Stebo Posted November 26, 2012 Share Posted November 26, 2012 Glad to know I'll have company. Descending into insanity is always done better in pairs. Realistically though I don't think we get that far without an inch of snow, that would be downright incredible especially considering the long range forecast showing a pattern shift finally. The only way it were to go wrong would be too much suppression, which is always a possibility though I am doubting that would be the case this time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Indystorm Posted November 26, 2012 Share Posted November 26, 2012 Well, I can complain that the month is almost over and we haven't had a traditional witch of November in the Great Lakes. Nothing looks significant till mid December and that is model la la land. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ajdos Posted November 27, 2012 Share Posted November 27, 2012 HAHAh ......I might just have to do this again this year haha.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
michsnowfreak Posted November 27, 2012 Share Posted November 27, 2012 HAHAh ......I might just have to do this again this year haha.... Is that really yours? Those are cool. Actually last year you do have to admit when it got cold it snowed, it just didnt get cold too often and was always fleeting. That machine probably needs 28 or colder? Either way you won't need it this year ;-) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ajdos Posted November 27, 2012 Share Posted November 27, 2012 Is that really yours? Those are cool. Actually last year you do have to admit when it got cold it snowed, it just didnt get cold too often and was always fleeting. That machine probably needs 28 or colder? Either way you won't need it this year ;-) LOL, OF COURSE IT'S MINE.. I issue my own warnings/watches (also for neighbors). Once in a while I cancel my class, don't go to work. LOL Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SpartyOn Posted November 27, 2012 Share Posted November 27, 2012 Hmmm.... didn't know winter started early this year. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ajdos Posted November 27, 2012 Share Posted November 27, 2012 Hmmm.... didn't know winter started early this year. Wacha talking about? Winter is almost over.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted November 27, 2012 Share Posted November 27, 2012 LOL, OF COURSE IT'S MINE.. I issue my own warnings/watches (also for neighbors). Once in a while I cancel my class, don't go to work. LOL Lol! Thats a cool machine. Very local warnings and watches! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
michsnowfreak Posted November 27, 2012 Share Posted November 27, 2012 Lol! Thats a cool machine. Very local warnings and watches! Its very tempting but as an avid weather observer itd be trouble for me I need to report the REAL snow depth lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathergy Posted November 27, 2012 Share Posted November 27, 2012 When was the last winter storm warning issued for your area? February 23rd, 2012 was the last warning I received, and it turned out to be a bust. MIZ068>070-075-076-241115- /O.CON.KDTX.WS.W.0001.000000T0000Z-120225T0000Z/ LIVINGSTON-OAKLAND-MACOMB-WASHTENAW-WAYNE- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...HOWELL...PONTIAC...WARREN...ANN ARBOR... DETROIT 1012 PM EST THU FEB 23 2012 ...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST FRIDAY... HAZARDOUS WEATHER... * SNOW WILL SPREAD FROM SOUTH TO NORTH OVER THE REGION BETWEEN 10 PM AND MIDNIGHT...AND THEN INCREASE INTENSITY DURING THE OVERNIGHT HOURS. A MIX OF RAIN AND SLEET WILL BE POSSIBLE AT THE ONSET ALONG AND SOUTH OF I 94. * THE PEAK OF THE EVENT WILL BE FROM 3 AM TO 9 AM...INCLUDING THE MORNING COMMUTE. * TOTAL SNOW ACCUMULATIONS WILL BE 5 TO 8 INCHES. AREAS SOUTH OF M 14 WILL BE CLOSER TO 3 OR 4 INCHES. ISOLATED LOCATIONS NORTH OF M 59 MAY EXCEED 8 INCHES...ESPECIALLY WITH ANY THUNDERSNOW THAT DEVELOPS DURING THE EARLY MORNING. * NORTH WINDS WILL GUST UP TO 30 MPH BY FRIDAY AFTERNOON RESULTING IN BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW. IMPACTS... * UNTREATED ROADS WILL BE HAZARDOUS THROUGH FRIDAY MORNING. * LIMITED VISIBILITY WILL MAKE TRAVEL CONDITIONS VERY SLOW DURING THE FRIDAY MORNING COMMUTE. * SOME BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW ON FRIDAY WILL CONTINUE TO MAKE FOR DIFFICULT DRIVING CONDITIONS THROUGH THE DAY... ESPECIALLY ON THE EAST-WEST ROADS. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... * A WINTER STORM WARNING MEANS SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF SNOW EXPECTED. THIS WILL MAKE TRAVEL VERY HAZARDOUS. * PREPARE...PLAN...AND STAY INFORMED. VISIT HTTP://GO.USA.GOV/RR8 && $$ What a major disappointment that was. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
B-Rent Posted November 27, 2012 Share Posted November 27, 2012 When was the last winter storm warning issued for your area? URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE INDIANAPOLIS IN 133 PM EST TUE FEB 1 2011 ...POTENTIALLY CATASTROPHIC WINTER STORM TO CONTINUE TO IMPACT CENTRAL INDIANA... ...ICE STORM WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST WEDNESDAY... ...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 7 AM TO 7 PM EST WEDNESDAY... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The_Global_Warmer Posted November 27, 2012 Share Posted November 27, 2012 The 00z GFS was ugly, the Euro backdoor's a front around day 8-10 so the Northern Lakes get some cold but the torch moves back in. But my region and most of the sub forum have no winter coming through the 10th at least. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dmc76 Posted November 27, 2012 Author Share Posted November 27, 2012 When was the last winter storm warning issued for your area? February 23rd, 2012 was the last warning I received, and it turned out to be a bust. What a major disappointment that was. What a flop... The failed forecasting was the best part Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jonger Posted November 27, 2012 Share Posted November 27, 2012 My best storm was 6 inches on November 30th. My second best storm was around 3 inches. Jon Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hm8 Posted November 27, 2012 Share Posted November 27, 2012 So we're complaining about last winter here too? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted November 27, 2012 Share Posted November 27, 2012 So we're complaining about last winter here too? I'd also like to throw a shout out to the winter of 1920-21. Brutal season. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathergy Posted November 27, 2012 Share Posted November 27, 2012 So we're complaining about last winter here too? Why don't we just consider it an ongoing snow drought? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeye Posted November 27, 2012 Share Posted November 27, 2012 for the last week or so my weather following is simply logging onto the euro site and checking out the 500 pattern on day 10. Until I start to see something interesting evolving in the longrange euro, I've decided to enjoy the benign weather. Nothing we can do. The extent and impressiveness of the 850 temps on that map describes the warmth, not the cold. I guess one could argue that when/if that cold air does dive south, one hell of a storm will ignite somewhere in the conus. I'm very skeptical of some of these early winter forecasts calling for a harsh winter. I think it's more likely that last winter will be remembered as the ugly beginning to a stretch of mild winters, than it will be remembered as an anomaly among good winters. I hope I'm choking on crow in a month, (remember this IS the complaint thread). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted November 27, 2012 Share Posted November 27, 2012 I'd also like to throw a shout out to the winter of 1920-21. Brutal season. That was last year, 1921-1922 this year. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
michsnowfreak Posted November 27, 2012 Share Posted November 27, 2012 So we're complaining about last winter here too? Why not? This board even saw its share of complaining the winter before that from some....whether it was Chicago posters lamenting no action after their historic blizzard, or Detroit posters lamenting that their 5th snowiest winter on record came without a 12"+ storm and had a boring (albeit snowcover) December after the Dec 12th storm...winter weenies are never happy Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SpartyOn Posted November 27, 2012 Share Posted November 27, 2012 I'd also like to throw a shout out to the winter of 1920-21. Brutal season. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
michsnowfreak Posted November 27, 2012 Share Posted November 27, 2012 Why don't we just consider it an ongoing snow drought? Im getting worried about this drought. Detroits average snowfall the last 5 years is 55.2" (71.7, 65.7, 43.7, 69.1, 26.0). That is only 14-15" above the longterm average. We are becoming a snow desert Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
michsnowfreak Posted November 27, 2012 Share Posted November 27, 2012 for the last week or so my weather following is simply logging onto the euro site and checking out the 500 pattern on day 10. Until I start to see something interesting evolving in the longrange euro, I've decided to enjoy the benign weather. Nothing we can do. The extent and impressiveness of the 850 temps on that map describes the warmth, not the cold. I guess one could argue that when/if that cold air does dive south, one hell of a storm will ignite somewhere in the conus. I'm very skeptical of some of these early winter forecasts calling for a harsh winter. I think it's more likely that last winter will be remembered as the ugly beginning to a stretch of mild winters, than it will be remembered as an anomaly among good winters. I hope I'm choking on crow in a month, (remember this IS the complaint thread). I dont hope your choking on crow in a month! I mean, you will be eating it, but chew slowly Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted November 27, 2012 Share Posted November 27, 2012 That was last year, 1921-1922 this year. Ah, yes. Well, 1925-26/2016-17 is gonna rock. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SpartyOn Posted November 27, 2012 Share Posted November 27, 2012 Well at least we still have our sense of humor. Good way to pass the time before this so called shoe drops. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeye Posted November 27, 2012 Share Posted November 27, 2012 I dont hope your choking on crow in a month! I mean, you will be eating it, but chew slowly well thanks...I think I also found these posts in the long range thread made about 2 weeks ago.... GFS says winter arrives in two weeks with a bit of fluff for a good portion of those east of the Mississippi River. The GFS has been consistent on this day 10 start to winter... That's a perfect trough. Looks like the GFS should have been advertising the the arrival of the torch, not winter. I love this complaint thread....great idea!!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
michsnowfreak Posted November 27, 2012 Share Posted November 27, 2012 Id love to see a storm-track map of 1920-22. Chicago got something like 9" and 11"? Detroit got 36.1" (1920-21) and 42.7" (1921-22). Both seasons had below-avg snowcover though, 1920-21 WAY below, 1921-22 just barely below. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
michsnowfreak Posted November 27, 2012 Share Posted November 27, 2012 well thanks...I think I also found these posts in the long range thread made about 2 weeks ago.... Looks like the GFS should have been advertising the the arrival of the torch, not winter. I love this complaint thread....great idea!!! Actually, we ARE in a trough with below normal temps though, and pretty much our entire region will be finishing November colder than normal. Its just no one got much snow (which is NEVER predictable in the longterm). CMH is at -2.3F on the month and their snowfall is just 0.1" below normal. We will be seeing mild air to start December, the question is how long will it last and will it be torch or just muted mild air? Right now a lot of mets are saying that the pattern (both cold and stormy) looks more favorable centered around Dec 10th (some say as late as early as Dec 5th, others as late as Dec 15th or later though). But I actually like this quoting posts bit. I may have to do some of that when the other shoe drops Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstormcanuck Posted November 27, 2012 Share Posted November 27, 2012 well thanks...I think I also found these posts in the long range thread made about 2 weeks ago.... Looks like the GFS should have been advertising the the arrival of the torch, not winter. I love this complaint thread....great idea!!! Remember the long range GFS at the end of October? Looked like a November 1950 redux. POS post truncation. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pondo1000 Posted November 27, 2012 Share Posted November 27, 2012 Yes I know it's early but It's time. I love how I keep seeing, "It's not the same pattern as last winter." Here is my response, "I DON'T CARE. IT STILL SUCKS FOR NOW!" Now, I also know it is way early to panic, but come January if we are still hearing, "Its is coming in 10 days......" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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