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Potential November 27th Event


nj2va

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God this sucks lol. I want to see snow fall in Baltimore some time this year!

Its still November. Any flakes in the air at this point in the season is a win. Accumulating snow this time of year down here is really rare.

Frustration if its February down this way with nothing makes sense. Frustration now? Doesn't make much sense.

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Its still November. Any flakes in the air at this point in the season is a win. Accumulating snow this time of year down here is really rare.

Frustration if its February down this way with nothing makes sense. Frustration now? Doesn't make much sense.

The snow I've seen fall since moving here is a trace lol. I saw snow in coastal CT falling this weekend midday with mostly sunny skies. :lol:

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Matt, Don Sutherland likes your pattern change timing starting around the second week of Dec. I'm a little later than that but Don's pretty good. As for this storm, meh

I think it is a tricky pattern....The only "certain" feature for the forseeable future is a big pos height anomaly somewhere from the Aleutians to western AK to Siberia.....Which you said tends warm for the east but only weakly....looks like a weak -NAO/-PNA is a good bet too....so an unpredictable pattern....I would be surprised if we saw a super cool or super warm pattern for very long....1st week of DEC looks warm, but perhaps not a torch...we could easily hit 60 though...

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and despite this being his second winter here.

Let me clarify,

I leave for until February on the 19th. saw a rain snow mix last year. This year the same once. This is why I'm wishing for an early event sooner rather than later.

Sure it would be nice to see a storm at home, but hoping for one here as there is no promise I see one after I return.

Just saying I was hoping for one! Never did I say it was likely or probable. But naturally I have people jumping down my throat just because I'm rooting for snow. rolleyes.gif

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The NWS does have a snowmap out...1-2 inches in northern MD counties bordering PA...I think that may even be a little generous.

It gives 2-5" just north of the border..........fwiw.

Shrewsbury, PA

Tonight

Snow, mainly after 4am. Low around 30. Light and variable wind. Chance of precipitation is 100%. New snow accumulation of 1 to 2 inches possible.

Tuesday

Snow, mainly before 1pm. High near 36. Light and variable wind becoming north 5 to 8 mph in the morning. Chance of precipitation is 100%. New snow accumulation of 1 to 3 inches possible.

http://forecast.weat...wsbury, PA, USA

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Question for anyone that knows... the SREF were recently updated with a new model the NMB to replace the old RSM runs... I am very familiar with the NMM and the ARW runs that comprise half the SREF now, but I know nothing about the new NMB. I ask because the last few runs I have noticed a definite difference between the NMM/ARW and the NMB models. The NMB runs are significantly further north then the NMM or ARW runs. The SREF average has ended up being a compromise between the NMB and the others...but I am wondering what the skill of the NMB is compared to the NMM and ARW and if those tending to be north should be viewed as significant or if it just plays into the model bias. Thanks for any thoughts/info.

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Can anyone tell me how much precip for BWI the lastest 12z EURO shows? I dont have access to pay sites and only see the 24 hr full panels...Looks like msot of the area is in the 90-100% 700mb relative humidity but I have no idea how heavy the precipitation is...?

with the quick glance I took, I would guess around .2-.3" qpf

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