weathafella Posted November 24, 2012 Author Share Posted November 24, 2012 lol....nice snowstorm on the Euro. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted November 24, 2012 Share Posted November 24, 2012 Whoa, it exploded north pretty good at 90h....we do get into precip. That was weird looking on the 5h map. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted November 24, 2012 Author Share Posted November 24, 2012 Eastern SNE special. Advisory snows for Boston. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisy Posted November 24, 2012 Share Posted November 24, 2012 It seems the models that go north do so because theres backside energy that catches up with the main shortwave and tilts it negatively. Tough to explain meteorologically, but you can see it when looking at GGEM/NOGAPS/GFS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ctsnowstorm628 Posted November 24, 2012 Share Posted November 24, 2012 Whoa, it exploded north pretty good at 90h....we do get into precip. That was weird looking on the 5h map. Good trends. Keeping me interested a least through 12z tomorrow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted November 24, 2012 Author Share Posted November 24, 2012 That 1024 hp in Quebec is perfect. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted November 24, 2012 Share Posted November 24, 2012 Pretty nice hit for SE MA/E MA. That vortmax really strengthed fast at the end to get eastern areas. Ptype might be a problem on the coast...but it does have the freezing line near 95. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted November 24, 2012 Author Share Posted November 24, 2012 I've seen what I need. Good night folks. Winter's on the doorstep and it's only 11/23. All ahead of us and the start is going to be a good one. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SlantStickers Anonymous Posted November 24, 2012 Share Posted November 24, 2012 Eastern SNE special. Advisory snows for Boston. Fantastic! Lol well, seems to be getting more interesting as we get closer at least. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted November 24, 2012 Share Posted November 24, 2012 Could I be at 1/3 my seasonal avg by nov 30? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted November 24, 2012 Share Posted November 24, 2012 I've seen what I need. Good night folks. Winter's on the doorstep and it's only 11/23. All ahead of us and the start is going to be a good one. It definitely is a nice change to be tracking our 2nd winter weather event inside of 5 days on 11/23. November has been a black hole recently, but this year perhaps can provide some regression to the mean. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
joey2002 Posted November 24, 2012 Share Posted November 24, 2012 Does the timing still look like a Tuesday night / Wednesday type deal? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted November 24, 2012 Share Posted November 24, 2012 Does the timing still look like a Tuesday night / Wednesday type deal? Euro has it it Tuesday during day into night. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
joey2002 Posted November 24, 2012 Share Posted November 24, 2012 Euro has it it Tuesday during day into night. Thanks! It'll hopefully be a fun weekend watching the model trends... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
N. OF PIKE Posted November 24, 2012 Share Posted November 24, 2012 Kfs is lock'd in Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 24, 2012 Share Posted November 24, 2012 Wow nice. I wish I could lock this. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 24, 2012 Share Posted November 24, 2012 Man I was saying give it a chance through 00z thinking it may tick north at least, but not this lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted November 24, 2012 Share Posted November 24, 2012 Wow nice. I wish I could lock this. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted November 24, 2012 Share Posted November 24, 2012 Man I was saying give it a chance through 00z thinking it may tick north at least, but not this lol. now I fear mixing Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted November 24, 2012 Share Posted November 24, 2012 now I fear mixing 2/10/10 with snow dripping off the trees at 1am at 34F or 2/14/07 with 5" of sleet pack not going anywhere? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CooL Posted November 24, 2012 Share Posted November 24, 2012 Thoughts on the long range pattern on the gfs and euro tonight? Both seem to have lost the blocking. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted November 24, 2012 Share Posted November 24, 2012 2/10/10 with snow dripping off the trees at 1am at 34F or 2/14/07 with 5" of sleet pack not going anywhere? 3/07 had even more sleet. sleet piles are awesome Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dsnowx53 Posted November 24, 2012 Share Posted November 24, 2012 These OP runs have had some awful day 7-10 progs. Lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted November 24, 2012 Share Posted November 24, 2012 But I'd pick 2/10 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted November 24, 2012 Share Posted November 24, 2012 Thoughts on the long range pattern on the gfs and euro tonight? Both seem to have lost the blocking. OP run or ensembles? GFS ensembles look terrific in the long range. Euro out to D10 is not going to show the reload pattern....it will look ugly, because it is. The good stuff happens more like D12-14....which the ensmebles show. But 00z ensembles arent out yet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted November 24, 2012 Share Posted November 24, 2012 But I'd pick 2/10 I would too...i hate pellets. Though I would despise the melting off the trees at 1am. But 16" of synoptic snow is nice. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted November 24, 2012 Share Posted November 24, 2012 I would too...i hate pellets. Though I would despise the melting off the trees at 1am. But 16" of synoptic snow is nice. could have been 20+ with colder temps, like the storm later that monthawful baroclinicity on the north side of the storm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted November 24, 2012 Share Posted November 24, 2012 I now understand why litchfieldlibations was mentioning ORH today....because BDR had a -1 daily departure today, lol. He uses ORH right now when its the warmest relative to climo, but back in summer when ORH finished below average in June, he was pimping BDR. No longer. I am slightly curious as to why. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CooL Posted November 24, 2012 Share Posted November 24, 2012 OP run or ensembles? GFS ensembles look terrific in the long range. Euro out to D10 is not going to show the reload pattern....it will look ugly, because it is. The good stuff happens more like D12-14....which the ensmebles show. But 00z ensembles arent out yet. Ahh ok thanks. So after the first week of december give or take, we should start rocking. Pretty cool how we have another snow threat before we even enter what could be a really good december Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
earthlight Posted November 24, 2012 Share Posted November 24, 2012 Could I be at 1/3 my seasonal avg by nov 30? The boundary layer is torched near the coast and immediate suburbs down here at least on the guidance right now. We'll see if it trends cooler. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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