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On the doorstep of winter....it's coming! Pattern with banter


weathafella

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Scott I asked a question on the previous page about if the ensembles (particularly) the Euro ensembles have the pattern changing after the 5-6th of December?

On a safe bet, just shoot for after the first week. If it is the 5th or 6th, then all the better. My safe bet is probably after the 10th, but I wouldn't rule something out after the 6th or 7th.

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Nothing has really changed except that the relaxation prior to the reload has trended warmer with the "gradient" being so far north that even NNE is borderline. But that doesn't change anything for the reload except that it might be a couple of days later. Initially Dec 5th looked good and maybe just after that for a snowstorm threat, but that might have to be pushed back a few days, unless we can magically get that super -NAO block back during the PAC relaxation

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Nothing has really changed except that the relaxation prior to the reload has trended warmer with the "gradient" being so far north that even NNE is borderline. But that doesn't change anything for the reload except that it might be a couple of days later. Initially Dec 5th looked good and maybe just after that for a snowstorm threat, but that might have to be pushed back a few days, unless we can magically get that super -NAO block back during the PAC relaxation

Dec 11-17 on the weeklies was really good which fits well with what the ensmebles are currently showing. They show a pretty nice pattern setting up in the Dec 8-10 time range so I think its best to wait until at least then. Dec 3-6 doesn't look overly torchy up here...but not favorable for snow events.

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No. I have nightmares about how this winter or at least December is going to suck. The fact that the ensembles keep pushing back this pattern later and later is not a good sign IMO

I think you need to chill, It is what it is, And you, I or anyone else on this board is not going to change it, Many have already said that mid dec on looks good, And if its later then that, Oh well, We are not going to get it here any sooner, I don't know how much more you can beat this to death

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We go through this every year seemingly, though it definitely feels worse this year. Probably because last winter was so bad.

Unless you live up in the mountains of NNE, your climo deserves very little right now. If you can somehow be patient enough to last the first week of December before your head exploding, the pattenr looks pretty favorable after that.

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We go through this every year seemingly, though it definitely feels worse this year. Probably because last winter was so bad.

Unless you live up in the mountains of NNE, your climo deserves very little right now. If you can somehow be patient enough to last the first week of December before your head exploding, the pattenr looks pretty favorable after that.

If this winter blows at least we'll have severe wx season to look forward too.

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