ORH_wxman Posted November 26, 2012 Share Posted November 26, 2012 What a weenie model the RAP (RUC) can be beyond like 8 hours. At 18 hour son its latest prog it is so amped. Would probably translate into a decent event. They really should only run it to 12 hours or less. The only time I ever saw it nail something from 18 hours out when it was different from conventional guidance was the 1/27/11 storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted November 26, 2012 Share Posted November 26, 2012 I will not spike the ball. It's not a total win if many of us get a few inches of snow, I do think it would be a partial win though since i have stuck with snow from the get go, while many had this going to OTS and a miss. It's not 4-8 but its not 0 either. KURO may end up good but not great on this. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted November 26, 2012 Share Posted November 26, 2012 There is a rather potent shortwave trough over MX and TX, however models squash this to the south and east over SC and NC as time goes on with little to no impact on our potential storm. I was reading last year's 1/21/12 thread, your first post ended up being spot on, Ryan gave you a triple bunner for your first post but it ended up the best of all. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
N. OF PIKE Posted November 26, 2012 Share Posted November 26, 2012 Sultan I enjoy uscapeweatheraf posts, they have a weenish snow lovers signature but also some decent insight at times. I look fwd to a few more of his posts this "event" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted November 26, 2012 Share Posted November 26, 2012 Is he the CC dude who used to post on Eastern then went in the service? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted November 26, 2012 Share Posted November 26, 2012 there's alot of talk of "what if it ticks north 50 miles"--well what if it ticks south 50 miles? most would be bone dry.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted November 26, 2012 Share Posted November 26, 2012 Is he the CC dude who used to post on Eastern then went in the service? YeS Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted November 26, 2012 Share Posted November 26, 2012 I will not spike the ball. It's not a total win if many of us get a few inches of snow, I do think it would be a partial win though since i have stuck with snow from the get go, while many had this going to OTS and a miss. It's not 4-8 but its not 0 either. KURO may end up good but not great on this. Who said there would be no snow ? You need to get into politics or talk radio lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted November 26, 2012 Share Posted November 26, 2012 there's alot of talk of "what if it ticks north 50 miles"--well what if it ticks south 50 miles? most would be bone dry.... It definitely could tick south 50 miles....though the trend today has been to tick it north just a hair, so its unlikely that would reverse to a 50 mile shift south since models are getting a pretty good look now at this system's features. But who knows with this system. It has not been easy to forecast with the very fast flow and weak vorticity. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCAPEWEATHERAF Posted November 26, 2012 Share Posted November 26, 2012 Is he the CC dude who used to post on Eastern then went in the service? Yes I am that dude, I got out due to illness. Weather excites me, so I am going to be a bit weenish, people don't have to listen or read my posts to get the insight they are looking for, I'm just an emotional person who at times lets his excitement get in the way. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted November 26, 2012 Share Posted November 26, 2012 YeS Cool. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted November 26, 2012 Share Posted November 26, 2012 18z GFS looks kind of interesting for SE MA...tries to do a late nudge to the left and get them into the outer commahead. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted November 26, 2012 Share Posted November 26, 2012 33 pages of what will mostly be <1" of snow for just about everyone on here... November can't end soon enough Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 26, 2012 Share Posted November 26, 2012 Who said there would be no snow ? You need to get into politics or talk radio lol He would make a good politician. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted November 26, 2012 Share Posted November 26, 2012 Who said there would be no snow ? You need to get into politics or talk radio lol Someone this morning said sprinkles/ furries Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted November 26, 2012 Share Posted November 26, 2012 Yes I am that dude, I got out due to illness. Weather excites me, so I am going to be a bit weenish, people don't have to listen or read my posts to get the insight they are looking for, I'm just an emotional person who at times lets his excitement get in the way. You should post more. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 26, 2012 Share Posted November 26, 2012 18z GFS looks kind of interesting for SE MA...tries to do a late nudge to the left and get them into the outer commahead. That is interesting Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted November 26, 2012 Share Posted November 26, 2012 He would make a good politician. Used car sales Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted November 26, 2012 Share Posted November 26, 2012 Yes I am that dude, I got out due to illness. Weather excites me, so I am going to be a bit weenish, people don't have to listen or read my posts to get the insight they are looking for, I'm just an emotional person who at times lets his excitement get in the way. We all get a little excited even the pros. Hope you are doing good now. I am slow, just put that together. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted November 26, 2012 Share Posted November 26, 2012 He would make a good politician. Haha yep. Likable guy, smart, talks a lot...but full of sh*t Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted November 26, 2012 Share Posted November 26, 2012 18z GFS looks kind of interesting for SE MA...tries to do a late nudge to the left and get them into the outer commahead. Yeah unfortunately it's really warm though. BL is torched up to like 925mb. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted November 26, 2012 Share Posted November 26, 2012 Blizz for Prez? 2016? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted November 26, 2012 Share Posted November 26, 2012 18z GFS looks kind of interesting for SE MA...tries to do a late nudge to the left and get them into the outer commahead. Close to the coast up here, I will probably be able to smell the cirrus Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted November 26, 2012 Share Posted November 26, 2012 Congrats Phil, Rice Wine Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sugarloaf1989 Posted November 26, 2012 Share Posted November 26, 2012 I hope the highway departments can keep up... Me too, I hate being snowbound. I heard the Providence & Worcester Railroad was bringing it's rotary plow out of retirement to handle this upcoming HECS, so commerce should be in good hands all around here after the storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted November 26, 2012 Share Posted November 26, 2012 Tippy, October 2011 was pretty good for some of us Rte Poopers, lol Oh, right - forgot about that one. Yeah, I lost power for about 5.5 days in that. I remember telling my buddy like 10 days before that, the last thing i wanted was a foot of snow with leaves on the trees - I don't like losing power, pretty much ever, unless it is planned, like a camping trip. Sure enough! And what made that personal were too accomplishments by the cosmic dildo: 1, my house literally was the last premises to have power restored in the town of Ayer. Last person that wanted that storm got hit the hardest. 2, the power came back on precisely on the night that failed to fall to like 28F outside, making sure that the entirety of the event was as saturated in the cold as conceivably possible. The the idiotic disconnect here is that the entire ability to enjoy a given storm, and the reasons why people egg the thing on in the first place are completely gone when the lights go out - well, maybe you get 3 hours on your lap top, but if your wireless router isn't getting any juice, what's the use. people are morons - they egg it on and egg it on and just can't wait for the 3" of accreted ice. only then do these poor fools realize how crazy they must be to hope for that. Who you gonna call to share in the awe? Where are you going to blog and be part of a wonderment community? What data are you going to pour over and marvel at it all? That's why I'm happier with a nice nickle and dime type winter, where you get peppered with plenty of events - go for historic snow depth records - that sort of thing. Because it is interesting meteorology that doesn't have to deter from the ability to enjoy it. Give 30, 4-8" snows across 90 days. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted November 26, 2012 Share Posted November 26, 2012 Blizz for Prez? 2016? 2 term WOTY Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted November 26, 2012 Share Posted November 26, 2012 Well I'm pumped about the QPF but I think most of it will be rain drops on my head unless we can get a legitimate system to pop. It does look pretty good on the NAM and GFS. It's not much of a nudge on the intensity/track for this to be a respectable event interior SE NE. Shocked actually. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted November 26, 2012 Share Posted November 26, 2012 Anybody grab that CD? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted November 26, 2012 Share Posted November 26, 2012 30 4-8" events in 90 could cause some problems, but that would be cool 120-240" of snow. PF could relate Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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