ctsnowstorm628 Posted November 24, 2012 Share Posted November 24, 2012 Except about 60% of the population, lol. Area wise it'd make a lot of posters here happy haha Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 24, 2012 Share Posted November 24, 2012 Man...when Kevin sees the post in the morning....let the AWT, KURO, etc. posts fly. He'll call for watches to be posted Sunday night regardless of what the euro does...lol. He may have to be careful what he wishes for, if this gives Will an MLK style thump. It even gives me snow before flipping. Probably a good idea to wait and see what the rest of guidance does. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 24, 2012 Share Posted November 24, 2012 That would literally make everyone in New England happy. Wow. Well not everyone...lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted November 24, 2012 Share Posted November 24, 2012 Sam needs to make a map With a nice long curvature to it Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 24, 2012 Share Posted November 24, 2012 I wonder if Pete B will change his forecast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted November 24, 2012 Share Posted November 24, 2012 Ukie looks pretty amped too at 72h. Can't see beyond that though, but it would likley be significant precip for our region if I had to make a guess based on the 72h map. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherMA Posted November 24, 2012 Share Posted November 24, 2012 I wonder if Pete B will change his forecast. Flip, flop. This morning he tweeted snow Wednesday. Then post euro tweeted snow cancel. This is after the 7 day last night changed from snow to snow/rain...back to snow and now to nothing/flurries. If the euro gets on board tonight, back to snow tomorrow? I guess that's why you don't change a forecast off of one model run. Granted he did say low confidence on all the changes...but no reason for the constant change IMO. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted November 24, 2012 Share Posted November 24, 2012 NOGAPs is amped. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted November 24, 2012 Share Posted November 24, 2012 Can't stay up for the next run....a Tad NW with more qpf is what I hope for Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 24, 2012 Share Posted November 24, 2012 Ukie looks pretty amped too at 72h. Can't see beyond that though, but it would likley be significant precip for our region if I had to make a guess based on the 72h map. The height field was stretched out over us, but a pretty good vortmax over the Plains at hr 72. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted November 24, 2012 Share Posted November 24, 2012 That 240h GFS map would send NZucker over the edge. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted November 24, 2012 Share Posted November 24, 2012 NOGAPs is amped. Kevin has wood in his sleep Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 24, 2012 Share Posted November 24, 2012 Canadian is not amped like the GFS, but does have a swath of snow over SNE at hr 102 anyways. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted November 24, 2012 Share Posted November 24, 2012 It would be a shock if the Euro does not make some move NW Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted November 24, 2012 Share Posted November 24, 2012 Where do people get the GGEM these days for fast viewing? The original environment canada site doesn't update fast anymore. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 24, 2012 Share Posted November 24, 2012 Where do people get the GGEM these days for fast viewing? The original environment canada site doesn't update fast anymore. Can you see it on the model lab page? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted November 24, 2012 Share Posted November 24, 2012 Can you see it on the model lab page? I can...I didn;t even think of it because it used to be slow on there too, but I guess not anymore. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 24, 2012 Share Posted November 24, 2012 Will this site is pretty fast. http://collaboration.cmc.ec.gc.ca/cmc/cmdn/pcpn_type/pcpn_type_gem_reg.html Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 24, 2012 Share Posted November 24, 2012 I can...I didn;t even think of it because it used to be slow on there too, but I guess not anymore. Someone made a push to get the operational faster. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted November 24, 2012 Share Posted November 24, 2012 Will this site is pretty fast. http://collaboration...pe_gem_reg.html Oh I know that site..I usually only use it for the RGEM...but I guess it works for the GGEM too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted November 24, 2012 Share Posted November 24, 2012 Someone made a push to get the operational faster. Ha...like when wemade them do 6 hour QPF maps for the Euro instead of 12 hours. That was great. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 24, 2012 Share Posted November 24, 2012 Oh I know that site..I usually only use it for the RGEM...but I guess it works for the GGEM too. I didn't know it was that fast until I saw people posting about the Canadian global and Sandy using this site. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted November 24, 2012 Share Posted November 24, 2012 Weenie hit for eastern MA late in the game on the GGEM. RA to SN and a flash freeze? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 24, 2012 Share Posted November 24, 2012 Ha...like when wemade them do 6 hour QPF maps for the Euro instead of 12 hours. That was great. The page used to be more for medium range mets when they only cared about temps and not necessarily QPF, but it's silly to just have 12hr QPF. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted November 24, 2012 Share Posted November 24, 2012 The page used to be more for medium range mets when they only cared about temps and not necessarily QPF, but it's silly to just have 12hr QPF. I remember we got annoyed with the 12 hour QPF in the 12/9/09 event that was a SWFE snow changing to RA event....and the 12 hour QPF maps kept us guessing how much fell before the changeover. I remember it was after that event that you got them to change it. Yeah, 12h qpf sucks. Not very useful. Funny how we used to use 12h QPF all the time 10-12 years ago. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherMA Posted November 24, 2012 Share Posted November 24, 2012 So...if a gfs like solution came to play would there be IP/ZR or just snow/rain? I was looking at soundings on twisterdata and it seemed like a snow to rain kind of deal...but I thought SWFE events were usually more mixed bag then that. (A lot of soundings 9-12 hours into the storm at the 850 level had 0C and everything below that above freezing, what would that fall as (snow/rain)?) Thanks for whoever answers, sorry for the noob question. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted November 24, 2012 Share Posted November 24, 2012 Will this site is pretty fast. http://collaboration...pe_gem_reg.html Thats the one i have, It did shift NW from 12z at 0z Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted November 24, 2012 Share Posted November 24, 2012 So...if a gfs like solution came to play would there be IP/ZR or just snow/rain? I was looking at soundings on twisterdata and it seemed like a snow to rain kind of deal...but I thought SWFE events were usually more mixed bag then that. (A lot of soundings 9-12 hours into the storm at the 850 level had 0C and everything below that above freezing, what would that fall as (snow/rain)?) Thanks for whoever answers, sorry for the noob question. GFS soundings in the low levels = garbage There would probably be at least some ZR/IP....GFS loves to rip the winds easterly way too far inland and warm everyone up. I don't think the GFS solution would have a ton of mixed precip, but it would probably have some...the airmass prior to it is not weak. During the 2008 ice storm, it had ORH at roughly 40-42F and heavy rain the entire time...even 12 hours before the event. It can be so bad with low level cold sometimes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 24, 2012 Share Posted November 24, 2012 Looks like BM at hr 108 on the GEFS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 24, 2012 Share Posted November 24, 2012 GFS soundings in the low levels = garbage There would probably be at least some ZR/IP....GFS loves to rip the winds easterly way too far inland and warm everyone up. I don't think the GFS solution would have a ton of mixed precip, but it would probably have some...the airmass prior to it is not weak. During the 2008 ice storm, it had ORH at roughly 40-42F and heavy rain the entire time...even 12 hours before the event. It can be so bad with low level cold sometimes. First thing I did when I saw the GFS was laugh at the surface and 950 temps over ORH. No way it's that warm if it tracks like that. Definiitely a good thing for people to recognize with these early season storms. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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