CoastalWx Posted November 24, 2012 Share Posted November 24, 2012 there's definite issues with that for this region but i'd think you'd probably be OK like you said after any short-lived issues to start. Euro has 00z surface temp in BOS of basically 0C and plenty cold off the deck. This has a look of maybe that final 3 hr paste job for you with the final band pivoting through and maybe OES type squalls? You know how radar has that cellular or banding look underneath the echoes generated aloft. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted November 24, 2012 Share Posted November 24, 2012 Euro ensembles are pretty similar to the OP run, though right at the end when its nearing the BM, it looks like it hooks a little more N than the OP run which brought it further E. Might be good for eastern areas in a scenario like that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted November 24, 2012 Share Posted November 24, 2012 4-8 seems reasonable for now. Can up if we have to Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 24, 2012 Share Posted November 24, 2012 Starting on 00z Wednesday. While the QPF doesn't reflect it..you can see this keeps some good mid level RH around which probably means a good band of snow will exist somewhere in this region. On Wednesday as the trough digs over the Great Lakes, the RH lingers which may indicate lingering flurries or SHSN. 00z 03Z 06z 09z 12z Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted November 24, 2012 Share Posted November 24, 2012 Euro ensembles seem to have a number of ensemble members more amped and closer to the coast than the op run. Good signal for advisory snows IMO. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 24, 2012 Share Posted November 24, 2012 NAMARAMA about to go to town at hr 84. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted November 24, 2012 Share Posted November 24, 2012 FWIW... 12z GFS has superb dendritic growth for most of CT during Winter Storm Charley or whatever the "C" name is. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted November 24, 2012 Share Posted November 24, 2012 NAM is definitely more amped than 12z. Looks like it would be a good hit for SNE after 78 hours. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted November 24, 2012 Share Posted November 24, 2012 Yes the NAM would be a big snowstorm lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherMA Posted November 24, 2012 Share Posted November 24, 2012 If this happens and I get nothing in Plymouth...lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted November 24, 2012 Share Posted November 24, 2012 Could be BL troubles initially for the first half of storm inside 128 at least in eastern areas. Easterly flow means trouble for eastern Mass. Could be one of those deals where it's raining for Ray and ripping in HVN just because of geography. Should be a nice changeover though as storm pulls away and winds veer. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted November 24, 2012 Share Posted November 24, 2012 NAM has a CF in E MA that would have Scooter sucking on an exhaust pipe. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted November 24, 2012 Share Posted November 24, 2012 For baby Scooter, (Skeeter) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 24, 2012 Share Posted November 24, 2012 Could be BL troubles initially for the first half of storm inside 128 at least in eastern areas. Easterly flow means trouble for eastern Mass. Could be one of those deals where it's raining for Ray and ripping in HVN just because of geography. Should be a nice changeover though as storm pulls away and winds veer. NAM has a CF in E MA that would have Scooter sucking on an exhaust pipe. Literally over my head. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted November 24, 2012 Share Posted November 24, 2012 NAM has a CF in E MA that would have Scooter sucking on an exhaust pipe. Yes that would be hideous for many of our E Mass posters. Shows you how tough it can be to get good snows in November. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted November 24, 2012 Share Posted November 24, 2012 Could be BL troubles initially for the first half of storm inside 128 at least in eastern areas. Easterly flow means trouble for eastern Mass. Could be one of those deals where it's raining for Ray and ripping in HVN just because of geography. Should be a nice changeover though as storm pulls away and winds veer. Snow in CT by noon Tues? Similar to Nov 7th? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allenson Posted November 24, 2012 Share Posted November 24, 2012 If this happens and I get nothing in Plymouth...lol. If it's to be a SNE jackpot winter, get used to this sentiment. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 24, 2012 Share Posted November 24, 2012 Even the euro would have issues for me to start, that's a virtual lock. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted November 24, 2012 Share Posted November 24, 2012 But yeah, looking at that vortmax deepening, we'd probably see things flash over to snow in E MA in the next couple panels as the winds turn northerly and the sfc low deepens. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherMA Posted November 24, 2012 Share Posted November 24, 2012 If it's to be a SNE jackpot winter, get used to this sentiment. I'll live, it just funny possibly seeing my hometown possibly get two respectable snowstorms while the extent of what I've seen at Plymouth is flurries. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted November 24, 2012 Share Posted November 24, 2012 Even the euro would have issues for me to start, that's a virtual lock. The weak SLP at the storm's center is troublesome for the coast I think. Without a nice ageostrophic northerly flow marine taint may be an issue. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ctsnowstorm628 Posted November 24, 2012 Share Posted November 24, 2012 If this happens and I get nothing in Plymouth...lol. I'll say it again if you want... Pretty good hit for CT though, naturally. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted November 24, 2012 Share Posted November 24, 2012 But yeah, looking at that vortmax deepening, we'd probably see things flash over to snow in E MA in the next couple panels as the winds turn northerly and the sfc low deepens. Yeah agreed. 6 hours of wrist slitting followed by a quick burst. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 24, 2012 Share Posted November 24, 2012 I'll live, it just funny possibly seeing my hometown possibly get two respectable snowstorms while the extent of what I've seen at Plymouth is flurries. You'll get yours. They'll be ample opportunities for NNE this winter, possibly starting next weekend. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherMA Posted November 24, 2012 Share Posted November 24, 2012 I'll say it again if you want... Pretty good hit for CT though, naturally. I'm done lol, just didn't expect it in November. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted November 24, 2012 Share Posted November 24, 2012 I'll live, it just funny possibly seeing my hometown possibly get two respectable snowstorms while the extent of what I've seen at Plymouth is flurries. Then we will blame you for jinx it like socks did....... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ctsnowstorm628 Posted November 24, 2012 Share Posted November 24, 2012 You'll get yours. They'll be ample opportunities for NNE this winter, possibly starting next weekend. We always do sooner or later. For him and I though, they'll naturally occur right after we go back home for winter break. Lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 24, 2012 Share Posted November 24, 2012 The weak SLP at the storm's center is troublesome for the coast I think. Without a nice ageostrophic northerly flow marine taint may be an issue. Which is why I would rather have the EC ensembles or NAM. A quicker deepening would trigger a better ageo response. Even during the 11/7/ storm...I was on the other side of the CF, but temps aloft like at 950 were still a bit too mild with a NE component to the wind. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherMA Posted November 24, 2012 Share Posted November 24, 2012 Then we will blame you for jinx it like socks did....... Or you could blame sam for leaving.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted November 24, 2012 Share Posted November 24, 2012 We always do sooner or later. For him and I though, they'll naturally occur right after we go back home for winter break. Lol That seems to happen a lot with some of you guys that live in SNE Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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