metalicwx366 Posted August 27, 2013 Share Posted August 27, 2013 A great move in the right direction! TW What is? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mackerel_sky Posted August 28, 2013 Share Posted August 28, 2013 ENSO neutralish , the rest of the year, into winter Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mackerel_sky Posted August 28, 2013 Share Posted August 28, 2013 Saw my first wooly worm of the year Imby! It had a few brown rings near head, pretty sizeable black section, and a small brown section near tail. I think the big section of black means a cold , snowy winter! I'll have to wait and see the persimmon crop before I can make a better winter outlook ! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
metalicwx366 Posted August 28, 2013 Share Posted August 28, 2013 Wrong ^^. Brown rings near the head, means cold start to winter, black section is warm and dry, and small brown section near the end is brutal cold. Basically a repeat of last winter with the very cold November, warm January, February, and December, and frigid March. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mackerel_sky Posted August 28, 2013 Share Posted August 28, 2013 It might be right for mby! Is it ever cold and snowy in honey boo boo land??? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jburns Posted August 28, 2013 Share Posted August 28, 2013 Wrong ^^. Brown rings near the head, means cold start to winter, black section is warm and dry, and small brown section near the end is brutal cold. Basically a repeat of last winter with the very cold November, warm January, February, and December, and frigid March. You are the first dyslexic wooly worm reader I've ever encountered. Wooly worm reading instructions. http://www.weather.com/news/woolly-worm-winter-20121020 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
metalicwx366 Posted August 28, 2013 Share Posted August 28, 2013 You are the first dyslexic wooly worm reader I've ever encountered. Wooly worm reading instructions. http://www.weather.com/news/woolly-worm-winter-20121020 I wasn't being serious buddy. Anyhow, that worm failed last year, looks like the opposite of that occurred. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jburns Posted August 28, 2013 Share Posted August 28, 2013 I wasn't being serious buddy. Anyhow, that worm failed last year, looks like the opposite of that occurred. Hmm. I'm pretty astute when it comes to humor. I didn't pick up on any in your reply to mackerel. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wow Posted August 28, 2013 Share Posted August 28, 2013 Nearly every square mile of ocean in the NH is above normal right now, but I do like seeing the warm pool in the GOA holding on. This time last year and in '11 it was solidly below normal. But the entire N Pac basin is above normal right now.. so unusual how warm the ocean is yet the Enso is neutral neg right now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
magpiemaniac Posted August 28, 2013 Share Posted August 28, 2013 Saw my first wooly worm of the year Imby! It had a few brown rings near head, pretty sizeable black section, and a small brown section near tail. I think the big section of black means a cold , snowy winter! I'll have to wait and see the persimmon crop before I can make a better winter outlook ! I found a wooly worm in my son's school this morning. It was all black from end to end. Prepare for massive blizzards in central NC this coming winter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
metalicwx366 Posted August 28, 2013 Share Posted August 28, 2013 Hmm. I'm pretty astute when it comes to humor. I didn't pick up on any in your reply to mackerel.Congratulations, you must be proud. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeyefan1 Posted August 28, 2013 Share Posted August 28, 2013 Nearly every square mile of ocean in the NH is above normal right now, but I do like seeing the warm pool in the GOA holding on. This time last year and in '11 it was solidly below normal. But the entire N Pac basin is above normal right now.. so unusual how warm the ocean is yet the Enso is neutral neg right now. I'll take my chances with a neutral enso this winter I found a wooly worm in my son's school this morning. It was all black from end to end. Prepare for massive blizzards in central NC this coming winter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tarheelwx Posted August 29, 2013 Share Posted August 29, 2013 I think JB threw out some winter ideas on WB premium yesterday. Did anyone read it?Tw Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
griteater Posted September 5, 2013 Share Posted September 5, 2013 http://www.komonews.com/weather/blogs/scott/Are-you-sure-its-August-Temp-drops-to-9-in-Canadian-town-220941801.html "The area near Eureka -- a Canadian research outpost in Nunavut at 80 degrees North (See map) -- has seen a nearly unprecedented start to winter this month (August). According to UW research meteorologist Mark Albright, there is already 7 inches of snow on the ground and the temperature Friday night dropped to 9 degrees -- its lowest August temperature reading ever and as far as I can tell, the third lowest August temperature reading ever recorded around sea level in North America. (The research post "Alert" at 82N has recorded late August temps of 5F and 8F on Aug. 31 and 30 according to their record lows). Certainly Eureka's 9F was the coldest August 24th temperature recorded in North America. While we might picture the polar regions as a barren place where it snows 365 days a year amid sub-zero temperatures -- in the summertime that's not really the case. The average high temperature in August in Eureka is 41 and its average low is 33 -- don't forget the sun is up non-stop in August (until the 30th, its first sunset)." Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
frazdaddy Posted September 5, 2013 Share Posted September 5, 2013 I found a wooly worm in my son's school this morning. It was all black from end to end. Prepare for massive blizzards in central NC this coming winter. There... Mr.Burns. I told you I had a hunch this winter was going to the the best ever and now we have scietific proof Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jburns Posted September 5, 2013 Share Posted September 5, 2013 There... Mr.Burns. I told you I had a hunch this winter was going to the the best ever and now we have scietific proof EUREKA!!!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FLweather Posted September 6, 2013 Share Posted September 6, 2013 So whats the saying about seeing both kinds of wooly worms? I've seen some solid black this year and the last couple of days I've seen some crossing the road that are brownish-orange(solid). A brownish color would indicate mild weather right?! Looks like Mr Wooly may be conflicted about this winter. Maybe not bitter cold but snowier then the past few winters. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
metalicwx366 Posted September 6, 2013 Share Posted September 6, 2013 How about we use real science instead of bugs? Obviously the black wooly worms have a gene for black and brown one has a general for brown color, and the others have the two colors codominate to each other. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mackerel_sky Posted September 6, 2013 Share Posted September 6, 2013 How about we use real science instead of bugs? Obviously the black wooly worms have a gene for black and brown one has a general for brown color, and the others have the two colors codominate to each other. . How did real science work out last winter? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jburns Posted September 6, 2013 Share Posted September 6, 2013 . How did real science work out last winter? It worked out fine for Waycross. They were within 0.1" of their average snowfall. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FLweather Posted September 6, 2013 Share Posted September 6, 2013 How about we use real science instead of bugs? Obviously the black wooly worms have a gene for black and brown one has a general for brown color, and the others have the two colors codominate to each other. Laugh if you please. Use what you want. Nature is the best indicator IMO. Not no machine that is ran 2 or 4 times a day. Mother nature is going to do what it will damn well please and there are signs to see if you look for them. . How did real science work out last winter? Exactly!! If not last winter what about years past. According to some of the models.... the gates of hell should have been frozen over on Earth a very long time ago. It worked out fine for Waycross. They were within 0.1" of their average snowfall. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mackerel_sky Posted September 6, 2013 Share Posted September 6, 2013 Another sign I have seen us squirrels eating green pine cones down to the core! A lot of them everywhere! I thought they could get seeds from the brown open cones? If they are so desperate to fill up on the tight green cones, we better stock up on rock salt and snow shovels!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
metalicwx366 Posted September 6, 2013 Share Posted September 6, 2013 . How did real science work out last winter?Great, just forecast the opposite of what the CFSv2 shows. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
metalicwx366 Posted September 6, 2013 Share Posted September 6, 2013 Another sign I have seen us squirrels eating green pine cones down to the core! A lot of them everywhere!!Oh my god. I heard someone mention this earlier today. They said a cold winter is on the way. Weird. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FLweather Posted September 6, 2013 Share Posted September 6, 2013 Another sign I have seen us squirrels eating green pine cones down to the core! A lot of them everywhere! I thought they could get seeds from the brown open cones? If they are so desperate to fill up on the tight green cones, we better stock up on rock salt and snow shovels!! I've noticed the samething with the squirrels but not with pine cones. Acorns..... lots of half eaten acorns. Even these little trees... less than 3ft tall are already bare. Not dead none what so ever and other trees working its way up with the medium size trees. Over the last month there has been some good coloration with the trees considering how wet its been. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAD_Wedge_NC Posted September 6, 2013 Share Posted September 6, 2013 I've noticed the samething with the squirrels but not with pine cones. Acorns..... lots of half eaten acorns. Even these little trees... less than 3ft tall are already bare. Not dead none what so ever and other trees working its way up with the medium size trees. Over the last month there has been some good coloration with the trees considering how wet its been. Yep, those little guys are really getting fat here too. Maybe it's a sign of a bad winter or maybe it's just the abundance of things to eat with the increase in rainfall this summer. Time will tell. Meanwhile, I am looking forward to a good winter. According to some SST's graphs I have seen recently, Enso is showing some signs of warming. Could we possibly sneak in a weak El-Nino this season? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
griteater Posted September 6, 2013 Share Posted September 6, 2013 According to some SST's graphs I have seen recently, Enso is showing some signs of warming. Could we possibly sneak in a weak El-Nino this season? I think it's just a temporary bump in Nino region SSTs. Today's MEI update for Jul/Aug came in with weak La Nina conditions, which was also the case for Jun/Jul. If we were proceeding toward a Nino, it would almost certainly have shown its hand by now. There are no strong westerly 850mb wind anomalies forecasted in the near term in the Nino region. In my view, we are looking at ENSO neutral, with weak La Nina the next most likely...but we'll soon find out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
griteater Posted September 7, 2013 Share Posted September 7, 2013 I saw this posted on the new Euro Monthlies: December: A healthy Alaskan Vortex/+EPO..zonal flow over the US, despite a -NAO.January: A huge ridge over the west, strong -EPO type pattern with ridging from the NW US into Alaska... a significant -AO.February: Ridge apparently retrogrades offshore, just as strong as in January. Strong -EPO/-AO/-NAO. Entire US would be cold. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dsaur Posted September 7, 2013 Share Posted September 7, 2013 I approve of these monthlies! Too bad this isn't Christmas Eve. Too many monthlies to go. T Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
metalicwx366 Posted September 7, 2013 Share Posted September 7, 2013 I saw this posted on the new Euro Monthlies: December: A healthy Alaskan Vortex/+EPO..zonal flow over the US, despite a -NAO. January: A huge ridge over the west, strong -EPO type pattern with ridging from the NW US into Alaska... a significant -AO. February: Ridge apparently retrogrades offshore, just as strong as in January. Strong -EPO/-AO/-NAO. Entire US would be cold. Lol I'm going to make this my new signature. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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