TalcottWx Posted November 26, 2012 Share Posted November 26, 2012 how much accum has boston seen this year? Coating or two Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NaoPos Posted November 26, 2012 Share Posted November 26, 2012 how much accum has boston seen this year? people tend to forget its NOVEMBER! Climo argues you're lucky to see snow before Dec-20th.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
usedtobe Posted November 26, 2012 Share Posted November 26, 2012 Matt, Don Sutherland likes your pattern change timing starting around the second week of Dec. I'm a little later than that but Don's pretty good. As for this storm, meh Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
North Balti Zen Posted November 26, 2012 Share Posted November 26, 2012 Thanks...most of us are not familiar with our climo Pretty sure by "people" he was referring to the New England Towson transplant, who seems painfully unfamiliar with it... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted November 26, 2012 Share Posted November 26, 2012 Thanks...most of us are not familiar with our climo where have all the big october and november snowstorms gone?? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted November 26, 2012 Share Posted November 26, 2012 and despite this being his second winter here. Let me clarify, I leave for until February on the 19th. saw a rain snow mix last year. This year the same once. This is why I'm wishing for an early event sooner rather than later. Sure it would be nice to see a storm at home, but hoping for one here as there is no promise I see one after I return. Just saying I was hoping for one! Never did I say it was likely or probable. But naturally I have people jumping down my throat just because I'm rooting for snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted November 26, 2012 Share Posted November 26, 2012 That sucks...especially after a whopping 9.3" last winter... Last winter was a joke everywhere. Would have taken 9.3 though, lol. Big difference from the winter before last years. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fozz Posted November 26, 2012 Share Posted November 26, 2012 The NWS does have a snowmap out...1-2 inches in northern MD counties bordering PA...I think that may even be a little generous. It gives 2-5" just north of the border..........fwiw. Shrewsbury, PA Tonight Snow, mainly after 4am. Low around 30. Light and variable wind. Chance of precipitation is 100%. New snow accumulation of 1 to 2 inches possible. Tuesday Snow, mainly before 1pm. High near 36. Light and variable wind becoming north 5 to 8 mph in the morning. Chance of precipitation is 100%. New snow accumulation of 1 to 3 inches possible. http://forecast.weat...wsbury, PA, USA Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Yorkpa25 Posted November 26, 2012 Share Posted November 26, 2012 Agree Fozz, I would be ecstatic for 4 or 5 inches. Can't see Baltimore getting zilch while I get 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fozz Posted November 26, 2012 Share Posted November 26, 2012 Agree Fozz, I would be ecstatic for 4 or 5 inches. Can't see Baltimore getting zilch while I get 5 It can happen (October 2011), but not this time. But you may get a legit inch or two from this. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Yorkpa25 Posted November 26, 2012 Share Posted November 26, 2012 Yeah Fozz I'm thinking 3 average across York with lesser amounts around shrewsbury and md line. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted November 26, 2012 Share Posted November 26, 2012 Question for anyone that knows... the SREF were recently updated with a new model the NMB to replace the old RSM runs... I am very familiar with the NMM and the ARW runs that comprise half the SREF now, but I know nothing about the new NMB. I ask because the last few runs I have noticed a definite difference between the NMM/ARW and the NMB models. The NMB runs are significantly further north then the NMM or ARW runs. The SREF average has ended up being a compromise between the NMB and the others...but I am wondering what the skill of the NMB is compared to the NMM and ARW and if those tending to be north should be viewed as significant or if it just plays into the model bias. Thanks for any thoughts/info. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EasternUSWX Posted November 26, 2012 Share Posted November 26, 2012 I am so pumped for snow. 2-4" in the forecast here. I think 1-3" around HGR. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clskinsfan Posted November 26, 2012 Share Posted November 26, 2012 I am so pumped for snow. 2-4" in the forecast here. I think 1-3" around HGR. Good luck up there. I am pretty sure it will snow IMBY. But dont think its going to amount to anything. 1020 feet might not be high enough this time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Disc Posted November 26, 2012 Share Posted November 26, 2012 I'll be enjoying my cold rain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BaltimoreWxGuy Posted November 26, 2012 Share Posted November 26, 2012 Can anyone tell me how much precip for BWI the lastest 12z EURO shows? I dont have access to pay sites and only see the 24 hr full panels...Looks like msot of the area is in the 90-100% 700mb relative humidity but I have no idea how heavy the precipitation is...? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted November 26, 2012 Share Posted November 26, 2012 Can anyone tell me how much precip for BWI the lastest 12z EURO shows? I dont have access to pay sites and only see the 24 hr full panels...Looks like msot of the area is in the 90-100% 700mb relative humidity but I have no idea how heavy the precipitation is...? with the quick glance I took, I would guess around .2-.3" qpf Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BaltimoreWxGuy Posted November 26, 2012 Share Posted November 26, 2012 Thanks...seems to be then that its more in line with the GFS than the NAM...Light precipitation like that wont cause dynamic cooling. This turkey has already been overcooked but its burnt now..Till the next one fellas. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Amped Posted November 26, 2012 Share Posted November 26, 2012 I am so pumped for snow. 2-4" in the forecast here. I think 1-3" around HGR. Yes im work there next to the pa border. I think there is a good chance of snow on roads tomorrow morning north of exit 5 on 81. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted November 26, 2012 Share Posted November 26, 2012 sort of an e/w stripe of .25"+ from PH of WV to DC across southern 1/3 of PA, then through LI, southern CC etc. snowmaps havent updated yet on my maps. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted November 26, 2012 Share Posted November 26, 2012 Actually, was looking at the ens mean for some reason. Doh. 1"+ across northern MD counties,bullseye 2-3"+ across SE PA, stops a bit west of NJ. 0" for mt tolland Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted November 26, 2012 Share Posted November 26, 2012 if you must post that nonsense, post it in the banter thread, not the pinned thread. I'll think about it Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TUweathermanDD Posted November 26, 2012 Share Posted November 26, 2012 Actually, was looking at the ens mean for some reason. Doh. 1"+ across northern MD counties,bullseye 2-3"+ across SE PA, stops a bit west of NJ. 0" for mt tolland Was about to say you always have them by now, guess Baltimore will see some flakes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fozz Posted November 26, 2012 Share Posted November 26, 2012 WWA north of the M/D line.......2-4" URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE STATE COLLEGE PA 1243 PM EST MON NOV 26 2012 PAZ035-036-056>059-063>066-270600- /O.NEW.KCTP.WW.Y.0017.121127T0500Z-121127T1800Z/ FULTON-FRANKLIN-PERRY-DAUPHIN-SCHUYLKILL-LEBANON-CUMBERLAND-ADAMS- YORK-LANCASTER- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MCCONNELLSBURG...CHAMBERSBURG... NEWPORT...HARRISBURG...HERSHEY...POTTSVILLE...LEBANON... CARLISLE...GETTYSBURG...YORK...LANCASTER 1243 PM EST MON NOV 26 2012 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO 1 PM EST TUESDAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN STATE COLLEGE HAS ISSUED A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SNOW...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO 1 PM EST TUESDAY. * LOCATIONS...SOUTH CENTRAL MOUNTAINS AND LOWER SUSQUEHANNA RIVER VALLEY. * HAZARD TYPES...SNOW. * ACCUMULATIONS...2 TO 4 INCHES...EXCEPT LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS ON RIDGETOPS. * TIMING...LIGHT SNOW WILL DEVELOP OVER THE ADVISORY AREA AFTER MIDNIGHT...AND CONTINUE THROUGH TUESDAY RUSH HOUR BEFORE TAPERING OFF BY MID TO LATE MORNING. * IMPACTS...SNOW AND SLUSH COVERED AND SLIPPERY ROADWAYS FROM THE PRE DAWN HOURS THROUGH THE MORNING COMMUTE AND MID TO LATE MORNING. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SNOW MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW WILL CAUSE TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR SNOW COVERED ROADS AND LIMITED VISIBILITIES...AND USE CAUTION WHILE DRIVING. MOTORISTS SHOULD BE ESPECIALLY CAUTIOUS ON BRIDGES AND OVERPASSES...WHERE SLIPPERY SPOTS DEVELOP FIRST. STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR FAVORITE SOURCE OF WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE LATEST UPDATES. PLEASE REPORT SNOW ACCUMULATIONS TO THE NWS STATE COLLEGE FACEBOOK PAGE...OR BY USING TWITTER @NWSSTATECOLLEGE. ADDITIONAL DETAILS CAN ALSO BE FOUND AT...WEATHER.GOV/STATECOLLEGE. && $$ DEVOIR Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted November 26, 2012 Share Posted November 26, 2012 I feel I might be able to eek out a few inches here just south of the PA line in northern MD. I have some elevation (1000 ft) and that helps plus the SREF has been pretty bullish on precip along the mason dixon line today. Latest 15z SREF now show an area of over .5 along the border counties in Northern MD and southern PA. Even here though temps are iffy...33-35 degrees the whole time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
I-83 BLIZZARD Posted November 26, 2012 Share Posted November 26, 2012 It has been cold here lately. Ground was frozen last night when I was staking in Christmas decorations. If we stay all snow could be a nice mini event. I am about 10 miles north of the MD line so we will see. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted November 26, 2012 Share Posted November 26, 2012 It has been cold here lately. Ground was frozen last night when I was staking in Christmas decorations. If we stay all snow could be a nice mini event. I am about 10 miles north of the MD line so we will see. we usually end up with nearly identical totals from most storms, so we will see. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxmeddler Posted November 26, 2012 Share Posted November 26, 2012 I'm 25 miles N of the M/D line but at 325 ft. It will be interesting to see how elevation plays in with this one as I would believe lower areas would fall below freezing quicker tonight. Last night a station at 750ft outside of town was 34° while down where I am we were sitting at 25°. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted November 26, 2012 Share Posted November 26, 2012 Today warmed more than forecast, though we should keep clear skies for at least the first few hours after dark so that might help minimize the impact. My rain better be cold. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clskinsfan Posted November 26, 2012 Share Posted November 26, 2012 we usually end up with nearly identical totals from most storms, so we will see. Usually similar for us as well. But being a little north is gonna be a bonus with this one. Would be nice to just see some flakes falling at this point. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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