ChrisM Posted November 26, 2012 Share Posted November 26, 2012 too bad we can't get it to deepen about 6 hours earlier. A lot more folks would be in for 2-4" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chrisrotary12 Posted November 26, 2012 Share Posted November 26, 2012 Crappy precipitation field moving into an extremely dry antecedent air mass..........I'll be lucky to see a flake up here. Not that I am upset......it is only November. Wake me up around Christmas. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted November 26, 2012 Share Posted November 26, 2012 30 4-8" events in 90 could cause some problems, but that would be cool 120-240" of snow. PF could relate Eh, society would adjust and keep up with it though. You gotta figure so ... .places like Watertown NY get 110 to 130 a year. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted November 26, 2012 Share Posted November 26, 2012 can't someone find a model run ANYWHERE that shows this thing come in? there's always at least on errant fantasy out there that offers some bargaining delusion that things are as bad as they seem - come on? what does the Japan model have? Hell, don't the Brazilians run a model ? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 26, 2012 Share Posted November 26, 2012 Should be a nice street dampener here at home looking forward to it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted November 26, 2012 Share Posted November 26, 2012 can't someone find a model run ANYWHERE that shows this thing come in? there's always at least on errant fantasy out there that offers some bargain delusion that things are as bad as they seem - come on? what does the Japan model have? Hell, don't the Brazilians run a model ? I think Tom Brady has one Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted November 26, 2012 Share Posted November 26, 2012 can't someone find a model run ANYWHERE that shows this thing come in? there's always at least on errant fantasy out there that offers some bargain delusion that things are as bad as they seem - come on? what does the Japan model have? Hell, don't the Brazilians run a model ? RAP Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted November 26, 2012 Share Posted November 26, 2012 DGEX? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OKpowdah Posted November 26, 2012 Share Posted November 26, 2012 can't someone find a model run ANYWHERE that shows this thing come in? there's always at least on errant fantasy out there that offers some bargaining delusion that things are as bad as they seem - come on? what does the Japan model have? Hell, don't the Brazilians run a model ? In 12 hours the pressure tendency maps will start being posted, clearly indicating the sfc low is heading inside the benchmark Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted November 26, 2012 Share Posted November 26, 2012 In 12 hours the pressure tendency maps will start being posted, clearly indicating the sfc low is heading over ack Yup Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted November 26, 2012 Share Posted November 26, 2012 NOAA can't afford to maintain the buoys so there's no use posting pressure tendency maps with a coastal. Like 1 out of 5 buoys is actually anchored and working the rest are adrift, broken, stopped reporting or otherwise are useless. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCAPEWEATHERAF Posted November 26, 2012 Share Posted November 26, 2012 LOL Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Torchey Posted November 26, 2012 Share Posted November 26, 2012 can't someone find a model run ANYWHERE that shows this thing come in? there's always at least on errant fantasy out there that offers some bargaining delusion that things are as bad as they seem - come on? what does the Japan model have? Hell, don't the Brazilians run a model ? This was the best I could find Tippy Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCAPEWEATHERAF Posted November 26, 2012 Share Posted November 26, 2012 I believe looking at water vapor imagery, the southern stream system is showing more of a stronger system then modeled and is moving more north then modeled. Also appears that the upper level northern stream disturbance is digging more with flow veering to a SW to NE flow with time in the short range, RAP model shows this well. Again how much faith I put into the RAP beyond 6-12 hours is a toss up. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted November 26, 2012 Share Posted November 26, 2012 LOL Seriously we have 1 buoy left out along 70/40...the ACK buoy. All the others are adrift or already grabbed by the cutter. The Georges Bank buoy is halfway to England, it's now crossed 40/49 NOAA spent months getting comments from the maritime community on 44018. They moved it to a spot where it would be better for the shipping lanes entering Boston. It went adrift right after they put it there in early March and 9 months later it's not even on the schedule for replacement. http://www.ndbc.noaa.gov/station_page.php?station=44018 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 26, 2012 Share Posted November 26, 2012 I wonder if SE MA can get some inv trough/OES action, but boundary layer may be borderline. I could buy the PYM county enhancement. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted November 26, 2012 Share Posted November 26, 2012 I wonder if SE MA can get some inv trough/OES action, but boundary layer may be borderline. I could buy the PYM county enhancement. If the models are right from today we're going to see a protracted period of precip but I'm not sold on snow. We need the storm to develop at just the right time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted November 26, 2012 Share Posted November 26, 2012 LL death band 3? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted November 26, 2012 Share Posted November 26, 2012 Should be a good day for folks looking to snap kids Christmas card pics with snow OTG, flakes in background etc in interior SNE Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChrisM Posted November 26, 2012 Share Posted November 26, 2012 I believe looking at water vapor imagery, the southern stream system is showing more of a stronger system then modeled and is moving more north then modeled. Also appears that the upper level northern stream disturbance is digging more with flow veering to a SW to NE flow with time in the short range, RAP model shows this well. Again how much faith I put into the RAP beyond 6-12 hours is a toss up. I noticed that a bit but I don't have a great eye for it...any mets can comment? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted November 26, 2012 Share Posted November 26, 2012 Should be a good day for folks looking to snap kids Christmas card pics with snow OTG, flakes in background etc in interior SNE If it's cold enough I think we'll have more fun than people are expecting. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted November 26, 2012 Share Posted November 26, 2012 If it's cold enough I think we'll have more fun than people are expecting. Yeah I think you and Felipe on the Cape might be in for a bit of a surprise..esp twds and after dark tomorrow..Ours comes earlier into late afternoon Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted November 26, 2012 Share Posted November 26, 2012 Congrats everyone Danbury/Naugatuck WX @danburyweather My latest snowfall forecast. Includes areas from eastern Pennsylvania up to eastern Massachusetts.http://wxedge.com/articles/20131126detailed_snowfall_forecast … Collapse Reply Retweet Favorite Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted November 27, 2012 Share Posted November 27, 2012 What's up folks? Love the 18z GFS. KTAN for the win! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted November 27, 2012 Share Posted November 27, 2012 What's up folks? Love the 18z GFS. KTAN for the win! For the........ in Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Torchey Posted November 27, 2012 Share Posted November 27, 2012 RAP a Roo Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChrisM Posted November 27, 2012 Share Posted November 27, 2012 The rap nailed the last one didnt it? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted November 27, 2012 Share Posted November 27, 2012 Some pretty interesting analogs showing up today including number 2 analog 11/27/02 which was if I remember correct a positive bust. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted November 27, 2012 Share Posted November 27, 2012 The rap nailed the last one didnt it? Once inside of 8 or 9 hours it did. It pinpointed the TOL-ORH band that rotted later that night. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChrisM Posted November 27, 2012 Share Posted November 27, 2012 Once inside of 8 or 9 hours it did. It pinpointed the TOL-ORH band that rotted later that night. Hopefully it'll be interesting in the am. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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