrior commander Posted November 27, 2012 Share Posted November 27, 2012 Main road is just patchy coverage though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted November 27, 2012 Share Posted November 27, 2012 yep...case in point here. Snowing lightly for two hours, 32F and the grass isn't even coated. It really needs to come down moderately IMO Yeah...2 mile SN- at 32F FTL...it doesn't stick quickly. If we can get some heavier bands in the region, then some areas will have a chance. The models are not so bullish on snowfall over an inch or two for this reason despite some areas getting like 0.3" or even a bit more of QPF. It falls over like 10-12 hours. Still can't complain too much...2nd snowfall of the season and its only November 27th...and this system could still have some tricks up its sleeve ofr late this afternoon/evening. We'll just have to watch. But people should keep in mind that you need heavier precip rates to accumulate at marginal temps. This system is definitely a bit warmer than the Nov 7-8 system too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted November 27, 2012 Share Posted November 27, 2012 I'll get some Tolland reports soon . Many weenie watchers for me when not there Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted November 27, 2012 Share Posted November 27, 2012 this band is delivering Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
radarman Posted November 27, 2012 Share Posted November 27, 2012 Oddly enough, severe has screwed me the least... You got in on the freak hailstorm March 13th right? And supercells nearby July 18th? 2011 was a big year out this way with June 1st and the Octobomb, not to mention a huge January (although most of New England got in on that), but really nothing notable in 2012 other than the early season golfing. Meanwhile snowflakes have gotten a lot smaller here in the last few minutes and there's still no trace on the grass. Very good to see snow in the air nonetheless. 34.1/32.0 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted November 27, 2012 Share Posted November 27, 2012 Too bad its too warm on the Cape and far SE MA...that is where the most impressive VVs are going to end up in this. I'm not that impressed with the last couple runs of the RAP for further W and north. It looks like it wants to shred the precip field a bit. Radar isn't looking too bad though. Looks good in my neck per the NAM. http://68.226.77.253/text/NAM80km/NAM_Ktan.txt Freezing levels around 1000ft as the precip intensifies. Only surface is just above freezing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ice Warrior commander Posted November 27, 2012 Share Posted November 27, 2012 Agree with Will. my temp. of 32.1 F is hurting accums in this steady light snow right now. Dendrites got a lot better though.. But if it was 25 F .. much better.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted November 27, 2012 Share Posted November 27, 2012 Looks good in my neck per the NAM. http://68.226.77.253...km/NAM_Ktan.txt Freezing levels around 1000ft as the precip intensifies. Only surface is just above freezing. That is very marginal...if precip gets heavy enough you could cash in. If that heavier precip can materialize for SE MA, a weenie place like Foxborough could clean up in a short time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 27, 2012 Share Posted November 27, 2012 Agree with Will. my temp. of 32.1 F is hurting accums in this steady light snow right now. Denrites got a lot better though.. But if it was 25 F .. much better.. That's going to happen in the lower elevations. The higher spots above 600' will do better, you'll get into it with the heavier stuff. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bostonseminole Posted November 27, 2012 Share Posted November 27, 2012 light snow, but nothing sticking here in Billerica. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted November 27, 2012 Share Posted November 27, 2012 100% snow in Edison. Big flakes..amazing november for a winter weather lover..congrats everyone Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted November 27, 2012 Share Posted November 27, 2012 Snowing here at 38/39 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted November 27, 2012 Share Posted November 27, 2012 the flakes are huge here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted November 27, 2012 Share Posted November 27, 2012 Agree with Will. my temp. of 32.1 F is hurting accums in this steady light snow right now. Dendrites got a lot better though.. But if it was 25 F .. much better.. Holy cross webcam confirming some nice dendrites just north of you too in ORH at about 600-650 feet there. doesn't look like its sticking too much though at that elevation yet http://www.holycross.edu/webcam/ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 27, 2012 Share Posted November 27, 2012 GFS loves RI. Somebody in the high spots of CT or RI will get 4-5 there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted November 27, 2012 Share Posted November 27, 2012 GFS loves RI. Somebody in the high spots of CT or RI will get 4-5 there. surprised there are no advisories for those areas... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted November 27, 2012 Share Posted November 27, 2012 Mod snow here..huge flakes. Xmass music on Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted November 27, 2012 Share Posted November 27, 2012 Nude. Frontal backal and yes sideal Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted November 27, 2012 Share Posted November 27, 2012 surprised there are no advisories for those areas... You need widespread 4" amounts for advisories. I doubt that happens. The GFS is kind of bullish...NAM isn't. SREFs are mixed. If that stuff in PA doesn't weaken too much and we get that 2nd wvae of enhancement early enough, then this could surprise a bit more. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ice Warrior commander Posted November 27, 2012 Share Posted November 27, 2012 That's going to happen in the lower elevations. The higher spots above 600' will do better, you'll get into it with the heavier stuff. Yes, I'm just over 600 feet here and it's already coated over most all sfc's here except the main road down the hill. But even that is getting patchy covering now. Any heavier and it changes fast. Temp. is holding at 32.2 F for now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChrisM Posted November 27, 2012 Share Posted November 27, 2012 wow, moderate snow with everything including roads now covered...holy crap Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 27, 2012 Share Posted November 27, 2012 surprised there are no advisories for those areas... I feel good about those areas in the higher elevations. The boundary layer gets marginal near the coast down there as warmer air aloft moves in, but areas away from the shore and higher up should do well. Maybe DXR to near and south of TOL to FoSter RI or so FTW. A good 2-3 there, but a 4-5 spot is certainly possible. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted November 27, 2012 Share Posted November 27, 2012 GFS gives me like 3-4", lol. Has a nice ribbon of lift extending right up into E CT/RI and central MA. I'm somewhat skeptical though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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