CoastalWx Posted November 23, 2012 Share Posted November 23, 2012 That's a good interior snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherMA Posted November 23, 2012 Share Posted November 23, 2012 Eh, maybe its not too warm. Looks like its mostly snow for everyone except the immediate coast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted November 23, 2012 Share Posted November 23, 2012 Nice advisory 3-6" event Tuesday afternoon-night verbatim on the gfs from Central PA to Logan11 to MRG to ORH to Dendrite. A little too warm for the coast/eastern areas? edit: Already posted. Yeah the boundary layer is just putrid on the south coast...E MA is a little colder but perhaps still some problems right on the water. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted November 23, 2012 Share Posted November 23, 2012 That's like me saying my climo is the same as Jaffrey, NH Dude you know our wx is very similar and comparable. Sure ORH is a bit north so a little cooler annually, but the overall temp climo wise is not more than a degree. We should do a 1 yr study. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherMA Posted November 23, 2012 Share Posted November 23, 2012 ugly day thus far. dense fog earlier has been stubborn to burn off. now just socked in the clouds. 44f 53F with a few wispy cirrus Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted November 23, 2012 Share Posted November 23, 2012 ugly day thus far. dense fog earlier has been stubborn to burn off. now just socked in the clouds. 44f KURO !! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted November 23, 2012 Share Posted November 23, 2012 Enjoy until 18z folks. For MPM... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 23, 2012 Share Posted November 23, 2012 Kind of a two part system with a decent wrap around. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted November 23, 2012 Share Posted November 23, 2012 KURO !! still a few hours to go before i concede for my area. many out west of here are already in the 50s. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted November 23, 2012 Share Posted November 23, 2012 GFS has a nice inverted trough after the main batch goes through....almost like 12/19-20/08, lol. That would be a nice event...maybe low end warning in spots. At any rate, the Euro is far more suppressed right now and the ensembles still have some work to do. Its nice to see this solution, but I'm not very optimistic about it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted November 23, 2012 Share Posted November 23, 2012 Certainly cold enough for mostly snow in the interior Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 23, 2012 Share Posted November 23, 2012 It goes to show you how hard it is for models to handle these shortwaves flying out of the nrn plains in fast flow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted November 23, 2012 Share Posted November 23, 2012 GFS finally sensing neggy NAO. I mean what an abysmal model trying to cut a storm lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 23, 2012 Share Posted November 23, 2012 GFS finally sensing neggy NAO. I mean what an abysmal model trying to cut a storm lol It's a few things, but part of it is the GFS having no clue about any confluence to the northeast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted November 23, 2012 Share Posted November 23, 2012 Also the system being so weak coming out of the OV has it more east, A few days ago it was phasing sooner and cutting to the west Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted November 23, 2012 Share Posted November 23, 2012 It's a few things, but part of it is the GFS having no clue about any confluence to the northeast. i still think it doesn't have a clue about the s/w Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 23, 2012 Share Posted November 23, 2012 It's also models and the handling of the s/w. Some have been intense and let it blow up like the GFS, otherwise are way progressive. If you think the Euro won based on this GFS run..that's premature. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 23, 2012 Share Posted November 23, 2012 i still think it doesn't have a clue about the s/w I'm not sure if any models does at this point..lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dsnowx53 Posted November 23, 2012 Share Posted November 23, 2012 Mega block keeping us cold despite the awful Pacific. If the GFS is right, the relaxation in the pattern would still be mostly cold. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 23, 2012 Share Posted November 23, 2012 If you look at the 12z GFS and compare to 00z euro. Compare hr 114 at 12z GFS vs hr 126 of 00z euro...you can see that we finally have some agreement all things considered. Maybe this is a weenie comment, but based on some of the similarities, I wouldn't be shocked of the 12z euro op came back NW a bit. The euro is way too confluent for anything in the northeast...but sometimes it gets too amped up with features. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dsnowx53 Posted November 23, 2012 Share Posted November 23, 2012 Both the 558 and 564 dam contours are cut off in Greenland this run. Maybe truncation might be silly and warm things up, though. But that block is crazy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted November 23, 2012 Share Posted November 23, 2012 Also the system being so weak coming out of the OV has it more east, A few days ago it was phasing sooner and cutting to the west Phased bomb or weak this never had a chance of cutting as some of us were discussing earlier this week Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted November 23, 2012 Share Posted November 23, 2012 Phased bomb or weak this never had a chance of cutting as some of us were discussing earlier this week Yes it did, I can go back and dig up a few post Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted November 23, 2012 Author Share Posted November 23, 2012 And the so called relaxation is getting squeezed from either end. Last winter is behind us! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted November 23, 2012 Share Posted November 23, 2012 And the so called relaxation is getting squeezed from either end. Last winter is behind us! Shepards vs the sheep Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted November 23, 2012 Share Posted November 23, 2012 Enjoy until 18z folks. For MPM... Or at least until the EC. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Torchey Posted November 23, 2012 Share Posted November 23, 2012 Tree is up outside and inside, lights are up outside.......feels awful outside especially doing xmas stuff, sunny and warm. Thankfully we cool down this weekend! Now its time for a Turkey Sandwich and leftovers, happy holidays. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted November 23, 2012 Share Posted November 23, 2012 Yes it did, I can go back and dig up a few post When you look at progs and you see a neggy NAO , strong confluence, and strong HP in Eastern Canada, you never ever forecast a cutter. Minimally you get a secondary reflection locking in ll cold over interior and more often than not the storm ends becoming a strong coastal or good overrunning snow event that scoots south Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Torchey Posted November 23, 2012 Share Posted November 23, 2012 Some areas torching today despite kfalls predictions Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 23, 2012 Share Posted November 23, 2012 Clouds moving in here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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