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November 27th - 28th Storm Observations/Nowcast


twright86

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After looking at various long range models and ensemble means for the GFS, it appears winter will not truly return until mid month of DEC, the early thoughts of early DEC have now reverted back to the middle of the month for the arctic to return to the US. The arctic oscillation plummets by mid month and the NAO goes negative as well with the PNA beginning to rebound some towards the same time period. Next two storm threats look to be Great Lakes Snowstorms, while we warm up into the middle 40s and 50s before cold fronts move through with modified cold air behind them. Any thoughts to mid December as the time to be happy?

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After looking at various long range models and ensemble means for the GFS, it appears winter will not truly return until mid month of DEC, the early thoughts of early DEC have now reverted back to the middle of the month for the arctic to return to the US. The arctic oscillation plummets by mid month and the NAO goes negative as well with the PNA beginning to rebound some towards the same time period. Next two storm threats look to be Great Lakes Snowstorms, while we warm up into the middle 40s and 50s before cold fronts move through with modified cold air behind them. Any thoughts to mid December as the time to be happy?

I made a thread about it, if you want to put your thoughts there .

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Is Tolland leading New England in seasonal snowfall right now outside the summits of Mansfield and Jay Peak in the northern Greens?

He's beating anything under 1,500ft in the upslope region here and I can't think of any populated NNE or CNE spots that would even be close.

He's had some payback lately.

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At least this month will finally come in below normal breaking that awfully long string of AOB normal weather temperature wise.

Kevin (right?), if this is you...got your spotter report!! Do you want it listed as Coventry, CT, though? It came in as Tolland (and I don't think you want to step on the other Kevin's toes!! ;) ). Saw your flag on the report!

--Turtle

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Kevin (right?), if this is you...got your spotter report!! Do you want it listed as Coventry, CT, though? It came in as Tolland (and I don't think you want to step on the other Kevin's toes!! wink.png ). Saw your flag on the report!

--Turtle

Coventry is correct and I am kevin also but I listed my elevation at 835" CTblizz is at 1,000. Technically I live in North Coventry but folks around here do not like the north/south idea of a town division so I just use Coventry.

3.5" here in Coventry @835'

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Nice, great Nov. let's hope Donnie Baseballs take on the AO state is dead nuts. Rocking times mid month. This week might have a surprise left too. Windexy.

Let's hope. We're starting to look pretty ugly through 12/10 save an overrunning kind of event but overall it's a warm looking pattern. I'm not sure how easy it's going to be to flip things around.

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Coventry is correct and I am kevin also but I listed my elevation at 835" CTblizz is at 1,000. Technically I live in North Coventry but folks around here do not like the north/south idea of a town division so I just use Coventry.

3.5" here in Coventry @835'

Oh, OK...I am confused, then. Someone flagged me through web spotter from Tolland at 4.2 inches from the board though not the other Kevin (he is a trained spotter)!!! This one came in as a "public" report.

You are all set on our PNS from 635 PM, Kevin (this is getting real confusing!! hehe...). Thanks.

--Turtle

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Abt 2.0" here on the snow board with some light snow still falling. The last inch came in the last couple of hours. A nice little event overall. Elevation definitely helped.

I left work in Springfield with rain and no snow only to find the higher elevations along my drive home plastered. I always like those storms where the snow sticks to everything! Very pretty out.

Maybe I'll squeeze out a few more tenths?

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Oh, OK...I am confused, then. Someone flagged me through web spotter from Tolland at 4.2 inches from the board though not the other Kevin (he is a trained spotter)!!! This one came in as a "public" report.

You are all set on our PNS from 635 PM, Kevin (this is getting real confusing!! hehe...). Thanks.

--Turtle

My report is public as well as I am not a trained spotter.

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Let's hope. We're starting to look pretty ugly through 12/10 save an overrunning kind of event but overall it's a warm looking pattern. I'm not sure how easy it's going to be to flip things around.

Yea looks warm after Sunday for a while but they way cold has been overperforming I am not sold on anything drastic like the Plains torch. Big PAC NW low replaced by PNA in the long term gradual flip seems on the table.

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Let's hope. We're starting to look pretty ugly through 12/10 save an overrunning kind of event but overall it's a warm looking pattern. I'm not sure how easy it's going to be to flip things around.

My fear is around this time last year there were many that had faith a change was coming in December...around the 10th, then the 20th, then NYE and it never came. This is a different pattern for sure. We're not 70 degrees. But it's also looking for and more like the Pac is going to be a big problem for us as the Pac air floods the nation. Cold and dry followed by moosh pattern?

Meh, mostly large aggregates. Bright banding. Not accumulating much. Maybe 0.2-0.3" thus far..

Up the road there's some accumulations along 106. Everything was covered pretty good two hours ago.

Beats what I've got here which is 38 and rain. A fish farts on the beach and I go up 3 degrees due to 50 degree water.

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