HoarfrostHubb Posted November 25, 2012 Share Posted November 25, 2012 26/15. Nice sunrise. Stepped outside to get some wood in just a t-shirt and shorts and that cold breeze got my attention. lol Bottomed out at 25F here as well. Please note, hard to get wood when it is chilly... http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=1cUNNKzj_Nc Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted November 25, 2012 Share Posted November 25, 2012 25.7 here for the low..Currently 27.1..Will the hills tickle 32? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted November 25, 2012 Share Posted November 25, 2012 CFS continues to torch most of the USA in December now a week away. January is boreal cold though. Lets hope it's not an all out torch or this forum will be a case study in depression. Much of CNE/NNE (outside of the mountains) has not even seen a coating of snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted November 25, 2012 Share Posted November 25, 2012 Bottomed out at 25F here as well. Please note, hard to get wood when it is chilly... http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=1cUNNKzj_Nc Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted November 25, 2012 Share Posted November 25, 2012 Yep.Based on the 0z runs I'm out of the ballgame as well (not really sure I was ever in it). OTOH it gives me some more time to delay the final raking of the yard. Classic! Lets hope it's not an all out torch or this forum will be a case study in depression. Much of CNE/NNE (outside of the mountains) has not even seen a coating of snow. Pattern change begins XXXXXX, completes XXXXXX. We should have a thread for that. People can just keep posting new timelines on it. Shades of "The Iceman Cometh" and "Waiting for Godot". Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bostonseminole Posted November 25, 2012 Share Posted November 25, 2012 34 chilly Using IPad or IPhone or BB so my grammar may suck. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted November 25, 2012 Share Posted November 25, 2012 Classic! Pattern change begins XXXXXX, completes XXXXXX. We should have a thread for that. People can just keep posting new timelines on it. Shades of "The Iceman Cometh" and "Waiting for Godot". I just really hope this isn't going to be a repeat of the endless pattern change calls that never come to fruition unless you considered +25 to +20 for a week a change. I think the winter looks much more reasonable but we'll see. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 25, 2012 Share Posted November 25, 2012 Well when we talked about NNE getting into the mix possibly starting this weekend, the GFS does show the potential for a little overrunning and mix. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Torchey Posted November 25, 2012 Share Posted November 25, 2012 dry begets dry Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Torchey Posted November 25, 2012 Share Posted November 25, 2012 That is one ugly start to December on the GFS, cold finally comes back in around the 9th, matches up well with gfs and euro ensembles. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted November 25, 2012 Share Posted November 25, 2012 a storm that misses CT to the south followed by above normal temps... could not ask for anything better Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JoMo Posted November 25, 2012 Share Posted November 25, 2012 Big negative NAO and AO but the EPO goes positive as well.. *price is right horn* Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 25, 2012 Share Posted November 25, 2012 The warmer wx is no surprise, this was modeled. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted November 25, 2012 Share Posted November 25, 2012 those hoping for massive warmth..tread softly..may be thwarted i Big cold high may reach northeast this weekend to stop plains warmup. neg AO/NAO couplet could mean lakes-ne trbl Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted November 25, 2012 Share Posted November 25, 2012 Just looks like a disastrous start to met winter after things looked up just a week or so ago. Pattern with potential appears to be breaking poorly. Shouldn't be surprised, however, this time of year is generally hostile to snowy setups. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 25, 2012 Share Posted November 25, 2012 those hoping for massive warmth..tread softly..may be thwarted i Big cold high may reach northeast this weekend to stop plains warmup. neg AO/NAO couplet could mean lakes-ne trbl Next week has a shot of being mild with the low moving close by, but it will be close..could be a dirty high deal in NNE at least. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 25, 2012 Share Posted November 25, 2012 Just looks like a disastrous start to met winter after things looked up just a week or so ago. Pattern with potential appears to be breaking poorly. Shouldn't be surprised, however, this time of year is generally hostile to snowy setups. The start of December always looked meh I thought, I think it's more into the second week or so that it gets better. I guess maybe it was after the 5th or 6trh where it seemed to look like it may improve, but we talked about the PAC air moving in for a while now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted November 25, 2012 Share Posted November 25, 2012 The start of December always looked meh I thought, I think it's more into the second week or so that it gets better. I guess maybe it was after the 5th or 6trh where it seemed to look like it may improve, but we talked about the PAC air moving in for a while now. I thought we could ride the boundary a bit with some wintry chances but yeah the warm up prior to re-load was well modeled. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted November 25, 2012 Share Posted November 25, 2012 Overall the next 20 days are the most promising period for winter wx lovers we've had in several Dec Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 25, 2012 Share Posted November 25, 2012 I thought we could ride the boundary a bit with some wintry chances but yeah the warm up prior to re-load was well modeled. Yeah that feature was on and off...I think even yesterday it was on and it did look like maybe a dirty high deal of 30s or 40s. I meant more of the overall H5 pattern though..remember you were making fun of my yellow flags several days ago? LOL. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
toronto blizzard Posted November 25, 2012 Share Posted November 25, 2012 The start of December always looked meh I thought, I think it's more into the second week or so that it gets better. I guess maybe it was after the 5th or 6trh where it seemed to look like it may improve, but we talked about the PAC air moving in for a while now. Great! So the pattern looks like crap now. Just lovely Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 25, 2012 Share Posted November 25, 2012 Great! So the pattern looks like crap now. Just lovely Nothing really has changed dude. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted November 25, 2012 Share Posted November 25, 2012 Yeah that feature was on and off...I think even yesterday it was on and it did look like maybe a dirty high deal of 30s or 40s. I meant more of the overall H5 pattern though..remember you were making fun of my yellow flags several days ago? LOL. Yeah lol. You and your caution flags. The pattern wasn't great but with some luck I thought maybe we could score a SWFE or a late blooming miller b or two out of the whole thing. That just didn't work out lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 25, 2012 Share Posted November 25, 2012 The models are weaker with the MJO. I wonder if that reduces the +PNA chances? It's more of an Aleutian ridge/-NAO now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
toronto blizzard Posted November 25, 2012 Share Posted November 25, 2012 Nothing really has changed dude. I remember you saying on Friday of a nice PNA ridge showing up connecting with a -EPO ridge. Does that still look like it's going to happen? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 25, 2012 Share Posted November 25, 2012 Yeah lol. You and your caution flags. The pattern wasn't great but with some luck I thought maybe we could score a SWFE or a late blooming miller b or two out of the whole thing. That just didn't work out lol. Yeah if timed right it can happen. I mean look at next weekend...it's not far from an overrunning deal, so you're right in that thinking. Personally, I hate when I see that zonal look on ensembles. It always sucks..lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 25, 2012 Share Posted November 25, 2012 I remember you saying on Friday of a nice PNA ridge showing up connecting with a -EPO ridge. Does that still look like it's going to happen? Well the PNA isn't what I called +, but it shows signs of a weak ridge. If anything, the Aleutian ridge has really become stronger...and the -NAO is still there. That's a decent combo to have...but people need to remember one thing. IT DOES NOT GUARANTEE A BLOCKBUSTER PERIOD. It just signifies the chances of increased wintry weather. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
toronto blizzard Posted November 25, 2012 Share Posted November 25, 2012 Well the PNA isn't what I called +, but it shows signs of a weak ridge. If anything, the Aleutian ridge has really become stronger...and the -NAO is still there. That's a decent combo to have...but people need to remember one thing. IT DOES NOT GUARANTEE A BLOCKBUSTER PERIOD. It just signifies the chances of increased wintry weather. I'm looking around the 10th for something interesting. Hopefully this pattern works out. I'm sick of seeing that awful GOA trough uggggh Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted November 25, 2012 Share Posted November 25, 2012 Well---I'm being stoic today. Accepting of the fact that the mid-week system is a whiff for not only mby but for 98% of New England. Instead, enjoying the winter chill of today. Overcast with flurries, very gusty winds. High temp of 30.9 down now to 30.4. Just refilled the log rack on the deck and warming by the stove. Having added the second stove, we haven't run the heat yet this year. A bit chilly upstairs, but who cares when you're asleep with a good blanket. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted November 25, 2012 Share Posted November 25, 2012 those hoping for massive warmth..tread softly..may be thwarted i Big cold high may reach northeast this weekend to stop plains warmup. neg AO/NAO couplet could mean lakes-ne trbl joe bastardi is worthless and so are your posts Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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