CoastalWx Posted November 23, 2012 Share Posted November 23, 2012 Wood for powderfreak on the 00z GFS. Trending south and east. Yeah it has gone weaker and farther SE. Hmmm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted November 23, 2012 Share Posted November 23, 2012 Yeah it has gone weaker and farther SE. Hmmm. A definite move toward the Euro. Faster too with better confluence to start over NE. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted November 23, 2012 Share Posted November 23, 2012 Yeah it has gone weaker and farther SE. Hmmm. Not to mention some upslope wood and clipper wood for PF following the storm lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 23, 2012 Share Posted November 23, 2012 A definite move toward the Euro. Faster too with better confluence to start over NE. Yep, sure hints at that. Will Sultan get wood for PF upslope? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted November 23, 2012 Share Posted November 23, 2012 Then powderfreak is hanging from his snowflake sweater as a huge torch comes in after the clipper. What a weird pattern evolution on this run...ugly too, lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 23, 2012 Share Posted November 23, 2012 LOL. That is disgusting on the GFS op. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted November 23, 2012 Share Posted November 23, 2012 LOL. That is disgusting on the GFS op. Wow what a fail. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted November 23, 2012 Share Posted November 23, 2012 Hey at least the Kuro gets a few sleet pellets and flakes before the torch begins with style. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
QcSevereWx Posted November 23, 2012 Share Posted November 23, 2012 How can we have a torch like that with a falling AO, and a ''neutral'' PNA ? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChrisM Posted November 23, 2012 Share Posted November 23, 2012 put it in the bank Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 23, 2012 Share Posted November 23, 2012 Well first of all, it's the GFS op guys..lol...at least it hints at a reload. Secondly, there probably will be a break as we've talked about for the last 5 days. Most indications are for some sort of a reload 12/6-12/10 or so. It's ok...we'll still have winter and life will go on. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OSUmetstud Posted November 23, 2012 Share Posted November 23, 2012 The Pacific does get pretty favorable by the end of the run, for what it's worth lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dsnowx53 Posted November 23, 2012 Share Posted November 23, 2012 I'm in Connecticut for the holidays and I'm watching Ryan live on air for the first time! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dsnowx53 Posted November 23, 2012 Share Posted November 23, 2012 Well first of all, it's the GFS op guys..lol...at least it hints at a reload.Secondly, there probably will be a break as we've talked about for the last 5 days. Most indications are for some sort of a reload 12/6-12/10 or so. It's ok...we'll still have winter and life will go on. Yeah it still seems that the MJO will help the Pacific reload after the first few days of December, regardless of how ugly the pattern looks prior to the reload. The pattern preceding the reload might be either a latitudinal favored gradient or just an awful pattern with a cold surface high...kinda like what we have now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 23, 2012 Share Posted November 23, 2012 Yeah it still seems that the MJO will help the Pacific reload after the first few days of December, regardless of how ugly the pattern looks prior to the reload. The pattern preceding the reload might be either a latitudinal favored gradient or just an awful pattern with a cold surface high...kinda like what we have now. I think you're right. The EC ensembles keep a boundary literally over SNE in the 12/4-5 time frame. It could be something where people like Dendrite are getting a mixed bag, and LL is tanning his bikini line. Maybe this is further north or south, but yeah....the gradient will be nearby I think. I'm prepared to turn milder though...I mean afterall, it's early December. Given what the ensembles and now weeklies show, the odds of a reload seem fairly high. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted November 23, 2012 Share Posted November 23, 2012 I'm in Connecticut for the holidays and I'm watching Ryan live on air for the first time! You made it through the never-ending post game show??? Impressive. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
QcSevereWx Posted November 23, 2012 Share Posted November 23, 2012 The UK 0z http://meteocentre.c...PN_120_0000.gif http://meteocentre.c...PN_144_0000.gif Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dsnowx53 Posted November 23, 2012 Share Posted November 23, 2012 You made it through the never-ending post game show??? Impressive. LOL I did! Barely, though; I almost fell asleep! Good job btw. I think it's cool that you have a separate extended forecast for the shores, though I'm not sure other stations in CT do the same. I also found it cool that the news anchor mentioned your blog. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherMA Posted November 23, 2012 Share Posted November 23, 2012 00z gfs is a mix bag for me up at Plymouth I would think...SN, IP, and then rain. I like my chances up there with that one. The GFS is faster too, right? It seemed to have a Tuesday afternoon/evening event...down to about 114 hours away. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted November 23, 2012 Share Posted November 23, 2012 LOL I did! Barely, though; I almost fell asleep! Good job btw. I think it's cool that you have a separate extended forecast for the shores, though I'm not sure other stations in CT do the same. I also found it cool that the news anchor mentioned your blog. LOL I couldn't believe Jeff actually read it. Thanks man... appreciate it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted November 23, 2012 Share Posted November 23, 2012 The UK 0z http://meteocentre.c...PN_120_0000.gif http://meteocentre.c...PN_144_0000.gif Baby steps in the right direction Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NaoPos Posted November 23, 2012 Share Posted November 23, 2012 euros not gonna budge... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weathergun Posted November 23, 2012 Share Posted November 23, 2012 The 0z GEFS smooths alot during this range. But it also suggests a pattern reload after the Dec. 5. A west-based -NAO and a trough closer to the Aleutians. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted November 23, 2012 Share Posted November 23, 2012 euros not gonna budge... What a difference between the Euro and GFS/GGEM. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NaoPos Posted November 23, 2012 Share Posted November 23, 2012 gfs @ 114 has a lakes-apps runner... Euro has a blob of precip in the Bayou of La. amazing how far apart these two main players are.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisy Posted November 23, 2012 Share Posted November 23, 2012 After seeing new EURO I honestly can say I have never seen this much disconnect in 3 models (GFS/GGEM/EURO). Wow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NaoPos Posted November 23, 2012 Share Posted November 23, 2012 storm cancel on euro... there's literally zilch on it.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted November 23, 2012 Share Posted November 23, 2012 Wow, Night and day on the euro from 12z Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted November 23, 2012 Share Posted November 23, 2012 Dry begets dry Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted November 23, 2012 Share Posted November 23, 2012 storm cancel on euro... there's literally zilch on it.... It's also colder than all the other models. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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